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Brexit

Westminstenders: Massive Rightwing Plot?

994 replies

RedToothBrush · 27/11/2019 18:45

Tonight 10pm

YouGov MRP.

First big poll

Rumour is that it shows a big tory majority.

This would fit with two MRP polls that are already out if accurate.

Datapraxis is suggesting a Tory majority of 48.

Best for Britain (Pro remain) is suggesting a majority of 57.

www.newscientist.com/article/2224783-what-is-mrp-and-can-it-predict-the-result-of-the-uk-general-election/
What is MRP and can it predict the result of the UK general election?

It stands for multi-level regression and post-stratification. Its a polling method which uses demographic data to work out how people will vote. YouGov used it to accurately predict the 2017 result and the method was used to predict the 2016 US election.

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Hazardexhausted · 27/11/2019 21:44

Despairing plop awaiting the poll.

thecatfromjapan · 27/11/2019 21:45

I'm getting to the point where I'm beginning to irrationally dislike the rest of England.

And, yes, I know how crazy that is.

So many of you lovely people live in them rest of England'.

I know it's crazy but ...

Why? Just why are they voting for Johnson? It's deranged.

ClashCityRocker · 27/11/2019 21:48

How long before the 2017 election was the MRP poll done that showed a hung parliament? I thought it was a lot closer than this?

FadingStar · 27/11/2019 21:49

Saw this on Twitter re. Johnson bottling the Neil interview.😂😂😂

Look, I'm not saying Boris Johnson is a chicken.

All I'm saying is on Page 462 of those NHS documents, the Americans make a formal request to have him chlorinated.

FadingStar · 27/11/2019 21:50

Lol same here Cat. I'm in NI so can't even vote for your parties...we have our own. I feel doubly helpless.😭😭

thecatfromjapan · 27/11/2019 21:51

It's England that is the problem.

What is it with England?

thecatfromjapan · 27/11/2019 21:52

Joins Fading😭

Hazardexhausted · 27/11/2019 21:52

Its full of English?

yolofish · 27/11/2019 21:53

Half a glass of wine to go before I retire to my pit and enrage/terrify myself with watching the news. Sky doesnt work in my room, so stuck with the bloody BBC.

JustAnotherPoster00 · 27/11/2019 21:53

I think it was the week before last time clash

Icantreachthepretzels · 27/11/2019 21:54

pmk nervously awaiting ten o'clock.

on the bright side #chickenjohnson is trending on twitter and it does include this wonderful tweet:

Look I'm not saying Boris Johnson is a chicken...
All I'm saying is on page 462 of those NHS documents, the Americans make a formal request to have him chlorinated.

ClashCityRocker · 27/11/2019 21:55

Thanks just.

Will there be a later similar poll?

Icantreachthepretzels · 27/11/2019 21:56

oh cross post FadingStar!

FadingStar · 27/11/2019 21:57

Pretzels that made me laugh. Great turn of phrase. Just hope I don't have nightmares about Johnson as a big plucked chicken tonight.

Icantreachthepretzels · 27/11/2019 21:58

Also from twitter:

Comparing #chickenjohnson to a chicken is very unfair. One is scruffy looking, wanders around aimlessly and scares easily. The other is a chicken.

TheMShip · 27/11/2019 21:58

359 Tory seats

ARoomWithoutADoor · 27/11/2019 21:58

Fell asleep on sofa. What's happening at 10? (doh!)
yolofish your dog made me laugh - thank you :)

TheMShip · 27/11/2019 22:00

YouGov 68
Best for Britain 82
Datapraxis 48

So it's in line with the others, no surprise.

thecatfromjapan · 27/11/2019 22:01

🤦‍♀️

RedToothBrush · 27/11/2019 22:01

Matt Chorley
@MattChorley
💥

💥

💥

@YouGov
MRP projection published by @thetimes

Con MAJORITY of 68

Con 359 (+42)
Lab 211 (-51)
LD 13 (+1)
Brexit 0 (-)
Green 1 (-)
SNP 43 (+8)
PC 4 (-)
Other 1 (-)

Tories breakthrough in Midlands. Lib Dems stall. Disaster for Labour.

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colouringinpro · 27/11/2019 22:02

YouGov EnvySadSadSad

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MaudBaileysGreenTurban · 27/11/2019 22:03

What the actual fuck? That MRP poll. What is wrong with this country??

catitude · 27/11/2019 22:04

Long time lurker here. I'm a yougov panel member and haven't been asked anything about voting intention for months now. Are we confident they are asking a good cross section. They obviously know who I've said I'm going to hire for in the oast. Feel like I'm being overlooked as a definite labour voter.

ListeningQuietly · 27/11/2019 22:04

VOTING LABOUR
(a) Is your MP Jeremy Corbyn
if, not, you are not voting for corbyn
(b) Is your current MP a wazzock
if so, you should vote against them
(c) Who should I vote for?
Look at YOUR LOCAL candidates
(d) How do choose a party
Sod party, just pick a moderate
GrinGrinGrinGrinGrinGrinGrinGrinGrinGrin