The Result

[RedToothBrush]

Exit poll in 5 mins.

Pull up a chair.

Under FPTP seats are all that matters. The Lib Dems score anywhere from the low to high teens in virtually every election. It achieves absolutely nothing though.

Both Thanet seats looking like they've swung from conservative to labour!!! Not reform! 😅

The website by constituency linked previously suggests East Hull solid Lab hold, Diana Johnson solid Lab hold, Emma Hardy West Hull 51% Lab hold & 49% could go to Reform.

Mine is too close to call, 51/49 Lib Dem/Con, formally Conservative with a 12,000 majority.

It will come off hold soon. Immigration will pass its record level. Which will then end up costing millions more in housing/healthcare etc. everyone will get pissed off then slowly but surely, reform will get more seats.

Sunak has a 99% chance of keeping his seat according to the exit polls. That will,scupper his American dream. Wonder how long it will be before he quits as an MP and triggers a by-election.

Yup!

Can i just say that wankpuffin is now joining my vocabulary.

Just marvellous.

Yup
https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/24424071.scots-reform-candidate-posted-rants-women-gay-people/

They’re the dim voters, who get their “facts” from the media.

"Much of the damage to the Conservatives is being done by Reform, but Labour are the beneficiaries of this." John Curtice

Same, our boundaries have changed. I live in a labour safe seat and it says 2019 it was conservative bit not true. Our labour MP is fabulous and I am hoping she has kept her seat!

Labours issue is the infighting when the left try to take over, and when nothing much changes, I think that’s what will do it, there is little to chose now between Labour and Tory, starmer is very centralist, but he’s a hard road to trod, and I think some folks have expectations which will be disappointed.

no longer will be able to have safe spaces as biological women...

I suspect there are going to be rather a lot of posters on the FWR boards who will be secretly disappointed when this doesn't happen.

Is this Thanet/ Kent area? - so far Dover/deal and both Thanet seats predicted to go to labour..

You should be grateful - it's people voting Reform instead of conservative that's tipped the balance to Labour. Our ridiculous fptp system means a tiny, tiny number of voters are the only ones that actually make any difference.

Hull West & Haltemprice is coming in as possible Lab gain 51% / Reform gain 49%

The other two Hull seats look to be safe red.

@FinalCeleryScheme
The economy works in cycles and we have had such a bad run in 16 or so years I'm sure we will have a good run with them.

Presumably all the people predicting that Labour will only last one term and Reform will win in 2029 were predicting a 2024 Labour landslide back in 2019?

You’re missing the very real danger that reform and the tories team up, or the tories are influenced by the more right wing policies. The tories will be shit up by this latest result and look to make significant changes to try and win back power. Trying to take back a chunk of that reform vote seems an ideal solution.

I was chatting with someone in my neighbouring constituency this evening, she said several women she’d spoken to were considering voting Reform because they liked that they wanted to pay mums to stay at home 🙄 Never mind that what they mean is barefoot and chained to the kitchen sink. Thankfully they haven’t a hope of getting in around these parts.

They do but that won’t happen with Reform or indeed the Conservatives. One way or another they’ll combine their support whether that be through a formal merger or other means which will result in a combined support that will easily oust Labour.

Reform won’t just hang around on 20% vote share. That’s not their game.

Why aren't they publishing the share of vote in the exit poll?

Curtis just said it's not about labour gains as Tories losing to reform. But no numbers.

Looking forward to the salty gammon tears and the cries of how it’s all a fix / the establishment have stopped them winning / MSN made sure rent didn’t win etc etc etc. so predictable but will push many further into their crackpot conspiracy hole.