Data, Stat, Daily Numbers started 26th May 2021

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Covid 19 Variant Mapping Sanger Institute covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Think it will be interesting to see if other parts of Greater Manchester peak or if they keep growing. No sign of a peak here at the moment.

Ditto Truely and that’s of adult population.

I think London could get a little bumpy over the next few weeks if we're relying on a vaccine wall. There isn't one London Borough close to the average rate for England. It's got a lower uptake in nearly every age group already invited for vaccination and thanks to it's lower age demographic many still not eligible.

England average is around 76% first/ 53% second.
London average is just over 54% first/ 33% second.
The best London borough is just over 70% first/ 47% second
The worst is just over 42% first/ 20% second.

Heartening to see the rates in India coming down so much - can we trust their figures though?

Maybe. There's also higher immunity from infections. Looking at Kingston, Chessington rose quickly but is also falling quickly, tiny bits in other MSOA might fade off as they tend to do that. Croydon still resisting the trend to get new cases. It's much better than I thought it would be three weeks ago.

www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-manchester-57400378

www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/uk-news/matt-hancock-announces-travel-advice-20764790

Extra testing, vaccines and masks back in schools, and advise to socialise outside and minimise travel in and out of areas, across all Greater Manchester and parts of Lancashire

Here we go again!

At least they've said it in public this time, rather than just publishing it late at night on the Gov website.....

What's the point in these local measures. Needs to be done everywhere to have an effect.

@sandyandkirsten

What's the point in these local measures. Needs to be done everywhere to have an effect.

it kind of has worked in bolton , when they've done higher testing/vaccination so I'd presume raising this would be helpful

I wonder why London is so low. I live in London and nearly everyone I know has had at least one jab.

@sandyandkirsten

I wonder why London is so low. I live in London and nearly everyone I know has had at least one jab.

I think the NIMS data includes lots of people who've moved back overseas but still registered with GPs. There is lower vaccination rates, but I think it isn't as much as has been suggested.

London has lower numbers of people registered with GPs as well. If you are not registered with a GP you probably are not going to bother trying to find an alternative way to get vaccinated.

@PatriciaHolm

At least they've said it in public this time, rather than just publishing it late at night on the Gov website.....

Well the website was down...

@sandyandkirsten

I wonder why London is so low. I live in London and nearly everyone I know has had at least one jab.

Many of my colleagues are eligible now (20s/30s) but are at family homes in Europe/Asia where they chose to ride out part of/all of the pandemic so will show as unvaccinated even though they don’t plan to be in London until after august (when we’re more likely to return to the. Office) I imagine this is similar across London (and U.K. but more pronounced in London due to more wfh and international population)

Those are good points on low vaccination rates for London.

I don't know the age group my own borough is now currently at but I do know that it was less than three weeks ago that my 39 year old SIL was able to get an appointment for her first jab. Some are definitely lagging behind.

@antsy

London has lower numbers of people registered with GPs as well. If you are not registered with a GP you probably are not going to bother trying to find an alternative way to get vaccinated.

Vaccination buses have been going to some areas, no need for NHS number nor details. I've no idea what the second dose plans are; presumably they're told when you go back and have some sort of reference number on a card.

Vaccination buses have been going to some areas, no need for NHS number nor details. I've no idea what the second dose plans are; presumably they're told when you go back and have some sort of reference number on a card

Doing this, and then requiring vaccine passports is so evil.

I was just wondering, but before I draw any conclusion I have a question. We had lengthy debates about LFTs. What was this groups verdict on reliability? Let's put it in perspective: reliability compared to PCR tests?

REally don't want to start any debate, just interested in the outcome.

@sirfredfredgeorge

Vaccination buses have been going to some areas, no need for NHS number nor details. I've no idea what the second dose plans are; presumably they're told when you go back and have some sort of reference number on a card

Doing this, and then requiring vaccine passports is so evil.

What are vaccine passports required for apart from as an option on overseas travel? Would you prefer for undocumented immigrants to not be allowed a vaccine?

@MRex I know that is happening in places where infections are rising. Although I am in an area on the watch list and I am not aware of it happening here. Maybe it is but is not well-publicised?

@TheSunIsStillShining What do you mean by reliability, the tests are as reliable as they are (detect maybe 50% asymptotically as they're designed to be used, but significant error bars around) so they're pretty unreliable. But that's different to if they are useful for reducing the spread of cases.

For example if they catch 100% of super spreaders (not unreasonable hypothesis as they appear to be more reliable when there's lots of virus which I think is a reasonable assumption with super spreaders) then even being only 5 or 10% catching any case would likely be very useful, let alone the probably 50%.

Should you rely on the result of an LFD after significant contact with known cases and visiting unvaccinated high risk individuals - absolutely not - but that's not what they're used for.

When cases are low, false positives are high (at least a 1/3rd of positives during march/april were false) too high for me to think 100% isolation on a positive (better to allow solo/family outdoor exercise for example as that has significant health benefits that mitigate the damage by isolation)

I also think they're expensive for the return on health you get for them - money could be better spent on other health interventions, but that's not a COVID specific reliability question.

@Mrex - it's only evil if vaccine passports exist, they do not currently in the UK - however the government has said they will play a part, so unless use of the buses is because they've been ruled out, I say it's evil.

But also international travel is still relevant, there would certainly need to be a mechanism for the individual to recapture their vaccinated status some how to allow vaccinated travel - as you recognise one of the reasons you wouldn't want an NHS number etc. is if you are an undocumented immigrant, making it impossible for them to travel is evil.

I don't know where you are. It's always been allowed at, I remember Westminster had it listed that you don't need to provide proof of residency because I recommended it to someone whose 60+ DH had been deregistered by his GP so he was struggling to book. City Hall has been advertising it too: www.london.gov.uk/what-we-do/european-londoners-hub/information-coronavirus-covid-19-non-uk-nationals.

I was just looking at the numbers and was wondering if using LFTs was a way to artificially reduce positvity rate? I wouldn't put it past this gov to fiddle with numbers for the sake of PR on an int'l level.

Since then I found that the positvity data is for pcr tests specifically on gov dashboard*. But things still don't add up. On the global level -ourworldindata-, which non-ik ppl would be more inclined to look, shows a much lower +rate than gov dashboard for England.
Then again, I couldn't find the UK +rate, but that might be just me.

It could be just me not getting the plot. There's always that option :)

*I predict today will be around 2.5%, but I'll have to wait a week to see....

On London - whilst there is definitely an element of people being away from the capital, the data that was released on care home workers levels of vaccination during the SA surge do indicate there is an issue ( as with large urban centres generally). Anyway it will be interesting to see what happens there in the next few weeks.