fourmummy, just listened to someone breaking down how the polls work. According to him, Trump will win and probably win big so your bet looks like it will pay off. I will post the video if it goes onto youtube later.
He says in 2008, Obama got huge crowds, but not in 2012 and the reason was because lots of the huge crowds are first time voters who want to experience the rallies live. That is similar to teh huge crowds that Trump gets because lots of them are new voters and people who have never voted before. When they phone poll, they ask if the people voted in the last 2 elections and if they didn't they exclude them because they think they are unlikely to vote. So they don't get a real reading.
Also nowadays lost of people no longer respond to telephone poll calling and they distrust the callers and are not willing to be politically incorrect and say what they really think out of fear of data privacy etc so they tel the pollsters what the Establishment wants to hear, and therefore the readings aren't as accurate as they were years ago.
He also said that the online flash polls do accurately assess enthusiasm and what people are likely to vote when they really turn out. So the fact that Trump won all the online polls against Hillary after the debates is significant even though he lost the so-called "scientific" polls. In the Republican primaries, the Establishment "scientific" pollshad Trump winning just 1 debate out of 11, but the online flash polls had Trump winning all 11 debates and of course Trump won the primaries by 3 to 1.
So he says the polls are not telling the true story and the Establishment are in for a shock.
He says he thinks that the Clinton brand is done and the Democrats now probably prefer Trump to win because they think he will be a useless President and they don't fear him, they fear the people and the Trump movement and if Trump is a failure as president, then they hope the people and the Trump movement will disband.