[quote MagicFox]**@RedToothBrush* @shreddednips et al: have you read those leaked FSB reports published on Twitter? @EsmaCannonball* mentioned them in the previous threads. Just wondered what your thoughts on those were. The early ones seem quite prescient but the later ones a bit fear mongering. I suppose it's possible the West is meant to see them. [/quote]
The seed if truth is needed for disinformation to be effective. Just saying.
The stuff about nuclear was in the first one. Then the stuff today coming out almost matches it. Is it for an international audience or a domestic one? Its arguable both ways.
It said (dated 6th March)
Is there a possibility of a localized nuclear strike (in Ukraine)? Yes. Not for any military objectives. Such a weapon won’t help with the breach of the defenses. But with a goal of scaring everyone else (The West).
We are plowing to create a scenario to blame everything on Ukraine. Naryshkin (Director of Foreign Intelligence Service of Russia) and his SVR is digging the ground to prove that Ukraine was secretly building nuclear weapons. F*&K.
They are hammering at what we’ve already analyzed and closed the book on: We can’t just make up any evidence or proof and existence of specialists and Uranium. Ukraine has a ton of depleted isotope 238 – this is nothing. The production cycle is such that you can’t do it in secret
A dirty bomb can’t be created in secret. Ukraine’s old nuclear power plants can only produce the material as a by-product in minimal amounts. The Americans have such monitoring at these plants with MAGATE that even talking about this is stupid.
Do you know what will start in a week? Let’s let it be even in 2 weeks. We are going to be so screwed we will start reminiscing about the good ol’ hungry days of the 90s.
As the markets are being closed, Nabiullina appears to be taking the right steps, but it’s like plugging holes on a ship with your fingers. The situation will break through anyway and even stronger. Nothing will be solved in 3 or 5 or 7 days any longer.
Note the comment quoted on the sky news article about from a Russian who said they had to do the war... Sorry special operation...
If its true the Western intelligence service will be all over this. If things are bad, leaks tend to get rather wet (hello Westminster)
Then of course people will believe later messages as a result too because this is sounding like what they are actually doing.
If you found out you had a leak, what would you do? Or it might be a deliberate strategy from the beginning. Maybe try and use it to your advantage. To create fear.
Pinch of salt needed. They are an interesting read and probably reveal some thinking going on invertently.
Even that comment (above) smacked of desparation though. It all smacks of ever increasing desparation.
Thats whats really escalating. The stench of desperation. And i dont think thats a wishful or western reading of the situation.
Planes do not go from Moscow and go back to Moscow if things are tickyboo. Especially with a very senior government official on board. Keep focused on that not the nuke stuff.