Data, Stats, Daily Numbers started 22nd October 2021

[boys3]

This is the DATA thread.

Our preference is for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.

Please try to keep discussion focused on these.

The links below cover a range of data sources. Ideas for additions or deletions always welcome. PHE probably should be referenced at UKHSA.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
PHE Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

The methodology for the process of adjusting / correcting for incompleteness is not stated

The source python script is linked on the page, but not quickly readable enough for me to judge when we'll find out tomorrow on the age breakdown cases page (5th is when that graph turns upwards, which will be on the gov page tomorrow)

Health metrics in England 2021 v 2020 seven day average comparison.

These are admissions - both for the whole year and from Aug to Dec

admissions, just the Aug-Dec period for NHS regions in England.

finally for admissions all English NHS regions rate per million since start October

same set for Hospitalisations in England. Starting with the overall level

NHS regions in England

and regional rates since start October on one graph

deaths within 28 days by date of death, again just England

regional rates from start October

we can get from the download and archive facility cases by age band up to the most recent specimen dates. The archive facility allows a like for like assessment. Hence this table takes the actual cases for each age band for the past three specimen dates as reported today - so yesterday, Sunday and Saturday just gone; and the data as reported last Tuesday for Monday 1st, Sunday 31st October and Saturday 30th.

For Saturday, likely to be 95%+ reported by the Tuesday, the one just gone has over 5,000 fewer cases than the preceding Saturday when reported at the same point. Only one age band - 0 to 4s - does not show a reduction; but the increase is just 7 cases. Likewise whilst the 25-29s do show a reduction this is only by 5 cases.

Taking Sunday 0-4s increased this week; plus also the 20-24s and 25-29s Overall though the most recent Sunday is over 3,600 cases lower than the previous Sunday at the same reporting point.

Finally Monday - recognising each shown is just its first day reported. Yesterday not far off 600 fewer cases than the previous Monday. Increases in 8 of 19 age bands.

An increase of just 2 cases for both the 20-24s and over 90s; the latter of course from a far smaller base.

Then 0-4s and 5-9s up; latter with the most marked increase; 742 to 856

25-29s and 30-34s up, plus then the 55-59s and ^60-64s

All the above relates to cases in England.

whilst that table just covered the last few days, these are rates per 100,000 by age band in England from start October to 6th November spec dates. The y-axis scale will vary across the graphs - each with 3 to 4 age bands shown.

Starting with the most vulnerable age groups. This graph for covers the three 80+ age bands. The y-axis scale covers a fairly narrow 80 to 160 per 100,000

60-79s

The flattening in the last couple of days in the 60-64s is evident.

40-59s

20-39s

0-19s - distorted somewhat by the case rates in the 10-14s; a group which continues a fairly brisk downward trajectory

I don't say this often enough, thanks for the graphs boys3.

Are we beginning to see the booster effect, or just those most at risk being more cautious?

Excess deaths in the home are very high
www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/england-wales-office-for-national-statistics-marie-curie-ian-jones-b965166.html?amp

@boys3 Love a graph. Thank you so much for taking the time to produce them.

[quote Dirtystreetpie]Excess deaths in the home are very high
www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/england-wales-office-for-national-statistics-marie-curie-ian-jones-b965166.html?amp[/quote]
This doesn't surprise me per-se. There has been a gradual move away, particularly by the very elderly or terminally ill, to put in place letters for non-admission in various scenarios. Most people want to die at home, and in Covid times this will have increased.

My main concern is the inference that these people didn't have the community support at end of life, which is very bad.

Of those I know who have died at home (or in care homes) recently, they have had district nurses come in and give palliative care, thank goodness, but obviously this is not the case everywhere, and that is just not acceptable, nor humane.

@boys3

0-19s - distorted somewhat by the case rates in the 10-14s; a group which continues a fairly brisk downward trajectory

Distorted in what sense, @boys3?

I agree @BigWoollyJumpers and have had experience. Thankfully the care and support was given at home and was definitely a choice. Hospices are providing a much greater level of support in people's own homes. There is a finite number of hospice beds that simply cannot cope with the numbers of people who would previously have had access to a bed. A peaceful death at home with your loved ones there is so much better than in a general hospital ward which I've also sadly had experience of. The worry as you say is if the support at home is not there.

Ah sorry @boys3, have realised you mean because the y axis is so different to accommodate the higher rates.

Excess deaths at home are higher in groups where it's highly unlikely to be end of life care related aren't they?

www.kingsfund.org.uk/blog/2021/06/understanding-why-deaths-home-increased-covid-19-pandemic

Good article here on this subject. It looks as though most of the excess deaths at home are deaths that would normally have taken place at hospital. Lots of questions as to whether this was by choice and if there was adequate care in place.

Is there any data on suicide rates since pandemic began?