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Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 9th May

1000 replies

boys3 · 09/05/2021 19:21

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

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We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
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OP posts:
Thread gallery
78
Frazzled2207 · 20/05/2021 16:12

unfortunately numbers in Bolton have shot up today - 280!
247 allocated to 17th May alone
Rate up to and including 15th May (so out of date) is 321 per 100,000

brondary · 20/05/2021 16:16

What are today's hospitilisations?

Piggywaspushed · 20/05/2021 16:24

Isolation starts from symptoms fred so it may be to do with that.

Bigger news anyhoo today is incompetence of test and trace , including in Blackburn. Schools on the whole seem to do a better job !

Bordois · 20/05/2021 16:26

@brondary

What are today's hospitilisations?
There were 77 admissions on 16th May which is the latest date showing
MarshaBradyo · 20/05/2021 16:28

@Piggywaspushed

Isolation starts from symptoms fred so it may be to do with that.

Bigger news anyhoo today is incompetence of test and trace , including in Blackburn. Schools on the whole seem to do a better job !

Have some areas switched to local version of this?

I heard a bit on radio about Lambeth I think

Frazzled2207 · 20/05/2021 16:29

@brondary

What are today's hospitilisations?
latest figure from 16th is 77 3 in Bolton
lurker101 · 20/05/2021 16:31

@MarshaBradyo yes, coincidentally I was reading earlier today about Hounslow’s local Track & Trace - not sure how long it’s been up and running though

www.hounslow.gov.uk/contact-tracing

Piggywaspushed · 20/05/2021 16:31

Not sure marsha : just heard something about big cock up in Blackburn.

InMySpareTime · 20/05/2021 16:32

@Frazzled2207 Oldham went higher at the start of November before it all settled down again.

Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 9th May
MarshaBradyo · 20/05/2021 16:35

The joined up part of local test and trace sounded really good (support etc)

But I wondered if some of the really big issues that we’ve had are lowered by local version

PetuniaPot · 20/05/2021 16:35

In story from derby above I was interested to read:

local council officers back tracing to school

mention of importance of ventilation.

brondary · 20/05/2021 16:40

The local track and trace was set up by many local authorities in the north when cases were out of control last year, test and trace that has been given billions was failing, and because London was okay the government did not care.

wintertravel1980 · 20/05/2021 16:47

...test and trace that has been given billions was failing...

It was the "test" arm that received billions:

fullfact.org/online/37bn-test-trace-spending/

"Trace" was the cheaper part of the operation.

MRex · 20/05/2021 16:48

This has been itching at the side of my brain, so I did a Google on a London stats issue:
The population for vaccination is identified as 3,988,637 vaccinated and it says this is 47%, but that would make the ADULT population of London 8.5m.
Two quick Google searches tell me that the total population of London is currently guessed to be ~9.3 million, and that there are ~1.8m children in London.
That leaves 7.5m adults and would make the vaccinations in London 53% of adults.
www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/populationestimates/datasets/censusoutputareaestimatesinthelondonregionofengland.

Either there are a spare unregistered number of citizens in London that are only identified for covid vaccines... Or somebody got the total number of adults in London incorrect. I'll refer everyone to my previous comments that I suspect GPs have retained people who have left the country but weren't removed from the register; the more fluid migration in and out of London makes this a particularly acute issue for London population stats.

wintertravel1980 · 20/05/2021 17:03

I am going to sound like a broken record but we really need to increase surge vaccinations in Bolton, Blackburn and Bedford. We have got the capacity. It will mean people in other areas might get their jabs one week later but it is the logical thing to do.

We now need to focus on transmissions not just on deaths and hospitalisations and we can make an impact within 7-10 days by vaccinating younger population in hot spots.

MarshaBradyo · 20/05/2021 17:11

I know the default is test and trace was woeful

But I’d love to get insight into how much this was due to centralised system or that it is incredibly hard to trace outside small numbers in complete lockdown

Piggywaspushed · 20/05/2021 17:11

Apparently surge vaccination coming to Bedford. Problem is Pfizer.

EducatingArti · 20/05/2021 17:22

The problem with the track and trace was a bug in the software that meant 8 local authorities were not properly updated on their cases for 3 weeks. One of these was Blackburn with Darwen but I don't know about the others.

wintertravel1980 · 20/05/2021 17:25

We need 63,000 doses to vaccinate all the unvaccinated adults in Bedford. If I had been in charge of the vaccine roll out, I would have had them redirected now (even though JCVI strongly disagrees with this approach).

We are receiving 1.1 million mRNA vaccines per week (950k - Pfizer, 150k - Moderna) and we have now got about 4 million Pfizer doses in stock (it used to be 5 but we used some this week). This is more than enough to cover the hot spots and continue with the planned national roll out (but at a slightly slower pace).

Places with lower case rates (including London) could wait an extra week.

wintertravel1980 · 20/05/2021 17:45

The latest vaccine surveillance report is out:

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/988193/Vaccine_surveillance_report_-_week_20.pdf

It looks like in the real world Pfizer and AZ have got the same efficacy levels (at least against B.117).

Vaccine effects for dose 1 were defined as 28 days or more after the first dose up to the day before receipt of a second dose, and for dose 2 as 14 days or more after the second dose. Comparison was first made to unvaccinated individuals and second to 4 to 13 days post dose 1 to account for possible differences in underlying risk of infection in vaccinated and unvaccinated groups.

Compared to unvaccinated, vaccine effectiveness for 1 dose was estimated at 54% (95% CI 50-58%) for the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine and 53% (95%CI 49-57%) for the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine. Compared to 4 to 13 days post vaccination, this was 57% (95%CI 53-61%) and 58% (95%CI 54-62%) respectively.

After 2 doses, effectiveness was estimated as 90% (95%CI 82-95%) for the Pfizer- BioNTech vaccine and 89% (95%CI 78-94%) for the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine compared to unvaccinated. Compared to 4 to 13 days post vaccination, this was 91% (95%CI 83-95%) and 90% (95%CI 80-95%) respectively.

Frazzled2207 · 20/05/2021 17:51

@wintertravel1980

I am going to sound like a broken record but we really need to increase surge vaccinations in Bolton, Blackburn and Bedford. We have got the capacity. It will mean people in other areas might get their jabs one week later but it is the logical thing to do.

We now need to focus on transmissions not just on deaths and hospitalisations and we can make an impact within 7-10 days by vaccinating younger population in hot spots.

i agree entirely. this is now happening in Bolton and Blackburn though not officially approved by the government - they seem to be turning a blind eye to it as long as it's not 'official'. The only reason I can see for the government not wanting to be seen to support it is that several other towns could be in a similar predicament in a few weeks and it would then be very difficult to say that that all these towns could do it as that really would limit the supply elsewhere.

But anyway, just vaccinate the people in those areas as fast as you can would get my vote. Easy for my own vaccinated self to say that though. I'm not far from Bolton and although I'm not particularly worried now about my family getting ill, I am very worried about covid causing chaos in the schools once again.

JanFebAnyMonth · 20/05/2021 17:54

@sirfredfredgeorge

Unfortunately they have gone back to sending home whole yeargroups in secondary schools where I live

And schools here are not even doing the advice right - child in school Friday, kid tests positive on Tuesday, school decides the 10 day isolation starts on Tuesday. So whole class out for days extra than required because track & trace delegated to schools, but schools are incompetent and no way to complain.

And obviously, like with any measure, once you don't trust them, people don't bother.

Sorry, just catching up here:

Surely unfair, @sirfredfredgeorge, to say schools (all schools??) are incompetent, as piggy said, they had never set out to work as public health professionals! And, as she also said, they absolutely have to follow what they are told to do by local PH and /or the DfE special helpline.

Interpretation of the DfE’s Guidance on some matters - but not isolation - does depend in part on the individual Head’s attitude and understanding, although this should be overseen by governors and contributed to by senior colleagues.

There surely could be other, hidden, factors at play in the specific example you give.

If schools are returning to isolating whole year groups that must be because of concerns from their local public health teams.

JanFebAnyMonth · 20/05/2021 18:29

Don’t know how “info” turned into “email”!

TheDinosaurTrain · 20/05/2021 18:31

Surge vaccinating is definitely happening, with or without government agreement! Sefton opened it up to anyone over 20 last week in response to the Formby outbreak. West Lancashire which borders Sefton also pressing ahead, I know of various late 20s people who have been called for jabs this week by their GP - one friend said it was like a school reunion in the waiting room so clearly lots of that age group

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