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Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 9th May

1000 replies

boys3 · 09/05/2021 19:21

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

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We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
CovidMessanger has a been a great daily resource but will cease until further notice from May 10th. I hope the thread speaks on behalf of the very many posters and lurkers who have greatly valued this service when we say a huge thank you to littleowl for all her work in creating and sharing it.

OP posts:
Thread gallery
78
lonelyplanet · 18/05/2021 20:12

You are right, but 63% have had their first jab and 36% their second. This isn't massively lower than the national percentages (69% and 39%).

lonelyplanet · 18/05/2021 20:14

@lonelyplanet

You are right, but 63% have had their first jab and 36% their second. This isn't massively lower than the national percentages (69% and 39%).
Sorry this was in reply to JanFebAnyMonth
boys3 · 18/05/2021 20:56

@Frazzled2207

ooh local vaccination data is now on the dashboard
That's a great addition; and even better they base uptake on NIMS population.

Bolton recent days give cause for some optimism

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccinations?areaType=ltla&areaName=Bolton

I wonder if they will add age group breakdowns - as that is included on the NHS weekly file.

An MSOA uptake map would be great as well - especially if it allowed age filtering and seeing both cases and vaccinations.

And whilst I've got the wish list; hospitalisations reported by LA (and a map!) rather than just NHS trusts. This is probably driven from living in a large rural LA that does not have a hospital with the council area.

OP posts:
Frazzled2207 · 18/05/2021 21:19

@boys3

I might be wrong but to be fair I I think we have excellent data provided by the government dashboard generally don't we.
I have friends in France and the US and they don't have ready access to anything like this.

Frazzled2207 · 18/05/2021 21:21

when I say I might be wrong I mean people in other countries might have similar data. But I don't think generally speaking people in other countries have this kind of data available.
Makes me wonder how we all coped at the very beginning as it was very scant wasn't it. I literally had no idea how many cases were in my local area for months.

MRex · 18/05/2021 21:24

London vaccination rates are really bad comparatively. I hope there is more supply soon.

Doomsdayisstillcoming · 18/05/2021 21:50

@MRex

So crudely, there are 884 if you add up as England 749 plus most recent others.

So, probably about right. Maybe sooner if today’s drop for England was genuine. 114 isn’t much at that rate..

I’m going for Saturday 22nd (won’t get this data until Monday next week though).

wintertravel1980 · 18/05/2021 21:55

Am I missing something or does London look ok to others?

I agree - London looks surprisingly "ok".

Of course, this may change with the May 17th re-opening but for now looks like B117 immunity acquired during the winter wave might be helping slow down the spread.

It is true that Bolton and generally North West / North East also struggled in autumn but back then the highest prevalence hit 750/100,000. London reached 1,500+ - double that.

Doomsdayisstillcoming · 18/05/2021 22:01

[quote Doomsdayisstillcoming]@MRex

So crudely, there are 884 if you add up as England 749 plus most recent others.

So, probably about right. Maybe sooner if today’s drop for England was genuine. 114 isn’t much at that rate..

I’m going for Saturday 22nd (won’t get this data until Monday next week though).[/quote]
Actually it won’t update on the gov site until Tuesday probably.

wintertravel1980 · 18/05/2021 22:04

I have quickly checked the case numbers for the four London boroughs impacted badly in winter (Havering, Redbridge, Barking & Dagenham and Newham). The current levels appear relatively low (in comparison to the national average).

West London never got to the levels of East London in December - January so the level of pre-existing immunity there may be lower.

We really need to move to vaccinating younger population sooner rather than later. I still believe we should offer AZ to volunteers under 40 but it looks like JCVI is not willing to recommend this option. They are too focused on "directly protecting vulnerable individuals" instead of minimising transmission.

boys3 · 18/05/2021 22:08

@Frazzled2207 I'd agree, but no harm in seeing if we can get a bit more Grin; particularly given how often the MSOA cases maps has been referenced on these threads, a vaccination one would be a great addition.

OP posts:
JanFebAnyMonth · 18/05/2021 22:29

Isn’t the issue with London that Kent variant was more dominant and is still more so (than any other variant)... am sure I read that somewhere a few more days ago? Or maybe I misunderstood.

Firefliess · 18/05/2021 23:43

@JanFebAnyMonth

Isn’t the issue with London that Kent variant was more dominant and is still more so (than any other variant)... am sure I read that somewhere a few more days ago? Or maybe I misunderstood.
The Kent variant started out in Kent and London but since about February has been the dominant strain throughout the whole of the UK. The original ("wild") strain is now all but wiped out. Until the last few weeks at least when the Indian strain has started gaining ground in some areas.
FleeingBlue · 18/05/2021 23:49

@MRex

London vaccination rates are really bad comparatively. I hope there is more supply soon.
Just looked at vaccination uptake for Newham and Tower Hamlets and the uptake is depressingly dismal.
UserEleventyNine · 19/05/2021 00:34

If you adjust the table show it in order of vaccine take-up, 19 out of the 25 local authorities with the lowest uptake are London boroughs. I know that Greenwich had a vaccine bus a while ago, to try to reach people who weren't coming forward. Their numbers, while not brilliant, are better than some. What are the others doing?

lurker101 · 19/05/2021 06:07

@UserEleventyNine

If you adjust the table show it in order of vaccine take-up, 19 out of the 25 local authorities with the lowest uptake are London boroughs. I know that Greenwich had a vaccine bus a while ago, to try to reach people who weren't coming forward. Their numbers, while not brilliant, are better than some. What are the others doing?
Ealing had the vaccine bus at the Gurdwara in Southall a few weeks back. I saw it heavily promoted on social media by community figures, it seemed to be exceptionally busy. They were advertising no questions asked vaccination with no name/identification required to quell any immigration fears which I thought was an excellent idea (not sure of logistics though).
TheDinosaurTrain · 19/05/2021 06:41

@wintertravel1980

Am I missing something or does London look ok to others?

I agree - London looks surprisingly "ok".

Of course, this may change with the May 17th re-opening but for now looks like B117 immunity acquired during the winter wave might be helping slow down the spread.

It is true that Bolton and generally North West / North East also struggled in autumn but back then the highest prevalence hit 750/100,000. London reached 1,500+ - double that.

Knowsley was over 2000/100,000 in mid January and was absolutely hammered by it. It was also hard hit in the November wave. In my workplace there is now nobody who hasn’t either had it or been vaccinated (and we’re very stereotypical of the area). It remains a sea of white on the map currently, compared with Sefton and other LCR boroughs
Humphriescushion · 19/05/2021 06:55

[quote Frazzled2207]@boys3

I might be wrong but to be fair I I think we have excellent data provided by the government dashboard generally don't we.
I have friends in France and the US and they don't have ready access to anything like this.[/quote]
Going to disagree here, data in France is excellent and has been from from early on,

NuttyinNotts · 19/05/2021 07:58

Is there any data anywhere about how different local areas are organising their vaccine roll out? I'm thinking about GP led vs. centrally organised. It would be interesting to compare vaccination rates between the two different systems. Anecdotally I've been seeing GP led areas calling lots of people early and flying down through the ages and seeing the opposite with areas using a centrally organised system.

Piggywaspushed · 19/05/2021 08:35

Bedford (second in country) has no GP led vaccinations, to my knowledge. there are two hubs (after a loooot of pressure from the MP and his excellent work in the Asian community to get a hub in a temple). One hub is accessible via public transport really only if you live in that rather cut off area (and is viewed - entirely erroneously -as no go area. DH met people who said they were avoiding the vaccine because they wouldn't go to this area, or to a 'mosque') . The other hub is on a main road so more accessible in theory but public transport in the area is dire.

There is no Pfizer/Moderna at all for miles around so reaching the below 40s will be an issue. This has been raised multiple times with Hancock.

The texts come from the GP but not the vaccines.

Piggywaspushed · 19/05/2021 08:36

Not sure about that winter. Bedford and C Beds also got struck by Kent variant quite badly.

MRex · 19/05/2021 08:48

Each CCG puts up information, the problem is that they've each changed approach a bit so there's a changing picture. Bolton for example had GP led early on at Health Centre and Social club, then added Etihad in Manchester for those who could travel, then got pop-up walk-in centres on 30th March and vaccine buses mid April. None of that tells you if people can walk there or have a good bus route, which seems to be the issue people have had with getting to sites.

My borough and in fact the CCG as whole has bigger sites that are all fairly decently located for spread and transport, but they just don't seem to move through the vaccinations. Low vaccination rates yet only called up when the national sites go live with the age and everyone we know has been keen to book, quite a few people have travelled out of the area to get vaccinated. People in their 40s had a 2 week wait for the local centre, why if take-up is low? I really don't understand why but suspect it's because we got pulled into SW London CCG who are a bit shit, the only explanation I've seen for anything being delayed was when I read they were having a push in Croydon and Croydon were getting walk-ins. Fair enough, but the whole region is behind on vaccination, if they booked and used up the vaccines at other sites sooner they could have ordered more, I haven't seen anything nationally to suggest they had to make everyone wait for Croydon to catch up before more doses would be released.

sirfredfredgeorge · 19/05/2021 09:00

Can you work out a false positive rate?

Not very accurately, just the it's really low but, we know people aren't recording tests enough to say for sure how many tests there were and there's still an alarming number of LFT's not confirmed or removed by PCR - (18th april just ~30% of LFT's had a PCR confirmation test) do you include them as the same ratio of the false/true or do you assume that they were all true because people were very confident from other reasons they were true so didn't need to confirm.

The 0-4 age group is up 540%! Any data on the severity for children? Or too soon to tell?

There is still no suggestion that it is anything but very minor for this age group, remember surge testing is much more likely to pick up cases in this age group than normal, as they are more unlikely to have symptoms etc.

sirfredfredgeorge · 19/05/2021 09:13

I think there's more false positives missing, the numbers found on the days still look to be a different pattern to before, ie a higher proportion of tests in the unconfirmed.

NuttyinNotts · 19/05/2021 09:17

Are 0-4 year olds now routinely being surge tested? Most of the earlier iterations were residents aged 16+ then changing to 11+ once the Kent variant got going. I have heard of a primary school being surge tested locally after an outbreak though.

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