I think we're starting to see the start of the fraying and derailing of this previously impregnable juggernaut. The wobbling twds going off the rails.
Until maybe even 12 months ago, the focus from the TRA side was relentless, doubling down on dissent, weaponising No Debate.
And tbh, it was pretty much working seamlessly, for every JKR Tweet, there was a deluge from the other side, both Tories and Labour hinting at Self ID, zero investigation from the likes of NYT etc.
But ever since I would say the Cass Report and Mermaids implosion, there's been a marked diluting of energy, mixed messaging, and truncated energy.
Sure, it's still absolutely harrasing with the likes of Posie assault, the need for Sal Grover to have to go to court, the general diffidence of those in liberal elite circles to say anything meaningful.
But the arrow of fate is moving in our direction, there are more and more court cases, of greater and greater dubiousness, the standard bearers on the TRA side are using more and more defeatist language (no movement that was winning would ramp up use of Nazi, facist, genocide, terrorist).
And this case is a case in point. The protagonists must know they're gonna lose. So why do it?
Because the only way to keep the churn turning, to artificially generate energy via conflict, to impress upon everyone the desperation of the movement, is to be more and more performatively visible.
It's like the failing husband who after a marriage full of his abusing, seeing the writing on the wall in the divorce court, artificially plies his wife with bouquets and chocolate and bolder and bolder promises.
And she ain't having it anymore. So he gets even wilder.