Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 26th June

[boys3]

UK govt press conferences Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
PHE Variants of Concern Technical Briefings www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/

Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

1500 patients down from 40000 at peak

There are 2000 uk hospitals

There are 20 deaths per day if you average for flu

Eh?

Yes and 50 per day in a bad year

That’s if you average over the year obv most be winter

In addition to covid?

There are 2000 uk hospitals

If only covid obediently spread itself equally around every region.

Well I’m guessing it’s balanced or more one than other

There haven’t been hardly any covid deaths this winter gone

Hardly any

Flu I mean

www.pulsetoday.co.uk/news/clinical-areas/immunology-and-vaccines/no-flu-cases-detected-in-england-this-year-to-date/

Nearly 23,000 new cases today ! < gulp >

[quote Quartz2208]@Whatever9999 I was looking at October as you were looking at December!

It is good news on both fronts though[/quote]
I looked at December as that was when the alpha varient took off, seemed the most comparable to where we are now. Although let's not forget that delta is apparently 40-60% more transmissible that alpha and apparently more likely to cause hospitalisation (although I'm guessing that little factoid may soon change as hospitalisation definitely appears less likely now)

Yes, you realise once we open back up people's behaviour will revert and flu will find a very lovely host, just as croup already is in small children?

You are massively oversimplifying things wata.

It seems DfE are nudging schools that on site mass testing may make a reappearance in secondaries in September.

I don’t think cases even matter and neither do government

3 deaths today

It’s pretty much over

No one is following rules anyway

We are still above excess mortality rates

We are below excess

Both of these statements are true, because of the bank holiday timing in the most recent ONS reporting the UK was above trend, but that was due to timing of registrations across different weeks, overall we are still below mortality (as we should be given the previous excess!)

I’m actually a little bit worried about case numbers. Yes hospitalisations and deaths are staying relatively low (and hopefully will continue to do so) but in my area society is starting to shut down. Whole year groups and schools are closing together with restaurants, cafes etc. It doesn’t feel ‘normal’ if you know what I mean. In fact, things felt more normal last summer.

When do we expect this to peak and start heading back downwards?

Thelm

Once vaccinations done those isolations and shut downs likely won’t happen as rules around them change

Thanks @Bordois and @Tinysalmonswimminginastream, those were just what I was looking for.

Does anyone have decent stats for Long Covid in either adults or children?

Do any of the vaccines seem to protect from this or is it too soon to say/results of studies?

I have CFS which some experts feel may have a genetic link (speculation but female line mitochondria malfunction which is then triggered by life factors - infection/exhaustion). I do wonder as CFS and Long Covid share such a lot of symptoms whether my DS will be more vulnerable.

I am quite apprehensive about Sept, when he starts secondary. Currently the whole of a year is off school due to a sleepover party which caused infection of several pupils and then spread.

It will be very interesting to watch the figures of vaccines vs Delta in the coming months. Fingers crossed but I can't say I'm beaming with optimism.

Thanks for a thread which is data led and lets hope not beset by pointless argument. Well reasoned and data based discussion is fine by me!

I work for a Uni and LFT are encouraged for staff and students 2 a week but no one is checking and they do not have to prove it to use central services. We do have good track and trace though.

@Piggywaspushed I do agree. If people essentially stop hands face space etc in numbers this autumn I think we can all see flu may be coming back in a big way. There wasn't much over last winter as the precautions held it at bay.

I'll be first in line getting a flu jab (I go to a pharmacy and pay for mine as advised by GP).

The NHS is already planning for large flu numbers.

A concern?

COVID-19: UK reports 22,868 new coronavirus cases and three more deaths

@Justa47

A concern?

COVID-19: UK reports 22,868 new coronavirus cases and three more deaths

Is this also more concerning considering it's summer (harder for airborne viruses to spread) and ventilation is easy

@sirfredfredgeorge

We are still above excess mortality rates

We are below excess

Both of these statements are true, because of the bank holiday timing in the most recent ONS reporting the UK was above trend, but that was due to timing of registrations across different weeks, overall we are still below mortality (as we should be given the previous excess!)

The excess deaths that I saw was measured on the average from the last 5 years. So because last year was well above average-the average has gone up by a measurable amount at certain times. Which then makes this year (if you go by excess) look considerably better than last year.

So we can have more deaths this year but a smaller excess.

Is this also more concerning considering it's summer (harder for airborne viruses to spread) and ventilation is easy

It's better that it happens now, where more vulnerable people are less limited in what they do (more forced with the choice of indoors with people or no socialisation / exercise in the winter) and when people are fitter and have better results in fighting infection. We're not going to vaccinate under 12's, we're not going to get to herd immunity with vaccination, we're not going to lockdown to end transmission *, these choices have been made, infections now are better than infections in winter.

• Not that I think we could now, the restrictions would be too damaging.