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General election 2024

The Result

1000 replies

RedToothBrush · 04/07/2024 21:54

Exit poll in 5 mins.

Pull up a chair.

OP posts:
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19
TattiePants · 04/07/2024 23:55

FFS, you'd think they'd practise constituency names before election night. They're all butchering Houghton and Sunderland South. It's Hoe-tn not Howton or Hooton! Thank god for Chris Mason.

pinboard · 04/07/2024 23:55

coming to join in. not got access to a TV tonight so I'm on 2 threads on MN :)
Hoping to Celebrate Tory Wipeout (even if that nasty Mr Farage does well)

Apileofballyhoo · 04/07/2024 23:55

RedToothBrush · 04/07/2024 23:49

Honestly. I hope I'm wrong.

Labour have to do a good job. They have to.

Things better improve in a concrete way and they have 5 years to do it.

Aladdinzane · 04/07/2024 23:55

Charlie2121 · 04/07/2024 23:52

A majority achieved by fragmented opposition rather than mass support.

If as predicted they received 36% of the vote that means that around 3/4 of the popular either didn’t vote or voted against them.

Their vote share will be around 4% higher than the last election when Conservatives achieved an 80 seat majority.

It all points to a very short period in government for Labour as even in the current favourable climate from their perspective they have not been able to attract hardly any additional support.

So they've won a larger % of the vote than the last government and more seats and you are already deriding them?

This is an electoral disaster for the Tories.

The more likely thing to happen in 5 years is reform will lose support once their incompetence is exposed.

FundingitallHow · 04/07/2024 23:56

@TarantinoIsAMisogynist in deprived areas it's fairly obvious? Why the need to talk to people about rubbish school, lack of jobs and hopes and aspirations?

Sorry maybe you arnt but I'm imagining some posh Labour Londoner aksing someone clearly living in dire straights in a scary run down area why they voted reform!!

skippy67 · 04/07/2024 23:57

The more likely thing to happen in 5 years is reform will lose support once their incompetence is exposed.

I really hope you're right.

NotJinxingAnything · 04/07/2024 23:57

SecondhandTable · 04/07/2024 23:54

I completely agree with this analysis and was saying as much earlier to my DH who also agrees.

And I voted Labour, fwiw.

What we don't know is the number of Labour voters who just didn't vote because they thought they were safe. It can't be assumed that they would stay home if they thought Labour was at risk.

Aladdinzane · 04/07/2024 23:57

skippy67 · 04/07/2024 23:57

The more likely thing to happen in 5 years is reform will lose support once their incompetence is exposed.

I really hope you're right.

Look at the quality of their candidates.

Biggleslefae · 04/07/2024 23:58

It all points to a very short period in government for Labour as even in the current favourable climate from their perspective they have not been able to attract hardly any additional support
🍋🍇

dotcombubble · 04/07/2024 23:58

Callmemel · 04/07/2024 23:45

I'll be staying up for that one

He could lose his seat, no loss there then.

BurntBroccoli · 04/07/2024 23:58

Pretty scared about how well Reform are doing...
Just hope a Reformative party not in the process of being created 😟

skippy67 · 04/07/2024 23:59

Aladdinzane · 04/07/2024 23:57

Look at the quality of their candidates.

Oh, I know! But still, lots of people voted for them. I don't get it.

lazzapazza · 04/07/2024 23:59

Aladdinzane · 04/07/2024 23:55

So they've won a larger % of the vote than the last government and more seats and you are already deriding them?

This is an electoral disaster for the Tories.

The more likely thing to happen in 5 years is reform will lose support once their incompetence is exposed.

The more likely thing to happen in 5 years is reform Labour will lose support once their incompetence is exposed.

Corrected for you.

Negroany · 04/07/2024 23:59

ladygindiva · 04/07/2024 23:49

Sadly according to Wikipedia he stood down this year. I'm gutted. That I'll miss him possibly being kicked out.

No he didn't.

FundingitallHow · 04/07/2024 23:59

Aladin I think it's more likely over 5 years the quality of their candidates will improve! That dress guy was on TV just now saying the election was called and they had to rush 600 plus people out..

Aladdinzane · 04/07/2024 23:59

Biggleslefae · 04/07/2024 23:58

It all points to a very short period in government for Labour as even in the current favourable climate from their perspective they have not been able to attract hardly any additional support
🍋🍇

The share of the vote stuff is rubbish though too.

Both May and Corbyn won far larger shares of the vote than many other governments have managed.

Jutemat · 04/07/2024 23:59

Reform MPs may indeed be useless but that vote shows strength of feeling. It'll not shift to Labour, only back to Tory.

NotJinxingAnything · 05/07/2024 00:00

Charlie2121 · 04/07/2024 23:54

Farage has received half the number of votes as Labour. That is way ahead of expectations.

He has massively outperformed all analysts expectations.

He will be delighted with the outcome. It is almost the perfect result for him.

We haven't had the outcome yet.

TarantinoIsAMisogynist · 05/07/2024 00:00

It seems like anything other than an uncomplicated "Yay, I'm so happy! Labour did amazingly!" is getting characterised as tory sour grapes.

I have never voted tory in my life - always for either Labour or Green. This time I voted Labour tactically. So there are no sour grapes here, but I do think that it is important to critically analyse the results to try to understand what they are telling us.

And I can guarantee that all the parties will be doing similar analysis. It is not as simple as saying "Great, we've won the seat, nothing more to think about!" Any party that rests on its laurels in that way will ultimately fail.

History (Brexit!) has shown us that politicians do not need to win large numbers of seats to exercise high levels of influence. So yes, I care about how the vote is split and what that might mean.

Aladdinzane · 05/07/2024 00:01

lazzapazza · 04/07/2024 23:59

The more likely thing to happen in 5 years is reform Labour will lose support once their incompetence is exposed.

Corrected for you.

"Corrected for you"

The arrogance of that, smarting a bit at your major defeat?

I doubt anyone will forget the incompetence, lies and sheer negligence of the Tories in the last 14 years.

This is a major victory and one which will be hard to reverse in 5 years time.

FinalCeleryScheme · 05/07/2024 00:02

DonnaBanana · 04/07/2024 23:50

I can't believe what I'm seeing. I'm not sure I could live in a Labour constituency and am already on Right Move looking at other options in case I need to move

That’s very silly. (Unless it’s tongue in cheek.) Having some Labour no-mark - which many will be, just like all landslide wins, when dross candidates get unexpectedly elected - as your MP won’t affect you.

I do think Labour will get a second term, but that will be largely because the Tories will need longer to resemble a competent party. Labour’s foolish promises and social policy fixations will sink them in the longer term. An economic upturn, which would be out of their hands, would do Labour a lot of good though.

Turmerictolly · 05/07/2024 00:02

Peter Mandelson voice of reason.

ThreeWordHarpy · 05/07/2024 00:04

RedToothBrush · 04/07/2024 22:52

Hull West & Haltemprice is coming in as possible Lab gain 51% / Reform gain 49%

The other two Hull seats look to be safe red.

My constituency and I’d be gutted. Emma Hardy has been a good, solid, hard working local MP, who grew up and still lives here. Used to be Alan Johnson’s patch. But the boundary changes mix up some of the poorest areas of Hull (Hessle Road, historically associated with the decimated fishing industry), with the leafy villages in the Tory East Riding (Kirk Ella, Anlaby, Willerby). There’s been muttering about the posh and poor areas having very little in common apart from geography. But it sounds like both areas are turning to Reform showing the appeal to different sectors of the population.

I don’t even recall the name of the Reform candidate on the paper, most people in my suburb assumed Emma would get back in, shows what a bubble I move in.

OtterMouse · 05/07/2024 00:04

This reply has been deleted

This has been deleted by MNHQ for breaking our Talk Guidelines.

Jutemat · 05/07/2024 00:04

Sunderland Central, another massive swing to Reform.

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