Help! What are the real chance of snow on Thursday

[TheUnmentioned]

in central scotland, fife and perthshire?

I have to get to a very important appointment and will have a new baby and preschooler in the car.

Well reading this is makin me wonder if I am going to get my Tesco food shop delivered on Christmas week - live inthe vale of york area, 10 miles northish of York!!!!

I've had a look at some timing - it is a really rough guess at the moment as I can only look in 6 hourly slots and cold fronts can either stall or move through much more quickly.

Looks like:
Lunchtime it is around Edinburgh/Glasgow
6pm you can draw a line across from Cardiff to the Thames estuary (going to ask dh to come home a bit early I think!)
Midnight - all of the UK has been passed over

patience - definitely thursday afternoon. Doesnt look like the snow will leave you alone on friday.
(unless the cold front zips through faster than expected - if it does you are buggered both days!)

York maybe ok until friday evening unless showers develop.

looking ahead. oh dear.

Gosh that timing is really borderline then for my dh. I wish he could fly in a bit earlier.

So is it going everywhere? Or will parts inbetween get missed out?

Am asking too many questions I fear . Actually DH planning to get train from York to London mid afternoon on Thursday - wonder if that will get buggered up.

OYSSK thank you - Looks like I'll be packing tomorrow! Hopefully I'll be able to leave at around mid-day so might get there before the weather!
If it moves through early - might wait till next week and risk not being able to go.

We've jsut gone Orange for Thursday OYSSK, up til lunchtime we were yellow....eeek!

Ah cross posted. DH back on Saturday and we're up here for Christmas so should be OK

It is a bit dumbledore. My somewhat random experience is that these features can and do get delayed. Fingers crossed for you.

'all of the uk has been passed over' - do you mean no snow?

Oh Dear? Is that all you can say. I just want my food shopping delivered, I don't care if I can't actually get out myself

'Oh dear' sounds ominous. Perhaps it's going to rain fridges.

Thanks. I am sitting here trying not to cry about it (am ill and never good without dh at the best of times, in case anyone is wondering why a grown woman should be so emotional).

Please someone reassure me: the motorways would be the first roads to be gritted in such weather conditions, wouldn't they?

Noah. I think I might be wrong about york on thursday I'm not sure. at lunchtime GFS shows the whole of the UK under precipitation but it is too warm for those south of the cold front to get snow. I'm just not sure of timings for the precipitation/cold front for your area in enough detail. behind it looks very cold and dry for you.

Can you (oh very clever Kitten) tell me how bad its going to get West Sussex way?

awww dumbledore. I'm sorry :( sometimes I wonder if these threads are irresponsible - whether they cause more worry than is due in advance. I want people to be prepared but I don't want to worry them.

They certainly would be the first to be gritted and you know that all the forecasters and highways agency will have a really close eye on this. They don't want any more bad publicity so they will be pulling out all the stops.

Tinselina - I'm getting a bit nervous now of getting it all very wrong!! I'm going to have you all standing on my doorstep in the pouring rain with pitchforks!

Good time to point everyone to my disclaimer

Friday night looks rather 'interesting' for you according to gfs

Thanks OYSSK. Don't worry, the thread is not to blame. I cottoned on to the threatened weather conditions last week, within hours of dh telling me he had to be away this week. I just did a good job of ignoring the warnings until I saw this thread!

Not helped by dh ringing last night to tell me there had been a massive pile up on the M4 approaching Heathrow in the early hours of yesterday morning which, by the sounds of it, he only just avoided.

Oh and a colleague of his turning his car right over on the M4 in Wales a few weeks back, again, just in front of dh who could easily have got caught up in the fallout.

If you have to be on the roads from Thursday onwards, Mumsnetters, take extra care please.

Kitten - I for one have valued this thread! I've changed my week around, running non local errands yesterday and today instead of leaving them til Thursday/Friday. Knowing what's coming and preparing has made it seem less worrying.

I would never pitchfork you for rain, i would welcome rain! Its the bloomin snow that will stop people getting to see the Panto... i take interesting to mean snow/ice and other horrible travel stopping things! Its Saturday that is the clincher for us.

Badkitten I don't think it's irresponsible.

Now I've been nice can you tell me what the chances are of a) my niece making it down from Oxford on the bus on Saturday, b) my nephew making it up from Devon (not sure if bus or train) on Monday and c) my parents making it up from North Cornwall (bus to Exeter and then train) on Wednesday (next)?

(All those are to London, btw. My southeastern cultural imperialism took over for a second.)

As long as they can all get to us, I frankly don't care if they aren't able to get away again for a month.

i THINK WE ARE GONG TO MISS IT IN LEEDS, i FEEL LEFT OUT :-(

Another help plea

Going to a funeral in Leeds on wed 22nd. Would break my heart to miss it. Travelling from london by train but if cancelled will drive.

Chance of snow in Leeds area and journey??