I quoted it earlier. And also UK prison stats.
To summarise. And please, actually read it.
The level of violent crime between males and trans-identified males is just the same. That is what the Swedish population evidence found: male-to-female transitioners did not differ significantly from male controls for criminality, including violent crime. They did not show female-pattern offending. They showed male-pattern offending.
But when you look at sexual crime, it is worse. Sexual offending is already almost entirely male: the Ministry of Justice says men account for 98% of sexual offence sentences.
And yet in England and Wales prison data, trans-identified male prisoners are even more heavily concentrated in sexual offending. Of 245 transgender prisoners recorded as legal gender male, meaning males identifying as women, non-binary or gender-fluid, 151 were convicted of a sexual offence. That is about 62%.
Compare that with the general sentenced prison population, where sexual offences are about 22 to 23% of immediate custodial sentences. So this is not a small difference. It is nearly three times higher.
So the point is clear: trans-identified males do not have female-pattern risk. For violence, they look like males. For sexual offending in prison, they are dramatically overrepresented even compared with an offence type that is already overwhelmingly male.
That is why women and girls are not being irrational when they say sex matters in safeguarding, toilets, changing rooms, prisons and other intimate spaces.