Third thread on prepping for a pandemic and following the risk of a NCoV pandemic.
General NCoV Info
The estimated replication rate is R= 2 to 4.8 based on latest expert estimates. This means each infected person spreads the virus to between 2 and 4.8 people. This means it's a fairly contagious virus, probably around the level of swine flu or more.
Around 15-20% of cases are thought to be severe - that is resulting in the need for hospitalisation. Around 3-5% requiring ventilation.
The estimated mortality rate is around 1-2% at the moment. This may change as it is very difficult to estimate mortality.
Children tend to have milder symptoms. Those over 60 with underlying health issues and a history of smoking are more likely to be severe (although not exclusively this type of person).
Spread of NCoV
It is estimated that the average incubation period is 3-5 days but can be as long as 24 days.
It can be spread with no symptoms.
It can be spread via droplet (cough/sneeze), aerosol (breathing same air in very close quarters), bodily fluids, fecal/oral route and formites (via surfaces, up to 28 days in the right circumstances but up to 3-5 days in more typical circumstances).*
Updates*
As this is a novel virus and knowledge is constantly being updated - I will post updates as they become available with links to source.
I am not a medical expert so any opinions or conjecture of my own should be taken with a pinch of salt!