Data, Stat, Daily Numbers started 26th May 2021

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Covid 19 Variant Mapping Sanger Institute covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

Thanks for the new thread!

Thanks. Have just heard Mr Cummings explaining how the Cabinet Secretary after investigating the state of PPE procurement in mid April (Matt H had said everything was fine), stated that he had “ lost faith in the honesty of the Health Secretary”.

There’s loads of stuff there. Do people find DC credible? I think I do, but t realise he has political motivations so maybe am being naive....

I'm watching DC live. I find him very believable (unpopular opinion on MN, I know). He's got evidence of Health Secretary lying to cabinets on multiple occasions.

We know many of the Cabinet and PM has lied to us. So has Dominic Cummings.

This re-framing of the narrative will work. Cummings will be the good guy in people's eyes. I despair.
He is just as much of a lying shit as the others and now he has the opportunity and willing partners to repaint himself as the almost hero of the story. Disgusting.

Do people find DC credible?

I have commented on another thread - I think he believes in what he is saying but it is his version of the world skewed by the benefit of hindsight and desire for revenge.

I do not believe DC really expected UK to lock down "no later than the first week of March", i.e. way before Italy. I am guessing he has selectively edited his memories (similarly to what he did with the blog).

Oh, I just answered on the other thread. I find him an extremely credible liar, amongst the best (though he let himself down with the eyesight test malarkey). There will be truth in what he says, but separating it out from the version created to make himself look good and do damage to those who he felt crossed him will be tricky.

Thanks for new thread

Thank You for the new thread.

I find DC's I told you so story disgusting. But then this is the man who exposed his 4 year old to a high viral load in a vehicle for several hours.

Going back to the question of AZ vaccine intervals, did anyone ever get to the bottom of whether the reduction in efficacy with the shorter intervals was a purely a function of the the elapsed time since the 1st vaccine? Explaining this badly, but if antibodies take, say 20 weeks (random number) from the 1st vaccine to build, anyone given the 2nd dose early won't have had the time to build the antibodies - but does having the 2nd early affect the final outcome at, say, 20 weeks or 6 months or whatever, compared to someone who had the 2nd dose at 12 weeks?

Placing myself here ! Thanks for the new thread

MRex - have just seen your reply on DC on the old thread. Thank you for such a good laugh. I could not agree more:).

You should really copy it here - it is very, very funny and, in my opinion, 100% spot on.

Thanks for the new thread boys3 ...

If I was an A-level English teacher I would include this whole DC story in the curriculum. Unfortunately it is almost perfectly built, orchestrated and put on display. And I guess ppl will be swallowing it hook, bait and sinker.

To rebuff even just some of the blatant twists to the actual facts someone would need to fact check and publish a counter "testimony".
I'd guess I'd expect BBC to do that at least.

But that is never going to happen.
I do wonder what his end game is though?...

I do wonder what his end game is though?...
He is going after Hancock most, because Hancock wanted him (hung) sacked for the Barnard Castle incident, then had that dreadfully confused and messy press conference of supposedly supporting Cummings "within the guidelines" while clearly not buying it himself "understand why nobody else thinks that". Also Hancock had a key role with vaccines, so must be really smacked down over PPE if he's to be ousted from any future leadership campaign. He isn't criticising Rishi Sunak, so he clearly thinks Rishi is very popular with the party members, MPs and/or the public.

Option 1: He's very very angry about being sacked and simply wants to hurt as much as possible everyone who was involved or who didn't help him.
Option 2: He hopes to get another adviser role. Cummings will see his only hope as working for someone who is a Remainer to give them a Brexit veneer. Javid and Raab don't need Brexit veneer. Hancock would stand, hence the need for smackdown. Hunt will stand again, possible. Clark also possible. Rishi likes to be seen as careful, it's impossible to imagine him bringing in Mr Toxic, but he may not go for PM next time (only 41, he has time) and will have a big voice so must be kept onside.
Option 3: This is prep for a book, in which the hero says everyone is a fuckwit except him and makes up a load of crap that can't be proven either way. It'll be called something like Cummings and Goings On at Number 10.

@MRex
interesting options.
Let's assume that he is a narcissistic sociopath. There are signs. Then option 1 is only a short term satisfaction - not sure it would be enough
option 2 might be a long term gain
option 3 is most likely as it will keep him in the limelight and history books.
I have filed this whole shitshow into a box in my head and come back to it in 2-4-6 years time :)

Let's assume that he is a narcissistic sociopath.
Yes, that sounds fair.
I didn't include option 4, some sort of long game mixed up with Gove, which The Telegraph has as their main theory. I don't believe it, simply because Cummings knows Gove doesn't have a hope of leadership. Gove mixed up onr his stalking horse role for someone else, very much more likely.

Option 3 would seem by some distance to be the most commercially astute.

Netflix multi-season series here we come.

Not quite sure how all this quite fits with a data thread mind

Thanks for the new fred boys3

DC evidence adjourned for 20ish mins...due back at 3.05pm

He is just as much of a lying shit as the others well, yes.

Time for a

Scotland cases are higher than I expected today - 546 compared to 394 last Wednesday and 318 yesterday.

The increase seems to be mostly in the areas surrounding Glasgow.

Is the new variant spreading there do we know?

Yes - in Glasgow it is, according to the briefings, but I've not seen any data of the % of each variant in Scotland.

Cases in Glasgow City itself aren't increasing too quickly though. Glasgow has increased restrictions at the moment.

I think the problem with the DC thing is that even if he is telling the unadulterated truth he has been positioned form all sides a s a liar and spin master? My concern, therefore, is the media and public will dismiss the important insights (and facts) he does share and the govt of the day won't be held to account for what does look to be some chaotic and shambolic leadership and decision making.

Oh, talking of Gove and not data thread related at all (sorry!) DS attended a webinar yesterday about how to get into politics and government, run by 'Young Professionals' (we rapidly discovered this as a branch of the Young Conservatives but never mind, they all seemed helpful people. One of Gove's helpmeets/ interns was there. he was exactly as expected. This is what my life has come to that this is now a claim to fame.

Unfortunately, for future diversity, all the attendees concluded that to gain access to politics you definitely needed to be public school, Oxbridge, male, and white. (to be fair, there was one female!)