Data, Stat, Daily Numbers started 26th May 2021

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Covid 19 Variant Mapping Sanger Institute covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@Cornettoninja because it doesn't give the full picture of the Delta variant, you can't make a meaningful comparison, we're open more, mixing more than we've been for months and months but this kind of data could keep us from reopening.

Yes I'm anti lockdown I don't deny it.

@ILookAtTheFloor
my opinion only... if there were more proper testing and follow up and preventive measures and proper ttr we would not need a lockdown. I'd love it if anti lockdown advocates would advocate for the above so that we can all get on with some resemblance of normalcy.

@ILookAtTheFloor thanks for answering.

I think they’d be hard pushed to use the figures in that way since they publish number of tests and it would soon be publicised. I don’t deny it’s a possibility but I don’t think it’s probable though, not with the attention on admissions and deaths too

more proper testing
The UK has spent billions on testing, there is surge testing everywhere, free LFTs for anyone wanting. Sorry, but at some point you have to look at facts.

The case numbers keep going up but earlier hotspots (Bolton and Bedford) are on the way down. Blackburn might also be turning the corner - we need a few more days to confirm the trend.

I do not see how we can "re-open" by June 21 but I expect the third wave to plateau earlier than suggested by (out-of-date) SAGE models.

London boroughs are the same, moving the cases to neighbouring boroughs while original drops; e.g. Hounslow and Kingston down, Hillingdon and Merton up.

Over 1000 now in hospital.

I don't think the link has been broken, has it?

Well, sort of depends on whether the people in hospital have been vaccinated doesn't it?

NannyandJohn 1000 people in hospital on its own is a meaningless statistic Im afraid. Its all about the proportion of those who are vaccinated, how long they stayed in hospital and the proportion of hospitalisations to cases - is that the same as before/expected or less

But I have to say given that Chris Hopson is saying the the NH chiefs are saying that it has what makes you say it hasnt

But I have to say given that Chris Hopson is saying the the NH chiefs are saying that it has what makes you say it hasnt

I think we always have to be careful to think about WHEN someone said something, and what the data was like on that date, especially in the current situation where new information is coming in daily and the picture is changing rapidly.

Given the lag in dates between case numbers rising, and then the 'historically expected' hospital admission rise and then the 'historically expected' rise in deaths, those speaking so far have always been very careful to talk about 'early indications' or 'preliminary data' - because the conclusions can so easily be overtaken by later events.

It is quite possible - though please let it not happen - that despite hopeful early signs, the extremely rapid rise in cases does lead to an increase in hospital admissions that is flattened but still rises rapidly, showing the link is only partially severed, or that the rate of illness in the millions of unvaccinated and partially vaccinated is high enough to cause real concern. That won't mean that Chris Hopson was wrong based on the data that he had at the time, just that later data showed something different.

2% of those in hospital had 2 jabs according to Chris Hopson. Statistically it seems more likely that vaccines are helpful rather than useless.
Here's a longer quote from him www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/link-covid-cases-deaths-broken-nhs-boss-chris-hopson-b939642.html?amp:
"What chief executives are consistently telling us is that it is a much younger population that is coming in, they are less clinically vulnerable, they are less in need of critical care and therefore they’re seeing what they believe is a significantly lower mortality rate which is, you know, borne out by the figures."
“So it’s not just the numbers of people who are coming in, it’s actually the level of harm and clinical risk.”

Reading was shooting up and started surge testing on Monday, but it looks a bit like it's going down now.

@cantkeepawayforever - that is what he said TODAY, based on data as at today. He certainly knows more than you do about the situation in hospitals, the severity of illness, admission age, the plans, the risks etc.

[quote MRex]@cantkeepawayforever - that is what he said TODAY, based on data as at today. He certainly knows more than you do about the situation in hospitals, the severity of illness, admission age, the plans, the risks etc.[/quote]
Apologies - I had not seen his latest comments.

However, it is still worth saying that we have to think about the other 98% of the people in hospital - with such a large unvaccinated / partially vaccinated population still present, the fact that 2% of the fully vaccinated are hospitalised is excellent news but not the full picture by any means.

No, you're right there. Hospitals all need more robust capabilities and capacity to set up isolation wards, particularly before trying to manage flu and norovirus alongside covid next winter.

@MRex

No, you're right there. Hospitals all need more robust capabilities and capacity to set up isolation wards, particularly before trying to manage flu and norovirus alongside covid next winter.

Yes and yes. And there will need to be a massive effort in flu vaccination in conjunction with the autumn covid "top-up" plan.

(Sorry regulars ignore me. Am just going for max coverage on different threads again)

Not sure if this is just for residents of Waltham Forest or is open to other London borough residents:

Anyone over 25, or in any other priority group can walk-in for their Covid-19 vaccine at Walthamstow Library this week, with no need to pre-book.

If you're eligible, attend one of the following walk-in slots and get your first or second jab (if you had your first over eight weeks ago):

Thursday and Saturday: 9am-6pm
Friday: 9am -7pm

If you are unable to travel to Walthamstow Library, there are other vaccination sites available including a pop-up clinic at Leytonstone Library for those aged forty and over. Call 0208 496 3000 or book your vaccination online for this leytonstone library.

Evening wide people.

Could anyone point me in the direction of some evidence on dosing gap for AZ vaccines? I’m sure I saw something somewhere that between 8-12 weeks is fine but now can’t find it. It’s for someone who has moved the second to 9 weeks and is now wondering if that was the right decision (43 male in London).

Wise not wide!

Ilove I am looking to move mine forward to 8 weeks if I can.

I think with AZ the immunity grows over a longer period of time and will pretty much end up in the same place. But don't quote me on that!

But to me, we will probably all need boosters anyway next year. The Indian variant is a risk now and I will be better protected after 2nd dose.

wakeup yes I think if it was me I would move mine forwards too ( I’m already double dosed).

I’m frustrated because I’m sure I saw something somewhere that showed how anytime from 8 weeks onwards probably minimal difference. But maybe I imagined it

@Ilovecrumpets

wakeup yes I think if it was me I would move mine forwards too ( I’m already double dosed).

I’m frustrated because I’m sure I saw something somewhere that showed how anytime from 8 weeks onwards probably minimal difference. But maybe I imagined it

This is the main research paper with all the trial data: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3777268.

Dh has moved his from 12 weeks to 8. I probably wouldn’t have asked him to if we weren’t in a hotspot area though.

With surging cases in the NW I’d really like to know what the plan is. Assume cases go up but then eventually go down due to surge vaccinations?

And is it ok for loads of young people to be infected in the meantime? I’m really uneasy about it with my kids returning to school next week. I know they’re unlikely to be seriously ill and the vast majority of parents I know had at least one dose several weeks ago but it’s really quite worrying. An official regional lockdown would be really bad news though. Personally because the government did such a shit job of keeping out the Indian variant I think compliance would be super low. Which I think the politicians know. Not sure what the answer is. At least there is a heck of a lot of vaccinating going on. All a bit unofficial though. They should temporarily send more vaccines to hotspot areas IMO as it seems the only (hopeful) way out

Thanks @Mrex I guess we assume efficacy continues to rise post 6 weeks, but I haven’t found anything specific ( the bits I’ve seen just mention post 8 weeks). I think I saw something on Twitter where someone showed why post 8 weeks was really the key point. Tbh he ( and me!) are probably overthinking this! Too much information not always a good thing …

@Frazzled2207 - he is SW London so rising and with low vaccine take up. I am also uncomfortable with just letting it run through schools - although for me partly because I think we will have lots of disruption with bubbles out etc. Hopefully in areas with high vaccine uptake that should work to slow it down.