Fast forward to Tokyo Olympics. I think there is potential for there to be audience reaction. For example if a transwoman won the womens 100 metres sprint I think there would be a big reaction. I think the fact it is being held in Japan means there is likely to be a politer audience in the stadium. If the 100 womens metres had been won by a transwoman in London I think to be honest there would be a chant of Cheat Cheat.
You have to think about the money and power. The Olympic organisation already seems to have accepted transwomen. I dont know who are the big powers within it and how their views will pan out coming up to the next Olympics.
The other important point is that the sponsors hold a lot of influence because they pay for most of it apart from TV rights. There are 10 longer term sponsors: Coca Cola, Visa, Bridgestone, Samsung, Panasonic, Omega, Procter & Gamble (P&G), General Electric (GE), Dow, and Atos. These have been joined recently by Intel Alibaba and Toyota. McDonalds has stopped its sponsorship after the 2016 Olympics.
I don't know what the sponsors will think. I would think they would not want to be associated with 'cheating' But would want to be woke and connected with young people etc. They are not just as US dominated as I thought they would be . What are Japanese and Chinese attitudes to gender criticism? I haven't a clue.
I do think that after watching for car crash and not being able to believe what they are seeing reasons, people will stop watching womens sport events as there will be no point. Women will have no chance. A lot of the public will I think say why bother dividing women and men at all - there is no point.
I think the sponsors will care a lot if people start to switch off