Meet the Other Phone. Child-safe in minutes.

Meet the Other Phone.
Child-safe in minutes.

Buy now

Please or to access all these features

Covid

Mumsnet doesn't verify the qualifications of users. If you have medical concerns, please consult a healthcare professional.

Data, Stat, Daily Numbers started 26th May 2021

986 replies

boys3 · 26/05/2021 10:54

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Covid 19 Variant Mapping Sanger Institute covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

Our STUDIES Cornerwww.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

OP posts:
Thread gallery
72
MRex · 03/06/2021 06:19

If Kent patterns occur again, the flow is likely to go into Merton and Richmond, Richmond will die down quickly but Merton always spreads to Croydon. Lambeth will spread to Wandsworth and also Croydon. Banstead and Reigate is newly problematic and also has strong links throughout Croydon. Croydon is one to worry about.

EducatingArti · 03/06/2021 06:40

@MargaretThursday

Blackburn, Bolton, Bradford and now Bristol... I've got it! Covid is worse if you live in a place beginning with B it's as believable as many of the theories I've seen

Now back to the data... 🤣

Don't forget Bedford too.
EasterIssland · 03/06/2021 07:31

@MRex

If Kent patterns occur again, the flow is likely to go into Merton and Richmond, Richmond will die down quickly but Merton always spreads to Croydon. Lambeth will spread to Wandsworth and also Croydon. Banstead and Reigate is newly problematic and also has strong links throughout Croydon. Croydon is one to worry about.
Broydon? Grin
MRex · 03/06/2021 08:09

Croydon does contain Beddington, residents beware!!
Could Croydon be anywhere near herd immunity, from the waves before plus 55% adults vaccinated?

wintertravel1980 · 03/06/2021 10:02

Further analysis of additional spike in this week’s vaccine supply:

twitter.com/PaulMainwood/status/1400215636660396038

The hypothesis is that extra 1.3 million doses received this week is across both Pfizer and Moderna. I am really hoping the vaccine program will now accelerate.

alreadytaken · 03/06/2021 10:29

Back when covid began there was a lot of discussion about the proportion of asymptomatic v pre symptomatic cases. Obviously there is an age differential on this with younger people being likely to have fewer symptoms. Younger people are also more likely to be in less secure employment/ on low wages and therefore to refuse to test when infectious. Anyone who has contact with university students will know that there was some "I'm not being the one that makes my flatmates self isolate" and alternatively "why bother testing, we're all isolating because one tested positive anyway".

ONS estimates try to take account of this by getting people to test who might not otherwise have done so - but again they can only work with the co-operative. Inevitably their estimates will understate the true figures.

Yes cases are rising in the unvaccinated and that was always expected. If you want to avoid children needing to be vaccinated then we need adults to step up and be vaccinated. Fortunately the young who havent had covid are often willing to queue for hours for the pop up vaccine clinics.

There will be problems in places that have not managed to reach enough adults, in other locations cases may rise for a time but without overwhelming the NHS. The more adults come forward the faster transmission in children reduces.

This thread has always analysed data, it is no longer looking at all the data, hence excessive gloom.

EducatingArti · 03/06/2021 10:32

I disagree. I still think this is a pretty balanced thread and not all doom and gloom.

TheSunIsStillShining · 03/06/2021 12:10

Richmond will die down quickly but ....
Yeah, R. has a very elderly population who have either died already or have been vaccinated for months now.
Also, some parts of Richmond are parts where no sane person goes unless they have to :) Lovely as it is, there is nothing in parts.

Frazzled2207 · 03/06/2021 16:13

Good news tweet from Covid Fact Check.

Useful info - in England, there are 779 COVID patients in hospital, down from 801 yesterday. There’s been 49 new admissions of patients with Covid in the past 24 hours but 110 were discharged.

In Bolton, the number of hospital patients has dropped to 39, down from 49 a week ago.

wintertravel1980 · 03/06/2021 17:06

Bolton’s trend is very interesting to watch. I am hoping we are indeed seeing outbreaks / flares rather than the true “wave”.

lonelyplanet · 03/06/2021 17:34

Risk assessment not looking good.

Data, Stat, Daily Numbers started 26th May 2021
lonelyplanet · 03/06/2021 17:42

"Overall case rates increased in week 21. Case rates increased in most ethnic groups, and in all age groups and regions. Overall Pillar 1 positivity remained stable while Pillar 2 positivity increased compared to the previous week, most notably in children aged 5 to 9 years."

From the PHE weekly flu and covid report.

TruelyStruttingHotpants · 03/06/2021 17:50

Latest hospital information

Data, Stat, Daily Numbers started 26th May 2021
TruelyStruttingHotpants · 03/06/2021 17:51

Only 3.7% in hospital with covid had both doses.

wintertravel1980 · 03/06/2021 17:59

Also, the estimated secondary attack rate for B.167.2 (Delta) has gone down from 13.5% to 12.4% (vs 8.2% for B.117/Alpha).

So there is definitely some good news - we can stop talking about the 60-70% transmission advantage quoted by the zero Covid crowd + we are getting more proof that vaccines are working!

sirfredfredgeorge · 03/06/2021 18:08

Also, the estimated secondary attack rate for B.167.2 (Delta) has gone down from 13.5% to 12.4% (vs 8.2% for B.117/Alpha)

I've been wondering if much of this is due to the cases being so much more specific to school spread - not because they spread more, but because many of the other avenues of spreading have been nullified by vaccines - ie a couple of 60 year olds living together will infect one at most, now they'll infect none, so the distribution of households where a case is detected will imply a higher secondary attack because of opportunity.

ie non-vaccinated people live in larger households than vaccinated.

pussycatlickinglollyices · 03/06/2021 18:11

No update yet for today..?
Anyone know which twitter threads give them? when the Govt can't be bothered

Frazzled2207 · 03/06/2021 18:12

@TruelyStruttingHotpants

Only 3.7% in hospital with covid had both doses.
that's very encouraging generally but could still equate to quite a lot of people if cases dramatically increase
kirinm · 03/06/2021 18:13

PHE say

5274 cases
18 deaths over 28 days

lonelyplanet · 03/06/2021 18:19

@wintertravel1980

Also, the estimated secondary attack rate for B.167.2 (Delta) has gone down from 13.5% to 12.4% (vs 8.2% for B.117/Alpha).

So there is definitely some good news - we can stop talking about the 60-70% transmission advantage quoted by the zero Covid crowd + we are getting more proof that vaccines are working!

I'm not sure the news is that great: "Delta continues to demonstrate a substantially increased growth rate compared to Alpha, across multiple analyses. Delta cases are rising whilst Alpha cases are declining. Secondary attack rates, including household secondary attack rates, are higher for Delta, but these are not yet corrected for vaccination status. There is in vitro evidence suggestive of increased replication in biological systems that model human airway. It is highly likely that Delta is significantly more transmissible than Alpha."
TruelyStruttingHotpants · 03/06/2021 18:21

Yes Frazzled that is true. They is also talk that the delta is sending more people to hospital in the first place. Not sure if true or why yet. It could be panic factors at play rather than seriousness of the cases. I wonder this because they don't seem to actually stay in hospital very long. I don't know and we will soon find out🤷‍♀️

MRex · 03/06/2021 18:39

@TruelyStruttingHotpants

Yes Frazzled that is true. They is also talk that the delta is sending more people to hospital in the first place. Not sure if true or why yet. It could be panic factors at play rather than seriousness of the cases. I wonder this because they don't seem to actually stay in hospital very long. I don't know and we will soon find out🤷‍♀️
It's possible for there to be changes that don't fit neatly into better/ worse. E.g. Could be higher impact on lungs so greater need for oxygen, but lower impact of wide-ranging ranging symptoms like heart inflammation that lead to more deaths. I'm not suggesting that's a correct example, literally making it up to explain what I mean. Also, we may not yet have fully taken into account the effect of treatment improvements where people can be admitted but turned around quite quickly.
Ilovecrumpets · 03/06/2021 18:57

I had been feeling pretty positive but must admit the data from PHE today is rather worrying. Higher transmissibility and increased virulence which they are estimating is a x2.6 increased risk of hospitalisation compared to Alpha ( don’t have the data as to whether risk
Of death increases similarly). The breakdown does also seem to back up that one dose of the vaccine isn’t as effective against delta either ( and we need to wait to see where 2 dose AZ ends up against it).

Putting aside the U.K. situation what it means as this spreads more widely is very concerning.

NannyAndJohn · 03/06/2021 19:07

It's the increase in hospitalisation risk that's most worrying.

Everyone except the most ardent Covid deniers knew about the sharp increase in transmissibility.

But not the 2.6 fold increase in risk of hospitalisation.