"BTW did I just hear on the Daily Politics, that according to a Lord Ashcroft poll (you often like to quote) that in Rochester, they say that those voting for UKIP/Reckless now, WILL NOT VOTE FOR UKIP AT THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION???"
Yes that is an old poll and that is what the Establishment is praying for. But what it fails to understand is what can hapen between now and the election. Hardly anyone still votes Tory because they like them, it is now just that they think they have to in order to stop Labour, but that could all change in the next 6 months. UKIP momentum cannot be stopped in spite of the Establishment using every trick in the book to stop it, and the People's Army may welcome more defectors. Who knows what further embarrassments are in store from Juncker, the EU, election debates etc
But the really worrying thing is the weather
"MORE flood woe for Britain? Forecasters' shock warning of WETTEST winter for 30 YEARS
BRITAIN is about to battered by another bout of autumn storms as the country faces one of the wettest winters in 30 years."
www.express.co.uk/news/nature/536136/UK-weather-latest-Britain-flood-wet-winter-30-years
Cameron will say it's climate change, the BBC will say it's climate change, Channel 4 News will say it's climate change, the Establishment will say it's climate change, Russell Brand will say it's climate change, but Farage will say that's popptcock and the good people in Tory heartlands will say it's just another cockup.
In the Tory heartlands of Essex and Kent, climate change is laughed at. Those places are full of hardworking, decent people. They're not Westminster, there are no luvvies there.
Cameron will once again have to beg Guardian readers to save the spinners from the People's Army.