I agree, it’s a bit like Brexit, it can be hard for people to admit to a u-turn if they really got on board with something publicly and it then turns out to have been a terrible idea sold to them by con artists. But equally, I think a critical mass of people will slowly form who are going to say publicly that it’s OK to change your mind if the evidence shows you were wrong. Or if the evidence has always showed the same thing, they might feel able to say publicly that the benefits of it were massively oversold and the inevitable drawbacks or risks of it were carefully omitted for someone else’s gain.
I’d be more than happy for Labour to have a new reality-based, anti-sexist, anti-homophobic party leader. Ideally female. But I think that Labour could win the next election with Starmer in charge, so there will be continued division on this issue unfortunately. So there needs to be as much information sharing as possible from the gender critical side because looking objectively at reality will always shows the need for more reality-based policies.
I think that as time goes on, public opinion across all age groups will begin to become a bit more critical of the demands placed on others by gender identity politics. And of today’s young people as a generation, inevitably more young women (and some men) will start to object to the sexism and risk and harm that they have experienced directly because of this politics.
I think the damage done to some transitioned people will become clearer, partly as more detransitioned people will go public (and I fully appreciate that some of them may then re-adopt a trans identity as well and may remake that choice in either direction, repeatedly, all fine), and multiple scandals emerge about the practice of childhood transition.
But also, and crucially for party politics, the party pollsters will realise that young people don’t all think as one hive mind on this issue. Which I do suspect they’ve been confidently told up until now by lobby groups. I don’t think Stonewall and Mermaids will have the same power in future as they did. They’ve tainted their own brands.