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The polls are narrowing

164 replies

Yappy12 · 30/11/2019 20:49

Only 7 point lead for Boris in latest poll. Still all to play for.
Boris on Marr tomorrow morning.

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Yappy12 · 30/11/2019 20:50

Experts say a 6-7 point lead with Labour in the 30's gives a hung parliament.

Am getting worried.

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Comradesally · 30/11/2019 20:50

It's terrifying.

I cannot imagine the doom and gloom a that will hit us if corbyn gets in.

Yappy12 · 30/11/2019 20:52

It's a possibility if the polls keep on narrowing that he could cobble together a coalition even if Boris has more seats. The sitting PM has first stab but if he can't for a working coalition over 326 and Corbyn can then it's OM Corbyn.

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justanotherlemontree · 30/11/2019 20:52

They’re both awful though. It’s not like it’s all going to be just fine if the Tories get back in.

Lockheart · 30/11/2019 20:53

Polls change all the time. I wouldn't hold any stock in them until the exit polls on December 12th to be honest.

BackforGood · 30/11/2019 20:53

What I'd like to know is where they get these figures from?

I'm in my mid 50s and have always voted, yet have never, ever, ever, been asked who I'm going to vote for in any kind of opinion poll. I thought about this in the last election and started asking people - relatives colleagues, friends, and I've still not unearthed anyone who has been asked.
Which makes me wonder a) how small the samples are and b) how reflective of the whole population the samples are, or maybe how random the samples are.

Yappy12 · 30/11/2019 20:54

Labour on 32 and Tories 38. More polls I believe later tonight for the Sunday papers. Seems Labour's scare about the NHS may be working!

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53rdWay · 30/11/2019 20:54

That's one poll. Most polls are still showing a decent margin between Conservative and Labour that would probably translate to a Conservative majority. Labour do seem to be gaining a bit though.

Personally I'm hoping for a hung parliament and Con/Lab/LD to all go away, pick a new party leader and come back some constructive ideas about reaching across the aisle and moving the country forward. But I fear we're a long way off that yet.

Yappy12 · 30/11/2019 20:55

@Lockheart

I know. In 2017 the exit poll at 10pm was virtually spot on. Think they got the exact seat numbers for T and L.

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53rdWay · 30/11/2019 20:56

YouGov have asked me! Not as much as they did last election when I lived in a marginal seat, though.

JimmyGrimble · 30/11/2019 20:57

Where is Boris? Running scared. The Tories have run the nastiest campaign I have ever seen in my lifetime. They deserve to crash and burn. The lying twats.

Yappy12 · 30/11/2019 20:58

Labour are doing all they can to unseat Boris but I can't see him losing his seat. They're drafting dozens of activists in from neighbouring constituencies to knock on every door and say he's a liar and untrustworthy.

Can't see him losing his seat. The PM factor will get him votes,

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Yappy12 · 30/11/2019 20:59

Boris live on Marr tomorrow. The Beeb said he couldn't appear unless he agreed to do the Neil interview but have relented.

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HeIenaDove · 30/11/2019 20:59

I thought Boris wasnt allowed to do Marr until he did Neil

53rdWay · 30/11/2019 20:59

BBC backed down on that HelenaDove.

RHTawneyonabus · 30/11/2019 20:59

I’m so hoping for a hung Parliament. There none of them can do the stupid stuff they’ve put in their manifestos and Brexit drags on for so long that we all just stop trying to get it done.

I think the policies of both labour and the tories will effectively wreck the country so we are screwed either way.

HeIenaDove · 30/11/2019 21:00

The BBC relented in relation to Boris?

Surely not Hmm

Yappy12 · 30/11/2019 21:00

@Backforgood

We've never been asked either and don't know anyone who has.

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MidnightCircus · 30/11/2019 21:00

So? Polls are not fact and have been wrong before, the only result that matters is the one on election day.

JimmyGrimble · 30/11/2019 21:00

Course the BBC backed down. It’s a disgrace.

Yappy12 · 30/11/2019 21:00

The BBC relented in light of the stabbings.

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underneaththeash · 30/11/2019 21:01

The polls were wrong last time. It’s not the time for anyone to be complacent. Neither side are great. But JC is by far the worst option.

Hereismyreply · 30/11/2019 21:01

www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics
Bookies still extremely confident there won't be a Labour majority-offering odds of 28-1! They wouldn't offer those odds if they weren't very sure indeed that a Labour majority is not going to happen. Contrast this with odds of 5-11 on a Tory majority.

Yappy12 · 30/11/2019 21:02

Let''s count how many times he says "Get Brexit Done"

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Yappy12 · 30/11/2019 21:05

There won't be a Labour majority but Boris may not get a majority either. All depends how much tactical voting there is and turnout amongst the young who tend to vote L or LD

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