Data & analysis thread, started 9th April 2022

[Jenasaurus]

Welcome to another instalment of the DATA thread.

Our preference is for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths
PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

Today we join the sats with our first covid positives in nearly 3 years of pandemic. Luckily we had a few of the NHS tests left so we've logged our results. Not sure what strain so guessing BA5 most likely still?

Hope you do OK, contains .

First ever positives here, too! Can trace back with certainty where it came from...

That's interesting you can trace back @Quarantino can I ask how long from. Your contact to symptoms.s if you know where you got it from?

@containsnuts @Quarantino hoping you both, plus any family members, have as mild as possible experience.

Oh and hope you're OK obviously. Sorry that was SO rude of me

Thanks everyone! Lucky I'm not too bad so far. Very few & mild symptoms thankfully as I'm a lone parent. Youngest DC is struggling though. Appetite loss, aches, sore eyes not nice for her but hope it clears up soon without complications which the data suggests it will (nervous chuckle).

Hope you're all okay. Am hearing a lot of people getting positives again, including a couple of local nursing homes :(

If all were exposed on day 0 (not sure who the 'bringer of Covid' was but suspect...) - day 3 was when several people started getting symptoms/testing positive straight away. Actually the night of day 2 but decided to sleep on it.

The last remaining adult in the group started feeling symptoms on evening of day 5 but had several negative tests before then - no positive yet but that may change.

Thanks for the good wishes! Seems mild enough in everyone so far. I know some things can linger though.

Get well soon!!

Ah hope you're better soon. Pretty scary that every single adult was affected. Hope nobody is too bad

containsnuts - I hope your family are recovering quickly.

Thread from Stuart McDonald on excess deaths, which continue to be high:
twitter.com/ActuaryByDay/status/1610934443337736195

1:20 positive last week!

twitter.com/jneill/status/1611334450692116481?s=46&t=s-N9YDSn0wf0Mmfm30DEJw

Last remaining adult now tested positive. Sore throat and shivering!

Concerning. Along with approx 1 in 30 with long covid. Strange version of 'normal'.

Sympathies, @Quarantino !

Just seen this, worrying re increasing risks from recurring infections:

Welcome downward drift in the numbers for admissions, hospitalisations and ventilators for England as shown in the NHS weekly stats update this afternoon.

on the seven day average basis.

admissions 808 as compared with 995 a week ago, and 2016 this time last year.

number in hospital 8404 as compared with 9414 a week ago and 16339 a year ago

ventilators 196 as compared with 217 a week ago, and 723 a year ago.

Welcome news

Weekly ONS survey out, whilst it has the caveat that it is based on a lower than usual number of returned swabs due to Xmas and New Year period.

for England given the survey lag and the direction we are starting to see in admissions and number in hospital the slight decline to 4.02%, 1 in 25, as compared with 4.52%, 1 in 20, in the previous report is perhaps no great surprise.

Scotland 4.17%, up slightly from 4.05%; Wales 5.16% down from 5.70%, and Northern Ireland 7.04%.

Thought I'd share with the group.

BMJ article on the evolution of Covid symptoms and variants.

www.bmj.com/content/380/bmj.p3

Booster news

https://news.sky.com/story/spring-and-autumn-boosters-planned-for-people-most-at-risk-from-covid-12794846?fbclid=IwAR0uZHFGAHI6jb7HvKMfybQ72SJWijyfwBc_d7jpyPck9qBrHcr-B6QO89I

Thanks for this btw.

quick health metrics update for England.

ONS survey falling in that published last Friday and probably will do so again in the one published tomorrow.

Admits and number in hospital possibly starting to show signs of flattening. No big (relatively speaking) peak in deaths which are falling back again.

This is ONS survey as published last Friday.

year on year graphs for both admissions and number in hospital - as always seven day averages