I don’t even think it’s that complicated. It’s not about seeing which way opinion is blowing.
[invokes Sir Humphrey Appleby voice]
“Prime Minister, some people think the Earth is flat.”
“Hmm, yes, I have heard that.”
“We want you to say you believe the Earth is an oblate spheroid.”
[Looks up] “Sorry, what?”
“It means round, Prime Minister.”
“Ah, I see. But why do I need to come out and say that, it’s just bonkers that people think it’s flat, why does the prime minister need to say it isn’t?”
“Because Labour are saying it is and want to bring in law that makes us all say it.”
“Really? Have they lost the plot?”
“Completely, Prime Minister, and while it may seem a little…obvious to say the Earth is round, we think you may as well, given the Leader of the Opposition has completely lost his mind on such a simple matter.”
“Oh very well, I can’t believe I have to, isn’t this something astronomers should be doing? Tis so silly. Here I am, trying to convince everyone I’m not just a populist reactionary, and when something all of the population actually believes comes along, me saying something just seems like I’m saying it to be reactionary!”
“Well, it is a consequence of our strategy, Prime Minister, but we are talking easy votes here.”
“Oh very well, get me on Sky News then and I’ll state the bloody obvious. Crumbs, aren’t we doing well though! All this stuff about parties, Covid and whatnot, and old chum Kier is talking daft! I do tend to come out of things okay don’t I?”
“Yes, Prime Minister….”