Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 1st January 2022

[boys3]

Whilst I'd love to say all is quiet on New Years Day the reality is:

Welcome to yet another DATA thread.

Our preference is - still - for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.

Please try to keep discussion focused on these.

All the usual links below; New for '22 suggestions always welcome, and there may well be some that just need to go.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

That particular poll, just over a month ago, was not extreme though; it's pretty much where we are now.

Apparently the peak of cases last winter was on December 29th.

I don't imagine that will be complete yet. Cases still to be added.

@herecomesthsun

That particular poll, just over a month ago, was not extreme though; it's pretty much where we are now.

What do you mean where we are now?

Measured against what?

And you’re missing the point about self selecting and type of responders.

I’m surprised anyone still relies on it..

It is addressing the exact issue of whether there should be masks in school, in classrooms etc.

Not relying on it as such, it would however seem a better indicator of public opinion that newspaper comments, as a relatively large sample.

nearly 6000 people

Comments section is 4k so not far off - 4k self selectors v nearly 6

comments section of what?

@containsnuts Whether I've reported any cold or allergy symptoms on Zoe I got invited to take a test. But I only discovered this after several months because the emails went to my Gmail "promotions" folder that I rarely check. You might find you have emails from them there or in junk

I'm not sure I understand the arguments re masks?

Are people against it or accept it as a necessary evil?

Surely anything that keeps kids in school is worth it?

I don't generally think the comments section or any newspaper, especially extreme right wing papers, are representative of the general population. They seem to attract the worst in the population and give a distorted view of what the general mood is.

It is a section of society yes, as is mn, but I looked it up after pp suggested mn was skewed against.

It’s really not.

@IWannaWishYouANutNutsChristmas, as I said, my figures are from my notes. Being a nerd, every day I note down the figures from the gov dashboard on that day. I can make no argument about why those figures may, or may not differ from some screenshot a random has taken of another site which may, or may not, be updated as more data come in.

I think that my figures thus provide a direct comparison of those reported on that day. Which may, or may not, be useful. I find them interesting, but you don't have to.

If it's the DM, many of the 'comments' are from Americans and/or bots.

oooh the Maaail

It is certainly a section of society.

A very particular section of society though especially the comments bit. Goodness me, that is scraping the barrel.

marsha,I never sad the majority of MN. I very specifically said some posters on here are representing that the anti masks /school mitigation group is a majority view. It is definitely not a widely held MN view. Just a very loud one.

@herecomesthsun

oooh the Maaail

It is certainly a section of society.

A very particular section of society though especially the comments bit. Goodness me, that is scraping the barrel.

Again I’m not saying it’s accurate.

But if anyone thinks mn has a strong skew in one direction take a look around

So not ‘scraping the barrel’ as irritating as that comes across.

And probably as insightful as the often quoted YouGov polls tbh

If as pp said no one cared about the issue you wouldn’t get media response as you do.

dredging the dregs lol

@herecomesthsun

oooh the Maaail

It is certainly a section of society.

A very particular section of society though especially the comments bit. Goodness me, that is scraping the barrel.

I love the DM. It really does entertain at times. And if I am really bored I go to the comments section.

@Ohsofedupwiththis

I'm not sure I understand the arguments re masks?

Are people against it or accept it as a necessary evil?

Surely anything that keeps kids in school is worth it?

I don't generally think the comments section or any newspaper, especially extreme right wing papers, are representative of the general population. They seem to attract the worst in the population and give a distorted view of what the general mood is.

I agree that the comments in papers like the DM are generally either repugnant and just plain stupid.

Yes they are repugnant, Mn is a tea party in comparison.

Any claim that mn is skewed or awash with the same is wrong.

"Remember also, the number of people working in the public sector, health, education, social services etc is enormous. If there are a lot of people in these areas on mumsnet - it is in fact representative of wider society, in that."

A quick Google tells me that, in June 2020, 16.7% of people employed in the UK worked in the public sector. Do you think that is fairly well represented by Mumsnet?

Jonathan Van Tam and Cath Noakes summarise some of the science on filtration, ventilation and masks:

www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m0012tz5/royal-institution-christmas-lectures-2021-2-the-perfect-storm

@Ohsofedupwiththis

Apparently the peak of cases last winter was on December 29th.

I don't imagine that will be complete yet. Cases still to be added.

@Ohsofedupwiththis I think she means last winter, ie 12 months ago. Not sure it'll necessarily be the same this year though, as we did enter a pretty strict lockdown immediately after Christmas last year - this year it may go on rising a bit more first, and then likely to decline more slowly than it did under last year's lockdown and vaccine combo against alpha strain. My guess would be that we'll top out at around 300,000 cases a day around mid January - based on other regions following the same curve as inner London.

Ok, I don't think that looking at the comments section in the DM is in any way a reasonable assessment of the opinions of the wider British public .

(My parents used to get the Mail many years ago, I used to read YOU magazine when I went to visit them maybe 30 years ago, confession )

But the comments section isn't really a good yardstick.

I think that many people are being extremely careful right now, they want to get through this without closed schools and lockdowns and they will do what they can, most of them, to manage through. The DM comments like as not will not reflect the quiet majority. I guess we'll see.

I

@Piggywaspushed

marsha,I never sad the majority of MN. I very specifically said some posters on here are representing that the anti masks /school mitigation group is a majority view. It is definitely not a widely held MN view. Just a very loud one.

I don’t think this is true actually

It’s a minority view on here that is broadly contested by many. I think you are more likely to notice it as it’s not in line with your view (we all do that)

And this is not like other sections of SM that I mentioned.

Yes it is unsavoury etc but it still shows the difference in what is online