Data, Stats, Daily Numbers started 22nd October 2021

[boys3]

This is the DATA thread.

Our preference is for factual, data driven and analytical contributions.

Please try to keep discussion focused on these.

The links below cover a range of data sources. Ideas for additions or deletions always welcome. PHE probably should be referenced at UKHSA.

UK govt press conferences slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
PHE Vaccine efficacy www.gov.uk/government/publications/phe-monitoring-of-the-effectiveness-of-covid-19-vaccination
SAGE : Minutes and Models www.gov.uk/government/collections/scientific-evidence-supporting-the-government-response-to-coronavirus-covid-19
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/ includes R estimates
PHE Weekly Flu & Covid Surveiilance Reports 2021-22 Season www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2021-to-2022-season
Dashboard Vaccine Map to MSOA level coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/interactive-map/vaccinations
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Sanger Genome Maps & Data covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
UCL Virus Watch ucl-virus-watch.net/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Sewage www.gov.uk/government/publications/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-19-may-2021-emhp-programme/wastewater-testing-coverage-data-for-the-environmental-monitoring-for-health-protection-emhp-programme.
Sewage reports www.gov.uk/government/publications/monitoring-of-sars-cov-2-rna-in-england-wastewater-monthly-statistics-june-2021
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHS England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSOA Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

@Piggywaspushed

Do they actually say they are offering 3rd dose for walk ins, though?

I've been reading there is a difference between third dose and boosters is this correct, so the over 50s walk in (which the nearest is 40miles away) says that it is offering boosters, is this less of a dose?

Regards child deaths, sadly over half term a child in out MAT died of covid. They did have a secondary illness, but this did not stop them living a very normal life and unless you knew them you would not be aware they had an illness. Anyway, they have asked for media silence and have been supported due to the vitriol that was target at the parents of another child that died locally. I just feel so very sad about it all.

I think that the list for 'underlying health conditions' seems to be quite broad and people would be surprised to find people they know "on the list" who in all main respects lead perfectly normal lives.
Either way, it must be awful to feel as if your child's death from/with (whatever!) is regarded by others as somehow less relevant.
Not stats, so I will shut up now.

@Piggywaspushed

I got this too. Am guessing the websites will update later. Our local mayor and MP are very good at updating on Facebook so I shall keep an eye on this. DH is 6 months post vaccine 2 next week. We also can't get flu jab for love or money, which is Groundhog Day for us!

Where do you live? Myself and DH got our flu jabs a few weeks ago at a small local Boots, and both DD's (youngsters) got theirs over the last couple of weeks at their local Boots. We didn't have to pay, girls did.

@CallmeHendricks

I think that the list for 'underlying health conditions' seems to be quite broad and people would be surprised to find people they know "on the list" who in all main respects lead perfectly normal lives. Either way, it must be awful to feel as if your child's death from/with (whatever!) is regarded by others as somehow less relevant. Not stats, so I will shut up now.

Yes normally on MN if anyone talks about a child dying people are horrified. But mention covid and it becomes - well children die all the time. How is that supportive of parents on MN whose child may have died.

Indeed @julieca.
So sorry @Regulus.

Good point re the “everyone’s going to catch it multiple times in their lifetime” argument made here:

twitter.com/merylswanlake/status/1454480784195297288?s=21

@julieca

I got a flu jab easily, but they are inviting people based on vulnerability. So if you are in your fifties with no other vulnerabilities then you might wait a but until more vulnerable are done.

Just checked Boots locally, we must be lucky? I am jabbed already, but can get an "open" booking ie: anybody, tomorrow at several locations.

[quote JanglyBeads]Indeed @julieca.
So sorry @Regulus.

Good point re the “everyone’s going to catch it multiple times in their lifetime” argument made here:

twitter.com/merylswanlake/status/1454480784195297288?s=21[/quote]
If by "Good point" you mean "being needlessly hysterical" and "in bad faith" and "accusing people who disagree with you of basically being murderers", then I agree!

You’re entitled to your view @Oldgoat2021 ….

The flu jab availability was quite a saga last year. Our GP have basically told people to stop hassling them and are veeeeeery slooowly working through the list. Last year, in order to manage this, they lobbed DH (over 50, heart condition) off the list!

As an almost direct consequence of this, every local pharmacy is massively overbooked.

Our GP surgery is just not coping . It is not big enough to manage all the demands of the massive care home and all the new estates built on its doorstep and - being a village- its already existing older demographic.

Oh regulus that is so so sad.

@Piggywaspushed that is tough. There have been so many issues where they build lots of new housing but not the services needed. Planning law should say new houses cant be built unless there are realistic plans for the new services as well.

Regulus that is very sad

Do you want that up here, given the sensitivity to media and likely SM

Is it known how long it takes for a booster shot to actually boost immunity? And, if a person had the initial 2 astrazenica jabs and a Pfizer booster, would that be the same amount of time as someone who has had two Pfizer shots earlier this year and a Pfizer booster?

Data delayed until at least 5pm

They’re hoping to update by 6pm now.

Notably, Waterford city, which has the State’s highest rate of Covid-19 infection, has an adult population which is 99.7% fully-vaccinated, making it one of the most vaccinated regions in the entire world

Does anyone have more details on the Irish situation, almost 1500 / 100,000 rate despite almost complete vaccination in over 12's seems high.

Reuters reporting that Ireland has had 318 cases per 100,000 in the last 7 days.

40k cases today. Up from 36k this time last week but I think last week's number was missing cases from Wales?

@bluetuesdayy

40k cases today. Up from 36k this time last week but I think last week's number was missing cases from Wales?

Yes, Wales didn't report last Monday, but they did report close to 5k today, so if you remove Wales figures from today the figures are down. Haven't seen any England only figures yet to make a direct comparison

Reuters reporting that Ireland has had 318 cases per 100,000 in the last 7 days

Yes, the numbers are certainly high, I was wondering about more commentary on age breakdowns and stuff, the rate in their peak areas seem very high without large numbers of young kids testing positive, if it's being driven purely by vaccinated breakthrough spread (as opposed to higher numbers of unvaccinated people providing a large reservoir to get into the vaccinated) then it seems even less likely to reduce due to more population immunity.

Haven't seen any England only figures yet to make a direct comparison

Down about a 1000 I think, slightly smaller drop than recent times, and a slightly higher LFD than recent days, which I think is expected by most with schools returning in many areas after half term. However still down week on week.

@sirfredfredgeorge

Reuters reporting that Ireland has had 318 cases per 100,000 in the last 7 days

Yes, the numbers are certainly high, I was wondering about more commentary on age breakdowns and stuff, the rate in their peak areas seem very high without large numbers of young kids testing positive, if it's being driven purely by vaccinated breakthrough spread (as opposed to higher numbers of unvaccinated people providing a large reservoir to get into the vaccinated) then it seems even less likely to reduce due to more population immunity.

I was politely pointing out that you numbers were incorrect. I'm sure you're perfectly capable of looking for data.

Graph courtesy of @RP131 on Twitter. England down 4% on last week.

Sanger have updated their variant information, here is a thread discussing it:

mobile.twitter.com/jcbarret/status/1455253927226757124

"AY.4.2 (blue) continues its slow increase (~12% most recent week). The tireless @PangoNetwork released designations for about 100 more AY lineages. Possibly interesting one is AY.43 (yellow), which is also getting more common"

The AY.43 has been increasing quickly in some Western European countries.