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Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 6th April 2021

988 replies

boys3 · 06/04/2021 16:09

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control) rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

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Thread gallery
104
lonelyplanet · 22/04/2021 17:44

The weekly VOC update is out:

www.gov.uk/government/publications/covid-19-variants-genomically-confirmed-case-numbers/variants-distribution-of-cases-data

It doesn't look too worrying at the moment. I've not included the Kent variant on the graph but that accounts for 98% of all variants found.

Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 6th April 2021
Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 6th April 2021
JanFebAnyMonth · 22/04/2021 21:28

www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-56849874

Over 95% of over 50s have now received at least one dose. 80% of care home workers (homes for the elderly)

Firefliess · 23/04/2021 14:54

Latest infection study out today. www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/23april2021.
Still falling nicely in all age groups and particularly steeply among primary school children.

PurpleWh1teGreen · 23/04/2021 15:04

I've just been looking at the Zoe vaccine data which came out earlier in the week.
It shows the percentages of vaccines given/accepted by higher social groups, vs lower. Similarly for rural villages, vs urban conurbations. No real surprises, but it's interesting to see the actual percentages.
The distribution by ethnic group is also given by percentage and is useful context.

Wilma55 · 23/04/2021 17:56

2678 positive, 40 deaths.

Ilovecrumpets · 23/04/2021 18:01

And 50% of the population vaccinated. Which is nice to see

alreadytaken · 23/04/2021 18:40

UK admissions today does not match the sum of England, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland - anyone got a clue why?

PatriciaHolm · 23/04/2021 19:00

@alreadytaken

UK admissions today does not match the sum of England, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland - anyone got a clue why?
Because the dates are all different; the headline UK 174 is from Monday (and does add up if you add up the countries for that day); Monday is the latest day we have data from all 4 countries for, so that is what is used as the headline, but data from the other countries is more recent. So you can't add the headline numbers for each country!
sirfredfredgeorge · 23/04/2021 19:14

LFD's still not being confirmed at any sort of rate, the pictures we got shown before said "MUST", but it's clear people aren't, or the link up is going wrong, or there's a real lag reporting.

1100 unconfirmed on the 18th, 5 days would've thought it would have been enough for quite a few of those to be confirmed? Is there any reason people wouldn't? There's not really enough other cases for these to really be confirmations of people who decided to take one after coming into contact with a positive case is there - and the geographic spread negates that as lfd's have to be well spread out.

Frazzled2207 · 23/04/2021 19:55

@sirfredfredgeorge
It is weird.
Is it not the case that if it’s a school child they can go back to school if they have a negative pcr? But not if they don’t take one at all?

Meanwhile I can totally see why people in certain jobs really wouldn’t want to test positive eg if it meant they wouldn’t get paid but if that were true surely they wouldn’t have logged a positive lft in the first place

alreadytaken · 23/04/2021 20:00

@PatriciaHolm Thanks - big drop today for England admissions, let's hope that continues.

JanFebAnyMonth · 23/04/2021 20:39

I think Joe Average can’t conceive of the government / School getting people to use a test which isn’t accurate. Therefore if they get a positive they believe they have COVID. Many people don’t read stuff therefore they won’t really take in what the message says (am less sure about that bit but it’s all I can think of).

NightmareLoon · 23/04/2021 20:41

@sirfredfredgeorge

LFD's still not being confirmed at any sort of rate, the pictures we got shown before said "MUST", but it's clear people aren't, or the link up is going wrong, or there's a real lag reporting.

1100 unconfirmed on the 18th, 5 days would've thought it would have been enough for quite a few of those to be confirmed? Is there any reason people wouldn't? There's not really enough other cases for these to really be confirmations of people who decided to take one after coming into contact with a positive case is there - and the geographic spread negates that as lfd's have to be well spread out.

My husband's coworker, who helped out with testing at her son's school, was still under the impression that positive LFT meant isolate, it's possible the message hasn't gone through.
MargaretThursday · 23/04/2021 20:43

@sirfredfredgeorge

I think there's several reasons why people don't confirm them:

Firstly, if there's several positive cases around, they may see no point in it, because they're certain they're right. If, for example, my dd had a positive pcr test, then ds got a positive lateral flow, the chances are it's correct, and he'd have to isolate anyway (as would the rest of the family) so I can see someone thinking they won't bother.

Then you have people that won't realise. Yes, it says so on the text, but, from experience, I can, at work, put up ten large signs that say "X that way" and half the people will still ask for directions.

Also the text says "a different follow up test." I wonder how many people assume that means to take another lateral flow test? Especially if you have several spare. I think if I got a positive test out of the blue, I might well be tempted to do a quick second one on the basis 2 false positives would be less likely. (yes I would still do the pcr ones anyway, but a lot of people wouldn't)

Then you have linking them. There must be some cases, where that fails. I know one time I got dd and ds' NHS numbers switched when I was entering them. Not sure how that would effect it.

I think you'll also have some people, not many perhaps, that would rather isolate for the duration rather than do another test. Maybe they can then work at home, and rather like it, or aren't going anywhere anyway.

If they said you can come out of isolation if you get a negative pcr, then that would encourage more people. But I also wonder whether you would then get people doing things to try and get a negative result-swabbing someone else, or deliberately trying to do a poor test.
Although on that basis, I suspect people happy to do that would probably just lie about the lateral flow result anyway, so maybe it wouldn't effect results.

JanFebAnyMonth · 23/04/2021 21:33

Yes I agree with your points @MargaretThursday. “A different follow up test” is very weird and unhelpful language! Why can’t the message include a personalised link to book a PCR test immediately? That’s how I’d do it!

Firefliess · 23/04/2021 21:55

Many people do get paid sick leave - including teachers. Maybe some quite fancy a week or two off work?

But even though case rates are low, all the people who really are positive must have caught it from someone, so seems quite likely to me that many will know who they've caught it from so know it's likely genuine. Some may also develop symptoms very shortly after taking the LFT so they might be confirmation enough for them?

sirfredfredgeorge · 23/04/2021 22:21

But even though case rates are low, all the people who really are positive must have caught it from someone, so seems quite likely to me that many will know who they've caught it from so know it's likely genuine

But it seems very unlikely that all those cases are positive, 20-30% of the LFD's were false positives in march, with cases another order of magnitude lower, then some of those certainly are too.

The problem with the "fancying a couple of weeks off work" is the close contact fall out, everyone you live with, everyone you've seen in the previous 48 hours are getting a call from track & trace, entire school classes? I don't buy it.

The lack of clumpiness in the cases is what also discourages this view from me - for that all the LFD cases will need to be in the same districts as the PCR ones, so it would now be clumpier than it was before, and I don't really buy that it is - of course it's a bit difficult to see in the lower level data to say for sure on the data we have, but it would have to mean all the 1-3 cases were pcr only, and all the high areas have a couple of pcrs and loads of lfd's - when most people only infect maybe 5?

MRex · 23/04/2021 22:34

@boys3, if it isn't a big bother may we have a rerun please of the numbers you did a while ago of MSOA suppressed / number of cases, to see the local spread versus clustering. I have a feeling that I disagree that cases aren't clustered, but I don't have the data to back that up. Also please can you say how many cases are covered by suppressed areas of you look at all the unsuppressed totals? Many thanks

MargaretThursday · 23/04/2021 22:41

The problem with the "fancying a couple of weeks off work" is the close contact fall out, everyone you live with, everyone you've seen in the previous 48 hours are getting a call from track & trace, entire school classes? I don't buy it.

Are they though? Someone at db's work tested positive in early December. Fairly certain he knew that he was having symptoms when he came in from a few comments he made both during and after.
No one got a call-one person got the alert on the app, but he hadn't worked any closer than several others who didn't. The suspicion was (he didn't get on with that person) was that he'd worked with them first, then he switched the app off so it didn't contact the other people-heck he was in a car for 30 minutes with one, and they got nothing.
His dd moved out so she could continue going to work (after 3 members of the family had already tested positive), and younger dd continued going to school after he'd tested but not got the results (and she was coughing too).
He claimed track and trace didn't contact him. They suspect he just either didn't answer the phone or claimed he hadn't been out at all.
This person was known to be very slack on all health and safety and had frequently been ignoring the regulations.

Not saying everyone is as selfish as that, but just to say that if someone wants to hide it, then they can.

sirfredfredgeorge · 23/04/2021 22:41

I think they are clustered, but there's also lots of 1-3 cases, and those cannot (in my mind) be LFD's taken by people who have recently been in contact with a known case, which once you've removed all of those means the remaining clusters are made up of an unrealistically high LFD proportion.

Firefliess · 23/04/2021 22:56

@sirfredfredgeorge

I think they are clustered, but there's also lots of 1-3 cases, and those cannot (in my mind) be LFD's taken by people who have recently been in contact with a known case, which once you've removed all of those means the remaining clusters are made up of an unrealistically high LFD proportion.
Where I live in a city most of my social contacts would not be in my MSOA. DD goes to a large college where most aren't even in the same local authority. And if I was going to work in person I'd be traveling to a different region. Meanwhile I've not been within 2 meters of my next door neighbour ever (he's not very friendly) I don't think you can assume we're all like trees catching Covid that blows in the wind from within our immediate neighbourhood!
MargaretThursday · 23/04/2021 23:12

Where I live in a city most of my social contacts would not be in my MSOA

Good point. Apart from my family, none of my close contacts would be in my MSOA. In fact of my five closest contacts outside family I'd have 3 separate counties (very close to the border).

borntobequiet · 24/04/2021 06:45

Many people do get paid sick leave - including teachers. Maybe some quite fancy a week or two off work?

In most schools teachers are deemed to be 2m away from students, and separated by magic anti-aerosol tape, so incapable of spreading or catching Covid.
Though there are some teachers who take time off at the slightest sniffle, there are probably many more who struggle in to school when actually really ill, as it’s genuinely easier to do this than take time off and deal with the fallout. I know I did, as did most of my colleagues.

ZoBo123 · 24/04/2021 07:19

@MargaretThursday

The problem with the "fancying a couple of weeks off work" is the close contact fall out, everyone you live with, everyone you've seen in the previous 48 hours are getting a call from track & trace, entire school classes? I don't buy it.

Are they though? Someone at db's work tested positive in early December. Fairly certain he knew that he was having symptoms when he came in from a few comments he made both during and after.
No one got a call-one person got the alert on the app, but he hadn't worked any closer than several others who didn't. The suspicion was (he didn't get on with that person) was that he'd worked with them first, then he switched the app off so it didn't contact the other people-heck he was in a car for 30 minutes with one, and they got nothing.
His dd moved out so she could continue going to work (after 3 members of the family had already tested positive), and younger dd continued going to school after he'd tested but not got the results (and she was coughing too).
He claimed track and trace didn't contact him. They suspect he just either didn't answer the phone or claimed he hadn't been out at all.
This person was known to be very slack on all health and safety and had frequently been ignoring the regulations.

Not saying everyone is as selfish as that, but just to say that if someone wants to hide it, then they can.

In the car for 30 minutes wouldn't necessarily mean he switched it off. I slept on a bed next to my husband and lived in the same house. Our phones were charging next to each other overnight. Never got a notification on the app. I don't think it works very well
MRex · 24/04/2021 08:19

I'm being childish, I've just spent 15 minutes searching for the thread where I said the USA would put blood clots on the leaflet and restart Janssen. Ta-daaaaaaa. Witness my prediction (even though I probably made it on a different thread):
www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-56865562

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