Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 18th January 2022

[boys3]

Welcome to another instalment of the DATA thread.

Our preference is for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

North West

South East

West Midlands

Yorkshire and the Humber

Wales,Scotland and Northern Ireland

and age groups as used in the ONS survey (only England) - all shown on one graph

and perhaps easier to view split into two graphs

Thanks @boys3 , that's really helpful. I think % positive is going to be a useful scale going forward.

although the infection survey link is in the OP here's the link to the 1st April release www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/1april2022

Tom Peacock has continued to update this thread on recombinants so I'm attaching again for anyone interested. They seem to be popping up all over the place.

mobile.twitter.com/PeacockFlu/status/1504158873938272269

Couple more European BA.1 x BA.2 recombinants designated - XM and XN:

XM - mainly Netherlands and Germany, ~60 sequences
XN - another UK recombinant, ~100 sequences currently

Could someone with a greater depth of understanding than me (perhaps @sirfredfredgeorge @boys3 or any of the other extremely knowledgeable posters on this thread) share any ideas of what the endgame is now? Herd immunity? Endemic phase? Surely we can’t all just keep getting infected an infinitum?

I read an interesting article yesterday, if I can find again I will link it, about how vaccine work now needs to move to one that stops transmission and also delivering them in more efficient ways, such as nasal sprays, combined with the annual flu vaccine programme. I think it was in the guardian.

The endgame is the endemic phase, where a combination of vaccine and infection based immunity makes breakthrough infections less likely to result in hospitalisation or death, and the few serious cases have treatment options.
Eventually it will just be another cold (I don't think we're quite there yet, maybe after next winter, variant dependent).

Thanks @InMySpareTime timeline was going to be my next question.

Does anyone know of the stats are still being updated on the gov.uk website daily. I know they are not updating at the weekend.

@ThatsGoingToHurt

Does anyone know of the stats are still being updated on the gov.uk website daily. I know they are not updating at the weekend.

They have not yet announced firm plans to stop. Dashboard not yet updated today although Mondays now they have stooped weekend reporting has been well after 16:00 in terms of update.

16:30 dashboard shows as updated

Just been updated now

New on dashboard - reinfections broken down by date and age group:



Here

Interestingly in our area there are more reinfections in the 10-14yo age category than any other. That's interesting because really the 10-14yo age category only really started getting lots of infections in October 2021.

10-14s have been very exposed compared to the wider community, and had relatively less access to vaccines than older groups, so it makes sense that some of them would have been repeatedly infected.

@herecomesthsun
Yes, it does very much show that vaccines work. Round here the school roll out was dreadful, and a lot of people waited for that. My dc's school, although they were originally scheduled for before October half term, they didn't actually get in until about a fortnight ago. And that's just for the first jab.

Also the 90+ age category is another noticeable reinfection number. It's going round the nursing homes for at least the third time now.

start of another week so update on the health metrics in England, usual formats.

Starting with hospital admissions remembering these are two days behind number in hospital, whether those first signs of a dip over the past couple of reported is sustained remains to be seen.

number in hospital has continued to rise, so whilst many of these are admissions for another reason the impact of managing covid positives in hospitals remains a pressure. Current seven day average just under 16,000 as compared with just under 3,000 at the same time last year.

ventilator beds still below the number at this time last year, and below the number at the start of this year. So whilst a recent, though not rapid, upward trajectory this is perhaps easing