The challenge that faces political commentators/pundits/forecasters is that they're basing their analyses on standard norms of ethics, morality and self-awareness 
The problem with BJ (and he's like Trump and, dare I say it, Putin, in this regard) is that he has no ethics, morality or self awareness 


He still has the toddler mindset of wanting anything that he wants, before having learnt of consequences and any sense of right and wrong. He truly is the spoilt wee boy who was never taught boundaries.
So he will could lose both by elections and still not think that it has any consequence for him 
He wouldn't even leave the Foreign Office Residence until forced initially when he was the one that resigned 
Was it Dominic Grieve who said he'd hang on by his fingertips and even then would have to have them prised off one by one?
And this is the man the UK has to suffer as PM 
