Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 17th December

[boys3]

Welcome to the DATA thread.

Best wishes for the festive season to all contributors and lurkers

The preference for this thread is for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.
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Please try to keep discussion focused on these.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
UKHSA Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefing
UKHSA Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/guidance/monitoring-reports-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
UKHSA Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

Leicestershire, Cambridgeshire, Derbyshire, West Sussex

y-axis max at 1200. Rates on 26th - just a two day lag with a fair few more cases to add - in all instances either already above or only just below that on 24th.

This is an interesting graph - only up to 21st but illustrating nicely the "incidental" covid currently in hospital figures.

Hampshire, Warwickshire, Suffolk, Staffordshire

Similar story to the previous graph. Although Suffolk interesting - peak so far on 23rd, so quite how the reporting lag plays through will be key.

1100 per 100,000 y-axis max

Norfolk, Northamptonshire, Cumbria, West Sussex

Rather like the graph with Lancashire Cumbria's trajectory most marked on this one. Although none of these four look to have peaked as yet.

Again 1100 y-axis max

All of which leaves six county areas with rates still in three figures.

Worcestershire, North Yorkshire and Lincolnshire - all on an upward path.

Finally Gloucestershire, Somerset and Devon

Devon the only county with a current rate lower, at the moment, than that on 6th December. Whilst note shown Torridge, highest rates in England a month ago now has the lowest. Again all three still to reach their peak.

Upper tier councils in the North West; again y-axis max varies between graphs. General conclusion that peak yet to be reached.

final North West upper tier group

Upper tier councils in Yorkshire and Humber

Upper tier councils in North East

Here's a bit more detail about cases in older people which I raised yesterday but was accused of showing misleading data.

The shift of growth rate has clearly changed in the last couple of weeks.

mobile.twitter.com/VictimOfMaths/status/1476147025225916423

Upper tiers in West Mids

@boys3

Finally Gloucestershire, Somerset and Devon

Devon the only county with a current rate lower, at the moment, than that on 6th December. Whilst note shown Torridge, highest rates in England a month ago now has the lowest. Again all three still to reach their peak.

Always last to get the wave!

Upper tiers in East Midlands. Very different profile for Nottingham - some of earliest Omicron cases if memory serves?

@BigWoollyJumpers source for that graph?

And their definition of "true covid cases"??

Is that the same graph that Alison Pearson is misunderstanding on Twitter currently?

[quote JanglyBeads]@BigWoollyJumpers source for that graph?

And their definition of "true covid cases"??[/quote]
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/12/28/covid-hospital-data-should-treated-caution-many-patients-admitted/

True covid cases are assessed as being admissions of patients from A&E/Community for specific Covid-19 treatment.

Everyone I know admitted to hospital because of covid wasn't admitted for covid but because of pneumonia for example caused by covid.

[quote lonelyplanet]Here's a bit more detail about cases in older people which I raised yesterday but was accused of showing misleading data.

The shift of growth rate has clearly changed in the last couple of weeks.

mobile.twitter.com/VictimOfMaths/status/1476147025225916423[/quote]
although full context might be helpful; percentage change plus absolute numbers / 7 day rates - given the older groups are starting from a much lower base.

The percentage increase is evident; however rates in those older age groups remain far lower than older age groups. How that continues to play out will be key.

far lower than younger age groups that should say

@RoyalFamilyFan

Everyone I know admitted to hospital because of covid wasn't admitted for covid but because of pneumonia for example caused by covid.

I think that would count as treatment for covid.

Be aware though that the graph is showing the percentage of the increase in cases which are due to covid, with incidental covid making up the rest of the increase. It's not the percentage of all hospital admissions which are due to covid (which is more stable and has fallen from around 80% to 70% in the last few weeks)

Thanks for that coloured table @boys3. It's really helpful seeing the rates and also the percentage change together. So rates highest in the 20-45 age groups. Still a lot lower in the oldest ages, but growing faster there as a proportion of what they were previously in those age groups.

It's not the percentage of all hospital admissions which are due to covid (which is more stable and has fallen from around 80% to 70% in the last few weeks)

There is no published data on the above, and it's quite unlikely that the admissions happen to exactly match the London figures for patients in hospital at 8am.

*although full context might be helpful; percentage change plus absolute numbers / 7 day rates - given the older groups are starting from a much lower base.

The percentage increase is evident; however rates in those older age groups remain far lower than older age groups. How that continues to play out will be key.*

I agree, which is why I linked the thread.

Thank you for the chart. It is easier to read than the graphs in the thread.