Data, Stat, Daily Numbers started 26th May 2021

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
Covid 19 Variant Mapping Sanger Institute covid19.sanger.ac.uk/lineages/raw
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@Piggywaspushed

V sure nutty. Bedford MP rants about it daily on FB!

We have no pharmacies vaccinating or buses.

There are Pfizer places in Bedfordshire now , I believe but not in Bedford Borough.

I had my 2nd jab at Manton Heights on Tuesday. They were doing Pfizer in the gym and Astra Zeneca in a bendy bus.

www.facebook.com/1443993169167287/posts/2981745172058738/

Whoops posted too soon. Look at the age distribution in Bedford last week. Very few in the over 50s, looking good for the vaccine even with it being an Indian variant hotspot.

The circuit breaker in September might have been more successful but I honestly doubt that. We just don't know.

The Kent variant didn't begin to take hold until October, so a September circuit breaker wouldn't have made any difference there. If anyone can look up local authority data from last autumn, the crucial date is when the initial spike occurred in Swale.

Hancock has just said 1 in 10 people in hospitals had both doses of vaccine

I'd also want to know how long after the second dose they became ill; had they had time to build up full immunity?

I must admit I am very tired of all the "we should've done this and that" "he said this, I said that, they said the other", "we didn't listen to the science (what all the 50 different opinions from China, WHO, SAGE, Alternate SAGE, every single university lecturer in anything remotely connected to "science").

I, and this is just my feeling, I know many others disagree, that in the final analysis all western countries (and some in the Far East) will pretty much end up in the same ballpark with regards to deaths and economic fallout.

I lost both parents to Covid in January. Am I blaming anyone? No. At that time the home had been completely closed off for 4 months, no visits since the Summer. Regular testing, isolation for residents who had to go out for any reason. Full PPE. No agency staff. And yet....... Covid got in, most residents and staff caught it, and it killed a number of residents. Perhaps I am too much of a fatalist, but I honestly don't know what else could have been done at that point. Additionally most of the residents were at the end of their tether as well, mentally isolated, and losing the will to live.

@BigWoollyJumpers
I agree to some point. What is going on atm is more like finger pointing in kindergarden. not really useful. Entertaining for some max
BUT.... what is needed is a thorough analysis of what happened and why. In a similar event countries will need to be in a position that they have a playbook/advanced flow and decision charts for the scenarios that might occur.

Is Manton Heights the new no appointment one country? Form my surgery you can only book Gurdwara or Kings Arms.

I will say we are having case after case after case at DS's school, and mine. It is still causing huge disruption to young people's education.

I won't name it obviously but my area is rocketing on that Bedford chart!!

We have discussed this before but I would be interested to know why folks think it is more young males than females.

@Piggywaspushed

We have discussed this before but I would be interested to know why folks think it is more young males than females.

Men are in general less compliant with health advice. They're less likely in normal times to visit their GP, and less likely to do what their GP tells them to do. Maybe genetics (more risk taking) or may be socialisation (girls socialised to conform). In terms of Covid it's clear that this translates into men being less likely to get tested when they have symptoms (fewer cases detected in men despite similar levels of antibodies later found) and more likely to refuse vaccination. Young men are also the group most likely to have failed to register with a GP.

This is all despite the fact than men are at significantly higher risk of dying or being hospitalised from Covid than women of the same age.

Big woolly can you be sure that no one was moved into the home from a hospital though?

I had a friend working in a home and she asked why some residents seemed to be in hospital gowns with no personal effects with them and they said - they have brought them here from hospital.

Yes it is only now you can get a vaccination in some areas without being registered with a GP. But not everyone is, especially men.

[quote TheSunIsStillShining]@BigWoollyJumpers
I agree to some point. What is going on atm is more like finger pointing in kindergarden. not really useful. Entertaining for some max
BUT.... what is needed is a thorough analysis of what happened and why. In a similar event countries will need to be in a position that they have a playbook/advanced flow and decision charts for the scenarios that might occur.[/quote]
I want accountability.

Agreed , so how does the lesson likely to be tested thing then translate into more males showing as positive in the teen age group? Your theories all apply to why more of them have it.

@piggywaspushed it's been around a while, I had my first jab there at the beginning of March. It was the only Bedford site that came up when I booked via the NHS site. DH booked via the GP and went to the gurdwara.
They had a queue for 2nd Astra with no appointment queue on Tuesday and it was very long. I would guess around 2 hours and that was before 9am.

@Piggywaspushed

Agreed , so how does the lesson likely to be tested thing then translate into more males showing as positive in the teen age group? Your theories all apply to why more of them have it.

I think social pressures may make teenage boys less likely to comply with requirements/restrictions than girls such as mask wearing/hand sanitisation/hand washing, possibly also less likely to consent to regular LFT so more likely to spread asymptomatically to their friends

Anyone watching the briefing? Hancock being very slippery !

Yes lurker but therefore less likely yo get tests with mild symptoms. That's the bit I don't get!

Right so Manton Heights only for self bookings? V confusing. I know our 18 year old CEVs had to go to MK for jabs.

@Piggywaspushed I get your point, but for me this is where their parents are stepping in and getting them tested - either because someone else in the household has symptoms or the teenage boy himself does or through surge testing. That’s my only explanation, and I think when it was discussed previously it was thought teenage boys (still living at home with mum) had higher number of tests, than young men (living alone/at Uni/house share) because young men have the same attitudes but are fully responsible for their healthcare so would be less likely to use their initiative to test.

Yes, I think it probably is mums. At school they tend to fuss over their boy children a fair amount and take charge of their health decisions. This is true.

Teenage boys may also be allowed more freedoms than girls, especially in some Asian communities who've been particularly hard hit by recent outbreaks. More likely to catch Covid if out in a pub or sitting in a car with your mates than at home with your parents.

Yes it's the 18+ age where reported cases tend to be lower for men (nationally at least), suggesting less testing once their mothers aren't in hand to enforce it.

@UserEleventyNine

The circuit breaker in September might have been more successful but I honestly doubt that. We just don't know.

The Kent variant didn't begin to take hold until October, so a September circuit breaker wouldn't have made any difference there. If anyone can look up local authority data from last autumn, the crucial date is when the initial spike occurred in Swale.

Hancock has just said 1 in 10 people in hospitals had both doses of vaccine

I'd also want to know how long after the second dose they became ill; had they had time to build up full immunity?

Swale went, by week ending

27 Sep. 16 per 100,000

04 Oct. 33 per 100,000; in that week both Sevenoaks 46 and Gravesham 40 had higher rates. Swale only slightly above Canterbury; Dartford and Tunbridge Wells

11 Oct. 63 per 100,000 highest in Kent, although Gravesham and Sevenoaks but over 50 per 100,000. In Herts Broxbourne, Hertsmere, Three Rivers, Watford all between 89 and 100. Higher than Swale

18 Oct. 106 per 100,000, Sevenoaks low 50s, and Dartford just below 60. Gravesham dipped back to just under 50. In Herts Watford, Broxbourne, Welwyn, Three Rivers, Broxbourne all between 100 and 110. In Essex Basildon, Brentwood, Castle Point, Epping Forest all around the 110 per 100,000 mark.

25 Oct. 135 per 100,000, Gravesham also over 100. In Herts Broxbourne just below 170.

01 Nov. 202 per 100,000

08 Nov 295

15 Nov. 640

Very interesting data here re % of people ill/in hospital/died with 1 or both vaccinations.

Seems very good news for double vaccinated. Not so much for single vaccinated.
twitter.com/kallmemeg/status/1397987124750782470

sorry above is specifically relating to indian variant