Data, Stat, Daily Numbers started 26th May 2021

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Covid 19 Variant Mapping Sanger Institute covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

If that's not enough, look at this chart:

• 59% of confirmed Delta cases were in unvaccinated individuals

• Around two-thirds of A&E visits and overnight admissions were from unvaccinated individuals

• Only around 6% of A&E visits were for people that were fully vaccinated

twitter.com/fact_covid/status/1403279046235074570

There’s another little nugget in the Public Health England data released today which PA have picked up. As of 7 June, there have been 42 deaths in England of people who were confirmed as having the Delta variant of Covid-19 and who died within 28 days of a positive test, according to Public Health England.

Of this number, 23 were unvaccinated, seven were more than 21 days after their first dose of vaccine, and 12 were more than 14 days after their second dose.

This assertion that "delta is 60% more transmissable" is never going to stop, is it?

Why aren't the media being held more to account for their misleading headlines?

@Bordois

This assertion that "delta is 60% more transmissable" is never going to stop, is it?

Why aren't the media being held more to account for their misleading headlines?

guess it keeps helping the "we cant reopen on the 21st and more measurements need to be put in place"

Disagree Bordois.

That's an excellent link from Sky News above.

What is key from that link is that double vaccinations work.

We've come this far to getting back to a new normal - personally I'll always be wearing a mask and keeping my distance.

I could never stand people breathing down my neck when standing in a queue anyway, and as for those who push in when you are trying to select something from the shelf on a shop - my view is wait your turn! I have found that when someone does this, coughing loudly sends them packing.

What is key from that link is that double vaccinations work

The @EasterIssland referenced data with the 12 deaths from only a few thousand delta cases (my assumption is that with time to death of covid taking many days most of these cases must have been infected in may and identified cases in may were not that high) is not quite supporting in that.

Of course, probably a thousand double vaccinated people die everyday right now, so the 12 could be dying with covid, rather than of covid, although that would also need to suggest that infection rates were higher in double vaccinated people that hoped.

@Piggywaspushed

It appears that Delta might be more transmissible within households.

We have several sets of siblings out at the mo and two sets of twins,and they are cases unlike previously when it was often people isolating because of one person in a household.

That said, I don't think people isolate when ill in the same kind of stringent way they did way back at the outset when people sealed themselves up in their rooms and wiped everything down, and had meals left outside doors. Especially not where children are involved. The more crowded the house and the more occupied , the less likely this is to happen and student houses never seem to do this.

Yep.

No one gives a shit any more.

Not isolating properly, hardly any social distancing, mask compliance dropping like a stone.

And they still wonder why we're heading for another lockdown.

@Piggywaspushed

lots of kids being tested for one case in class instead of just isolating That is only happening in a few schools as a trial.

The testing of all contacts and all pupils in a school seems to have been focused on a few schools in hotspots.

Yes, outbreak areas with Delta variant are getting the extra testing. I do think it's more transmissible, especially because it's affecting younger kids, but I think the % is exaggerated and more like 20% above Kent.

1 in 560 positive in England, 1 in 300 in Wales (ONS survey just out).

School year 7 - 11 have the highest incidence, 1 in 200. The graph is an interesting shape, levelling off a bit last week- then I remembered it was half term of course.

Poor kids, especially the CEV/ CV ones.

There is also an echo of this curve in people aged 35-49, presumably parents and teachers.

@EasterIssland

There’s another little nugget in the Public Health England data released today which PA have picked up. As of 7 June, there have been 42 deaths in England of people who were confirmed as having the Delta variant of Covid-19 and who died within 28 days of a positive test, according to Public Health England.

Of this number, 23 were unvaccinated, seven were more than 21 days after their first dose of vaccine, and 12 were more than 14 days after their second dose.

Given that 42% of the UK population are fully vaccinated, and 29% of the people dying with the delta variant were fully vaccinated, I am a bit disappointed that so many people still died despite having had the full course of vaccinations.

Still, it is small numbers, so possibly not all that reliable as data from which to extrapolate.

Given that 42% of the UK population are fully vaccinated, and 29% of the people dying with the delta variant were fully vaccinated, I am a bit disappointed that so many people still died despite having had the full course of vaccinations.

You really can't look at in those percentage terms, of all deaths I imagine over 90% were double vaccinated, that doesn't mean that vaccination increases all-cause mortality so significantly.

@herecomesthesun. It's not a random 42% of the population are double dosed though - it's almost all of those who are most vulnerable to dying from Covid. If vaccines didn't work we'd see 95%+ of deaths in the group that are double vaccinated. So the fact that it's less than a third suggests that vaccines are working very well indeed.

[quote Firefliess]@herecomesthesun. It's not a random 42% of the population are double dosed though - it's almost all of those who are most vulnerable to dying from Covid. If vaccines didn't work we'd see 95%+ of deaths in the group that are double vaccinated. So the fact that it's less than a third suggests that vaccines are working very well indeed. [/quote]
As someone who is CEV & double dosed, I would feel more comfortable if the percentage were a lot less. I take your point, but I will continue to avoid crowds, theatres, cinemas etc and have no plans to stop wearing a mask or getting shopping delivered any time soon.

I'm very grateful for the vaccines, but they don't work well enough to make me feel very safe.

@sirfredfredgeorge

Given that 42% of the UK population are fully vaccinated, and 29% of the people dying with the delta variant were fully vaccinated, I am a bit disappointed that so many people still died despite having had the full course of vaccinations.

You really can't look at in those percentage terms, of all deaths I imagine over 90% were double vaccinated, that doesn't mean that vaccination increases all-cause mortality so significantly.

I didn't say vaccination increases all cause mortality, just that it doesn't seem to be as protective from the current strain of coronavirus as one might have hoped.

As more population gets vaccinated, at some point 99% of deaths will occur in the vaccinated group (simply because (i) the unvaccinated group will shrink and (ii) it is likely to include very low risk people).

According to the author of PHE report, Meaghan Kall (@kallmemeg on twitter):

Work ongoing to understand the profile of fully vaxxed people with severe outcomes.

I know you didn't say that, but the conclusion you attempted to draw from the data, is the same as the conclusion about all cause mortality being linked. In reality there's just not enough data, we need to know the actual cause of death of those individuals, if it was just covid (as opposed to covid as a complication or coincidence) then it would be considerably more worrying for vaccination effectiveness.

@herecomesthesun for me the crucial piece is 12 were more than 14 days after their second dose but 14 days isn't enough time for the second vaccine to take full effect. I wonder what the % would be is they took it from after 21 days of the second dose. A lot lower I expect

[quote Horehound]**@herecomesthesun* for me the crucial piece is 12 were more than 14 days after their second dose* but 14 days isn't enough time for the second vaccine to take full effect. I wonder what the % would be is they took it from after 21 days of the second dose. A lot lower I expect[/quote]
I’d like to know this too - how protected are we at 3 / 4 / 6 weeks after second jab?

I’ve had my second one this week, but I’m still feeling very cautious... don’t want to fuck it all up at the last minute!

You may have seen this but sewage samples in March 2019 in Spain showed Covid but interestingly not again until Jan 2020.

Yes, outbreak areas with Delta variant are getting the extra testing

Not round here, honest, guv.

Although there are mutterings my school may be testing next week as we know have 200 year 9s out...

@RiaRoth

You may have seen this but sewage samples in March 2019 in Spain showed Covid but interestingly not again until Jan 2020.

"Found" at very low levels on 2 of 5 samples is thought to be a mistake in their testing and has been critiqued as such widely since last summer when the preprint first came out. Here's an alternative view: www.sciencefocus.com/news/evidence-that-the-covid-19-virus-existed-in-march-2019-would-be-highly-surprising-says-expert/amp/.

Is the close contacts being asked to PCR test, rather than just isolate a new policy, or has it always been there and the people I know simply never previously been asked?

I think it is a policy that is creeping in , but not supposed to be used for Delta variant. Not sure how that will work!

It isn't policy in schools though, unless part of trial.

Erm...24 posts left after this one.