We thought there wasn't the appetite for another lockdown after the first one, and again more strongly after the second one.
But then the third one came in, it was after people had been calling for it because of the surge in cases starting in Devember.
We none of us have a crystal ball that will tell us what the 'bumpy' autumn (predicted by many, including the scientific advisers) will look like.
There are more people in hospital with covid now than there were in March. And that's before the winter virus season, which won't be suppressed as it was last year by SD to lockdown, and goodness only knows how you make a good prediction for which strains to include in a flu jab when flu has not been circulating and no one knows which are rising. Also, as far fewer DC than usual had RSV last year, the numbers for that may well be high (2 years worth in one?)
I think it could still be an exceptionally tough winter for NHS - coming after a pretty exhausting 18mths for the staff. I hope it doesn't come to that, but if the numbers don't start moving downwards soon, I think there may have to be a return to SD for the winter. I really hope that we don't need more than that (but an unlucky, immunity-escaping new variant could lead to it, as could a new version that makes DC more ill)