@Imasoulman, yes, where does that 4000nfigure come from? I never mentioned it.
Latest data I found says 3.4k women in prison in the UK. That's not 4k.
And the 1in 50 gives you approx 1.5k.
So perhaps it's more like 1 self-identified transwoman trying to get in to every 2 women there already, though of course you'd have to reckon those who have already successfully transferred as extras on the trans side and deduct them from the women's figure.
Either way, if they were all allowed to transfer, you'd have to build new prisons to hold them, or perhaps it would just be easier to empty an entire male prison to make room and shunt the remaining male prisoners who aren't self identifying as women into the gaps left all over the place by the ones who are.
Is this sounding silly enough to you yet? It's sounding pretty silly to me. And pretty frightening to the women prisoners who are going to find upwards of 1 in 3 of their fellow inmates are penis-havers with superior physical strength and grip and often dubious intentions.
If it carries on, I think courts and juries and judges will be increasingly reluctant to incarcerate women at all and the transwomen can fight it out amongst themselves.