Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 6th April 2021

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control) rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@TheSunIsStillShining

Where I come from certain unis are looked at in awe. Because getting into them means your set professionally, teaching standards are ultra high, good prospects when you finish. Among these are unis like Berlin tech uni, mit, stanford,.... and oxford, cambridge. Since we live here I am confuse. Are these unis really deliver such high standard of education (proven in some way?) or is it 100+ years of really good marketing that got them here? Or they were outstanding, but fallen in standards the last few years? Pls dont' tell me to start a thread because I want some answers not millions of contradictions. confused already :)

Universities aren't all about teaching quality, which has only been attempted to be measured using various proxy metrics fairly recently. It's significantly about the research culture and myriad other factors, some of which affect how much money the university gets from the government.

@sirfredfredgeorge

Walking pace has been a recognised as proxy for risk for death for years - it's not about doing the walking, it's about being fit enough to not be slowed. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30303933/ keeping active is so important for this, and it was those shielding with most to lose.

Of course brisk walking can be a useful exercise itself.

Isn’t it about exposure though? If you meandering around Sainsbury’s, taking you sweet time, then I imagine you are more likely over the course of a pandemic to come into contact with more people and therefore increase your risk.

My wife cannot stand slow walkers. (I am talking young able people). We haven’t had covid.

Slow walking is a way of life, not just a speed. (For some people!) so I think there would be a lot of external factors that would negatively contribute also.

@sirfredfredgeorge

Walking pace has been a recognised as proxy for risk for death for years - it's not about doing the walking, it's about being fit enough to not be slowed. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30303933/ keeping active is so important for this, and it was those shielding with most to lose.

Of course brisk walking can be a useful exercise itself.

People who are unwell move at slower pace than healthy people. That's not surprising and didn't seem to have been accounted for in the study. People who make their bodies work a bit harder are very likely to have improved overall health outcomes, but the test could have been done better.

I agree @MRex

I was always a fast walker, until I had back problems. It's mostly sorted now, but walking fast still is something I now cannot do. After only a few yards of fast walking, I feel as though my back is coming loose from my hips. I've had to relearn to walk slower.
I can run though, no problems on the tennis court even with the extra twisting and stretching.

The problem with basic surveys of how much people exercise, people can vastly under/over estimate what they're doing.
My parents would say they're really not exercising much nowadays: they generally only play tennis around 4-5 times a week, a long walk is only 15 miles, and when they go out for a cycle ride they rarely go more than 25 miles (since they got a puncture in the middle of nowhere with no mobile phones nearly 20 miles from home), so they're really not active at all...
Whereas my IL thought heavy exercise was when working parking the far end of the car park and walking from the car to the lift daily. (almost 5 minutes walk!)

The problem with basic surveys of how much people exercise, people can vastly under/over estimate what they're doing

The biobank data has various studies of it, including fitting very large numbers of them measuring their movement, they do have a pretty good idea how much that data is overstated, (and also that the overstating doesn't matter too much in terms of outcomes as the 150minute recommendation takes that into account) It's not simply "do you exercise a lot", so it should account for personal judgement differences reasonably well.

Kauai reading about the gig trial yesterday (why all in Liverpool?!):

Participants had to do LFTs on Saturday (don’t know if they were supervised), then “encouraged” to do PCR on the day, and hopefully 5 days later.

Different from the rave where they did LFTs immediately before entry.

I wonder why they were different, or whether that’s the point.

Kauai ??? Was mean to read Just.....

I'm pretty sure it's the point.

(why all in Liverpool?!)

I think to minimise confounding effects from local prevalence elsewhere, likely irrelevant now given how low almost every is, but when they were initially planned you didn't want to do the trials in one area with 1% positive and another with 0.1% positive.

From what I read, the LFTs had to be done at a test centre where they were supervised

Thanks, as ever, for your thoughts and knowledge.

I got the text to make my the appt for my second dose, but it will be at 10 weeks rather than 12. iirc we don’t know if that makes any difference, do we?

Low cases today? 25% drop on last Sunday?

If they ever update the dashboard...

@Doomsdayiscoming

Low cases today? 25% drop on last Sunday?

If they ever update the dashboard...

20%*.

Get ready for a sea of yellow on the map.

From PHE Twitter
Only 1 death (although I know there’ll be a reporting lag on a long weekend)

i assume they are updating today despite BH? I know Wales not reporting. But I would be expecting a message if they were not intending on doing so.

It says on PHE Twitter feed that they are experiencing a short delay on updating the dashboard so it should still be coming.

I don’t think we’ll get any hospital figures today though as think they are only updating on working data now

Just realised I still had my Line of Duty name - back to normal now!

Has there ever been a "negative" deaths day?

@Bordois

Has there ever been a "negative" deaths day?

They've never reported a negative number. When they did the backdated correction for the LFTs they just put zeros on the areas that should have been negative. I guess they're trying to avoid being a laughing stock by claiming there's been resurrections!

I think when they removed the deaths on the change of methodology (from 60 days to 28 days?) they just corrected the culinaire total and didn’t show a negative adjustment

According to the dashboard there’s only been 1 day of nil reported deaths (30 July) and 2 days of 1 reported death (3 and 30 August) since the end of the first wave so it’s great to be back at those levels. Hope the Tuesday correction not too high!

@Bordois

Has there ever been a "negative" deaths day?

France has a negative case day at the end of April according to Worldometer.

@JanFebAnyMonth

Thanks, as ever, for your thoughts and knowledge.

I got the text to make my the appt for my second dose, but it will be at 10 weeks rather than 12. iirc we don’t know if that makes any difference, do we?

Not sure Jan, but DH and I have our 2nd booked for Friday - also 10wks after the first one (AZ) so you're not alone.

@JanFebAnyMonth

Thanks, as ever, for your thoughts and knowledge.

I got the text to make my the appt for my second dose, but it will be at 10 weeks rather than 12. iirc we don’t know if that makes any difference, do we?

We don't have information either way. It probably makes very little difference unless you have a weaker immune system that would particularly benefit from a longer gap. (And then chances are you'll be lined up for a booster in autumn anyway.)

Christina Pagel on the rise in Indian variant cases, mainly in London and the South East:

mobile.twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1389273187586875396?fbclid=IwAR3tnW6_6XrWLUMNZNoMEDNwZ6xOvshhAeD3uZs8mfkZNE1dBJtcR5dRavY