Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 18th January 2022

[boys3]

Welcome to another instalment of the DATA thread.

Our preference is for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

@Notmulan

French cases seem astonishingly high at the moment. Nearly half a million yesterday.

That is incredibly high. I wonder what’s behind that v here

Thanks, Boys - placemarking again

Lovely graphs @boys3 - Thanks as always.

Following so I dont lose it!

Bloody hell @ France !

Thanks for the continuing excellent threads.
@JanglyBeads that research about vaccine side effects (or lack of) is dynamite.

Does anyone know how the test and count in France?

Thank you, boys.

.

Can I ask a geeky question re ons it used to come put on a Friday but seems to be put today? Is this a general change or just a random one off?

Dghgcotcitc They're shortening the releases due to the volume of cases, preliminary data released earlier.

Could it not be in the least a political decision?

Fascinating graph here

twitter.com/paulmainwood/status/1483776797112156164?s=21

Now @JanglyBeads I do like a graph which shows what I have been saying on every thread 😂🤣treads in the case rate (both up and down) have been historically proven to be real and can be trusted, changing in testing (of which there have been quite a few over that time frame) do not seem to impact on the trends in either direction.

Jangly remember that could also be the case that the inherent biases in both ways of measuring are the same. Which is actually sort of true right, the groups who are mostly likely to test voluntarily are also the groups who are most likely to sign up to the ONS.

But I still think both are pretty good measures, but such great graphs doesn't guarantee it as it could be due to underlying bias.

It's actually interesting that London shows a different bias to the country - the country cases over counting compared to ONS during the Euros, but the same in London, and then autumn term half term London under counting but ONS picking it up.

Fred, I meant releasing ONS figures showing falling cases etc today, as certain politicians try to save their skin.

Link to the French dashboard www.gouvernement.fr/info-coronavirus/carte-et-donnees

Plenty of graphics; examples for Omicron prevalence and critical care admissions between unvaccinated and vaccinated (not sure as to the absolute definition of vaccinated)

from our dashboard - hope that did not come across too jingoistic - seven day rate for all the age bands since 1st Jan.

breakdown on all the under 60 bands across three graphics.

As with the all age bands graph these go up to 17th Jan spec date - only two day lag so largely but certainly not fully reported.

In some of those parent / teacher (with many teachers also being parents too :) ) a flattening / slight reversal in the previous downward trajectory.

Thanks boys for the new thread.

Christina Pagel has a short thread on the still rising cases in Denmark. Has anyone got any further explanations?
mobile.twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1483752123775041540

We certainly have more previous infection - Denmark hasnt really had a previous wave in the same way we have

Italy has jumped massively as well

It certainly looks simplistically like total cases in the period June-December is the main dampener on omicron cases, not vaccine rates or anything - however we'd really need more of that re-infection data I think to be more confident that it's that (ie we'd see the re-infections being mostly from cases older than 6 months in the UK)

I don't really buy the BA.2 lineages question, there's no logical way it could be all over Europe except in the places where there were lots of delta cases, unless delta was peculiarly protective just against BA.2, which doesn't make sense.

The US states could also reveal some differences on this, but the problem there is the confounding that the US states that had lots of delta are quite different in their case reporting too, it being such a varied issue. So I think you might need local knowledge to tease it out.

Here's Denmark's cases per million compared to the UK.

So are England still outliers?

Are reinfections included in the uk and french daily case numbers? Apologies if this has already been answered.

UK yes and no, but the reinfections for England (the bulk of the not reported) are less than 10% additional cases, so even if reported in france, then it can't make all of the difference, certainly some though.

One of the differences is possibly highlighted by Hana Horka story, in many countries there's encouragement to both become and report being infected with covid that is not a motivation in England.