Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 6th April 2021

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control) rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@TheSunIsStillShining

is AZ doing ph3 clinical trials with u18s? I think they just did it with 18+, right?

The AZ trials for under-18s have been paused because of the CVST/blood clotting issue. They were partway through, some had definitely received the first jab.

25 days since a covid patient was admitted to my old local hospital (West Suffolk). No covid patients since 12th April.

I really think the NHS needs to go back to normal.

@TheSunIsStillShining

The report clearly says:
Overall case rates continued to decrease in week 16. Decreases in case rates were observed in the majority of age groups and ethnic groups, and all regions

There really is absolutely nothing in the report to suggest cases are rising.

Also difficult to correspond the data in there with the dashboard data, I'm not convinced they have any LFD false positives removed either despite the assertion.

And if you actually want to worry about the small change in a specific age group, it's the increase in the 60-69 age group that's the one to mention, not the kids.

Oh I think we need to continue to watch what is happening with infection rates in schoolchildren very carefully, for a number of reasons,

But as things are at the moment, I am not worried about my kids going to school. Rates are currently pretty low and the mitigations in secondary school appear to be helping a lot.

Does anyone know what the vaccine take up rate is like for the 60-69 year olds?

England only: 60-64 = 3,043,334 = 97.8%; 65-69 = 2,636,969 = 94.3%.
Very high.

Where are you guys getting this.issue with 60-69yo info from?
coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/cases?areaType=nation&areaName=England
Rolling rate for 60-64 is 15.4, 65-69 is 10.6. Very low and certainly lower than younger ages 30-34 is 36.8, 15-19 is 51.2.
(Numbers approx as getting from heat map.)

Yes that looks like it shouldn't be the problem. I was wondering if we had a hippie anti vax generation affect for the 65ish plus range. My parents had a lot of interesting friends

It definitely should have been long enough for that age group to be full of antibodies. Most would of had their second too.

recent weekly case rates and actual confirmed case numbers by age band for England. Age data published with a five day reporting lag.

Those percentages suggest to me that people in their 20s aren't testing enough. Is that unfair?

And that under 10s don't get tested.

The data is in the XLS download on todays PHE report, the data doesn't fully tally with the dashboard - but then as you know I doubt the dashboard anyway currently, and the dates are different to boys data of course

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/982284/Weekly_Influenza_and_COVID19_report_data_w17.xlsx

Those percentages suggest to me that people in their 20s aren't testing enough. Is that unfair?

Or everyone else is testing too much.

This week's data on variants is out.

www.gov.uk/government/publications/covid-19-variants-genomically-confirmed-case-numbers/variants-distribution-of-cases-data

There is a small rise again in the Indian variant B.1.617, but two more Indian variants have been added as VUI. One has 202 cases identified. It is not clear whether that's just in the last week - if so that's quite a lot to have appeared suddenly.

And that under 10s don't get tested

The PCR test is not validated in them so we don't have a way to do asymptomatic testing in that group, therefore the audience is different to positivity rates will have to be different.

@lonelyplanet

And that under 10s don't get tested.

Nurseries and schools mean lots of testing for people I know, and that age always had lower infection rates. I'm not sure if test numbers by age band are available, that would be interesting.

@TruelyWonder

Yes that looks like it shouldn't be the problem. I was wondering if we had a hippie anti vax generation affect for the 65ish plus range. My parents had a lot of interesting friends

It definitely should have been long enough for that age group to be full of antibodies. Most would of had their second too.

The group 4 hippie generation around me are only just getting their second jabs - group 6s 60-65 are still a couple of weeks away at least.

"Nurseries and schools mean lots of testing for people I know, and that age always had lower infection rates. I'm not sure if test numbers by age band are available, that would be interesting".

It's here.

moving momentarily away from age here's the 20 MSOAs with the current highest rates - a number of previous weeks included for context, final column being the most recent rate.

4921 overall with a suppressed rate in the latest data file as compared with 4873, 4574, and 3990 in the three previous weeks.

I'm not sure if test numbers by age band are available, that would be interesting

Positivity rates and Case Rates are available in the XLS, so you can find it out if you have the numbers in the bands. On Positivity rates 5-9 is the highest age group in pillars 1 and 2, you'd actually expect it to be much higher than the LFD eligible older groups, but it's only a bit higher.

Close to 20% of 60-64s received 2nd doses in England from the latest NHS weekly file published today (using data up to last Sunday). 30% in the 65-69s.

@sirfredfredgeorge have you seen any notes in the PHE weekly report to identify whether the LFD positivity rate is based on just unconfirmed, or whether it includes LFDs confirmed by a PCR?

Another general point is that the weekly reports figures are the numbers of individuals tested, as opposed to number of tests carried out. Which suggests that given the government (in England) expectation around who are taking twice weekly LFDs the numbers actually doing them (and then reporting them) is.....unspectacular. probably no bad thing given the reporting concerns

@sirfredfredgeorge

I'm not sure if test numbers by age band are available, that would be interesting

Positivity rates and Case Rates are available in the XLS, so you can find it out if you have the numbers in the bands. On Positivity rates 5-9 is the highest age group in pillars 1 and 2, you'd actually expect it to be much higher than the LFD eligible older groups, but it's only a bit higher.

The positivity rates are higher than any other group including the population average, which presumably means they are not being tested as much. Parents don't test them because this age group generally has mild symptoms.

@boys3 Not an explicit comment, but hopefully it's both PCR confirmed and LFD unconfirmed can't see much else makes sense. I'm struggling to reconcile any of the numbers really - certainly it all looks like the same data, but correlating the daily data form the dashboard with the XLS doesn't match up obviously (corrections from the day it was dumped etc. I guess)

Dh group 6 with diabetes high bp etc has his second jab next week. He was in first gp his clinic for Jab in group 6.