I have read it. I think it is wrong and is scaremongering, the sort of Project Fear stuff that our elites always use "the end of Western Civilization" etc in Brexit, in order to stop people having self-determination and stripping their freedom and sovereignty away under the guise of "we know what's best for you, after all, we are the experts."
It is the usual Establishment groupthink
He thinks that human history is based on cycles i.e. no free will essentially and predetermined outcomes reoccur at regular cyclical intervals. But this is wrong, he denies the role of human agency in what causes wars etc, it is all about power, so looking back at what happened in 1500 is of no use to understand what is happening now because the entire world's power structure has changed and the goals of those in power in a globalised world are totally different to what King Henry VIII, for example, wanted to do.
So his use of apocalyptic stiuff about Plague, Black Death, nuclear war, Trump as Hitler etc is wrong. The only thing he seems to be missing among the groupthink is the "plight of the polar bear" in catastrophic climate change. It is all Project Fear stuff, the usual way they fool us.
'Ignoring and mocking the experts, as people are doing around Brexit and Trump’s campaign, is no different to ignoring a doctor who tells you to stop smoking, and then finding later you’ve developed incurable cancer.'
This was the argument of the Remoaners, it was the best they could come up with. The Oxbridge teams used it in all the newspapers and on the BBC ad boresiam. No one bought it, apart from Cameron, the people knew the game.
Trump has ended all this crap, he has driven a coach and horses through the arguments of the "best and the brightest" by saying what all the people already know
"We are led by very, very stupid people, very, very stupid people"
Trump mocked what he called "these geniuses" who got us into wars that have destroyed the Middle East and have "got us nothing. I said take the oil, take the oil, fols and they laughed at me and I was right ..."
Trump mocked the people who call themselves "experts" and said to the Trump fans at rallies, about the ridiculously large trade deficits with China and Mexico, that what he called "these political hacks" have negotiated
"who do you want to negotiate for you, Trump or those clowns?"
and Trump fans shouted "Trump, Trump, Trump" while the "lying" media enclave at the rally shouted "those clowns, clowns, clowns" and were rightly booed by the tens of thousands of Trump fans who shouted Clinton News Network at them as well as some stronger language that is best not repeated on a polite forum
Trump said we are led by "stupid people, incompetent people" and the Trump fans agreed and yet these fools continue to lecture and mock Trump and say that he has unfairly assessed their competencies.
The author's article is the usual Establishment groupthink that we are all doomed (as they tell us with the old climate change game that Trump says is a "hoax")
"Obama says the greatest problem in the world is climate change, not Isis. We have people chopping off heads, like you read about in medieval times, they are chopping off heads, folks, and he talks about climate change. Give me a break"
and Trump fans applaud and laugh. "Stupid people, folks, very stupid people",. "not gonna happen any more".
The Establishment has no answer to the cold, clear common sense of Trump. Oxbridge teams are "out of ammo". The only argument they have left is "populists offer easy arguments, but politics is more complex than that"
but Trump says
"poiticians, all talk, no action"
The author's entire article is a climate of depair, just like their climate change story
The author says
"What can we do? Well, again, looking back, probably not much. The liberal intellectuals are always in the minority"
Of course we can do something and that is what the American people have done by choosing Trump over the "very stupid people" in the Establishment.
The author trots out the Cold War containing Russia arguments as if they will attack us and he says "the Baltic countries will declare war on Russia" and half of Europe will join in. It is nonsense and Trump says he will get along with Russia
"Wouldn't it be nice to get along with Russia, folks? Wouldn't it be nice to sort Isis out together? If they want to bomb the hell out of isis, let 'em, are we crazy? Give me a break"
And the author ends with the Establishment Project Fear line, the only line they ever had
"We need to harness a different fear. Fear of another World War nearly stopped World War 2, but didn’t."
It is nonsense, they can't frighten the people. It failed in Brexit and it failed with Trump.
Reading the author's arguments, I can only imagine he must be Oxbridge, Establishment groupthink through and through.