@bathsh3ba
Are cases generally rising again, or is it localised outbreaks driving the number up? Or late reported cases?
The dashboard the last couple of days has shown case increases of 3% and 12% (ish) respectively and I'm not sure if this is cause for concern or not! Also deaths/hospitalisations still dropping but less fast - is this just because numbers are lower now, or also cause for concern?
Thanks!
This is just for England - given health is devolved - and based on rolling seven day averages.
Deaths into (high) single figures, there is always more of a lag to get largely complete deaths within 28 days by date of occurrence. To give it context the 7 day average was 38 on 28th March; 20 by 14th April and 10 by 30th April. The lowest we got to last year was 6 at the very start of September.
In hospital has been falling by around 20% pretty consistently, 7 day average to 5th May 1110, so halved as compared with 2234 on 13th April, with that in turn being roughly half the figure of 4348 on 25th March
admissions 7 day average dipped below 100 on 30th April; as compared with 200 on 3rd April; and just over 400 on 16th March.
cases as pointed out in terms of reported numbers are pretty flat now overall with some undoubted spikes such as currently Erewash, Bolton, Blackburn etc. In the 7 days to 9th May 53 councils areas had a rate per 100,000 of 10 or lower, double the number two weeks earlier. although the number with up to 25 per 100,000 was pretty consistent 238 vs 232.
As the England case rates by age band showed last night the majority of age bands continue to fall, but there are rises in the school age groups in particular.
Then the Bolton MSOA table posted yesterday gave an indicator of the impact of differing levels of vaccine uptake - with the caveat that there are other structural factors at play here also.