Higher...
Sex offending is overwhelmingly male. The Ministry of Justice has said men accounted for 98% of sentences for sexual offences, and 99% of sentences for specified indecent image offences.
The prison data is also very stark. In England and Wales, of the 245 transgender prisoners recorded as legal gender male in 2024, meaning biological males identifying as women, non-binary or gender-fluid, 151 were convicted of a sexual offence. That is about 62%.
For comparison, sexual offences account for about 22% of the immediately sentenced prison population overall.
So , trans-identified males in prison are heavily overrepresented for sexual offending. That does not mean every trans-identifying person is a risk. It means women and girls are entitled to discuss male-pattern offending and single-sex safeguarding without being smeared as bigots.