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Politics

Who is your MP? What is your prediction?

162 replies

alysonpeaches · 03/05/2010 17:51

Mine is John Healey, labour, and I strongly suspect a labour victory here as its never been anything else.

Who holds your constituency and will they return?

(trying to get away from the depressing threads)

OP posts:
kveta · 04/05/2010 14:01

ours is Mark Prisk, a tory who is also the shadow minister for cornwall, and apparently wants to be minister for cornwall in a Tory government. I live in Hertfordshire...

I'd love it if the Lib Dems Andrew Lewin could take it, but think it unlikely - last election was a 50.4% win for the Tories!

My parents live in Jo Swinson's (Lib Dem) constituency - she's fab, does a great job, and we're all hoping she'll get in again!

wastingaway · 04/05/2010 14:11

UD lol

I'm actually really worried about the English Democrats round here.
I was so utterly gobsmacked when they won the Mayoral election election, and we're good at being infamous round here.

bamboo · 04/05/2010 14:22

Edward Garnier (Con).

In my immediate vicinity it feels like Lib Dems are most popular but elsewhere it is such a rural constituency I can't imagine them gaining enough ground overall to swing it from the Tories.

LeninGrad · 04/05/2010 14:55

This reply has been deleted

Message withdrawn at poster's request.

BenHer · 04/05/2010 14:57

Cheryl Gillan.Yuk!

CrosswordGeek · 04/05/2010 14:59

Ian Liddel Granger. Tory.
Has been MP here since forever, and holds a majority of about 13K (lib dems 6k, labour 2k) so I'm pretty sure that he shall still be here next week!

DomesticGoddessInTraining · 04/05/2010 15:03

Nigel Griffiths who thankfully has stood down. I hope his replacement Ian Murray gets in, but Labour only had something like a 400 majority last time so both the Lib Dems and the Tories working it hard.

Sweeedes · 04/05/2010 15:06

Peter Lilley is my MP, comfortable Conservative majority throughout history, so expect he'll be returned.

Predict 12 seat Conservative Government majority overall. I was predicting 22 seat majority pre-Clegg-mania.

KurriKurri · 04/05/2010 16:05

I haven't got one - we are a new constituency, but I would not fall over with surprise if the tory candidate gets in.

LeninGrad · 04/05/2010 16:08

This reply has been deleted

Message withdrawn at poster's request.

GetOrfMoiLand · 04/05/2010 16:15

Parmjit Dhanda (Gloucester), Labour. Should be a safe Labour seat but is looking more like a Lab/Con marginal. There are a LOT of conservative posters and a sustained cconservative campaign. Met the Cons candidate couple of a weeks ago, seemed a very nice, down to earth chap. I told him quite cheerfully that I am die in the wool labour, so not to darken my door waste his time with me.

LOADS of posters everywhere, probably about 50/50 cons/labour. Zero interest in Lib Dem (thanks be to God).

Am crossing fingers, legs, toes, eyes on Thursday. Dhanda is a good constituency MP, so hope he gets back in for local as well as parliamentary reaons.

Molesworth · 04/05/2010 17:11

Lenin, I've been trying to find a map showing boundary changes today with no luck (well tbh I got distracted by some urgent piece of business so I never got very far with the search). Will post a link if I can find one.

sherby · 04/05/2010 17:21

Bob Russell LDems

No chance of Labour getting in here, Cons are hoping for the seat I think but not likely

apsie · 04/05/2010 17:25

John Redwood (Con) Pretty solid majority, it's the Lib Dems 57th target seat. Prue Bray the Lib Dem candidate is a local councillor and really active in the community. We only see John Redwood when there's some jolly on. Couldn't bring myself to vote for him even if I was that way inclined, as he was Welsh Secretary when I lived in Swansea and still haven't recovered from his terrible 'miming' of the Welsh national anthem (cringe!)

bronze · 04/05/2010 17:26

Ours is currently Henry Bellingham
I'm torn as hes really good at listening to the people and doing the right thing
but
hes conservative

but
hes one of the only oneswhos minions managed to put their leaflet in our huge postbox unlike the others who were dim enough to feed them to the dog

mememe30 · 04/05/2010 17:29

We have John Bercow. Tory. He is the speaker so the main parties don't stand against him. SO we can either vote for him or a list of independents. Democracy. I don't think so!!!!!! Having said that this is a VERY conservative area so I'm sure the others wouldn't have stood a chance anyway!!!

ProfYaffle · 04/05/2010 17:29

Threestars - we're in the same constituency, Gammon faced Tory here too. Think we've had a total of about 3 leaflets through the door, not a sniff of an actual candidate.

feetheart · 04/05/2010 17:40

Luton South here so haven't had an MP for nearly a year since Margaret Moran got caught with her nose in the trough (£22,500 for damp-proofing a house in Southampton in case you weren't sure )
Labour will never get my vote here again as NO-ONE stood up to say she was wrong.

LibDems are v active locally and I hope they get in as I'm not sure I could bear a 4 yr Esther Randson media love-in

Lymond · 04/05/2010 17:42

Twofalls and Azazello - I'm also in Evan Harris constituency. Don't you think it'll go against him that he has one of the worst records in parliament for replying to letters from his constituents?

I wrote to him last year and was ignored, but after an elderly neighbour wrote to him 6 times and was ignored, on a very important matter, I phoned his office on the neighbour's behalf. The girl I spoke to said "Don't hold your breath for a reply replied, he's got 4 boxes full of mail here, which he hasn't even opened" When I asked how to get hold of him if he didn't open mail, she said "He likes to communicate via twitter"

For this reason, (I voted Labour in 1997 and then was living abroad so haven't voted for a while) I'm voting for Nicola Greenwood. I think her campaign has been organised and responsive, which hopefully means she is both those things. Incidentally I've had numerous things through from the Tories, only 2 from LibDem (and those both very negative rather than selling themselves).

McDreamy · 04/05/2010 17:44

James Gray, Conservative here (N Wilts). It's supposed to be a very safe conservative seat but what with his expenses and the way he allegedly treated his wife not sure how safe it will be.

CantSleepWontSleep · 04/05/2010 17:46

Peter Lilley, Conservative. About as safe as they come.

flossie64 · 04/05/2010 17:49

Edward Leigh-Conservative been in since 1977- wouldn't know him if I fell over him.
We dsid get an election leaflet ,which told us not much more thasn he has 6 children ,is a barrister and is a pro life campaigner.
Not a word about policy

ghenghismaam · 04/05/2010 17:52

Try this shows the boundaries on an ornance survey map or more details of actual changes
I love a good map - and seeing as where I live there will be a comfortable Tory majority, incumbent MP embroiled in both expenses and personal scandal it's much more interesting to see what's going to happen in other constituencies
Mcdreamy almost x post - I think he will

imaginewittynamehere · 04/05/2010 17:56

Phil Hope (Lab) He is very good & I so hope he stays but is too close to call.

StrictlyKatty · 04/05/2010 18:00

Ed Vaizey. Conservative Massive majority.

mememe30 Nigel Farage is standing in your area, I'd love to see him get in. He really impressed me on Politics Today.

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