Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 6th April 2021

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control) rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

It's possible that LFTs are picking up more cases before they become symptomatic and so reducing transmission. Or that people with mild symptoms use them to test because it's easy and instant when they wouldn't otherwise have bothered. Also possible that some people will use them as an alternative to PCRs and not bother confirming a positive result (because they know they are ill and don't want the hassle of test and trace contacting all their contacts). However both Zoe and the ONS latest results suggest cases are falling, which suggests the LFTs are doing more good than harm.

MargaretThursday, thanks for replying but that was today's figures. 4 deaths reported in the UK as a whole (I suspect England as it was for the weekend) but 12 in component areas of the UK (actually England). Er ...

@amicissimma

MargaretThursday, thanks for replying but that was today's figures. 4 deaths reported in the UK as a whole (I suspect England as it was for the weekend) but 12 in component areas of the UK (actually England). Er ...

Sorry I was joking. I was referring to the Easter story of being dead on Good Friday and back to life by Sunday.

Does anyone else find it a little bit ridiculous that you enter your test including the result and then get a text and email telling you that you are negative? I understand if it's positive to tell you what you should be doing, but negative

Where I work they like us to test at least once a week. If I test at home rather than at work I have to prove I have tested. The text is useful for that

@amicissimma

MargaretThursday, thanks for replying but that was today's figures. 4 deaths reported in the UK as a whole (I suspect England as it was for the weekend) but 12 in component areas of the UK (actually England). Er ...

It'll be due to historic corrections I suspect. Deaths from earlier dates that were counted twice have their duplicates removed by phe so the daily total is less than the sum of new reports. It happens frequently in the bank ground but is more noticeable on low reporting days (often the total reported by the NHS is more than the phe official count on weekends). Rp131 on twitter has breakdown in graph form

Yes I’d like to see the wording of the email when you get a positive LFD result.

I think you get contacted by the DHSC to tell you what you’ve just told them purely because they just slotted the home testing reporting system into the pre existent PCR results reporting system, without any extra thought, effort or expenditure!

@JanFebAnyMonth

Yes I’d like to see the wording of the email when you get a positive LFD result.

I think you get contacted by the DHSC to tell you what you’ve just told them purely because they just slotted the home testing reporting system into the pre existent PCR results reporting system, without any extra thought, effort or expenditure!

Also because some employers, schools, etc may ask to see evidence of the result, which the notification would provide.

Regional death numbers are just calculated by taking the announced number for that region that day and subtracting the previous day. There is no adjustment for the PHE numbers on a day to day basis at regional level, they are just intended as an indication of what is going on not a completely accurate number.

Better numbers on a local level over time can be found from the "deaths by date of death" graphs for local areas.

Here are the screenshots of what I received when I reported a positive LFT result

That's reassuring thanks, I like the "you must".

I did immediately book the follow up, and I'm guessing they would have chased up if you didn't.

Antivirals through the post?
news.sky.com/story/covid-19-britons-who-test-positive-for-coronavirus-could-be-sent-antiviral-tablets-to-take-at-home-12281366

.

@sirfredfredgeorge

The other slightly strange thing I've noticed, is that lots of the recent cases in south west london boroughs and neighbouring places like elmbridge seem to be in the over 80's, without any corresponding previous rise outside - is there anything reported on that, can't be a single care home outbreak if it's across multiple boroughs can it?

Vaccine break throughs? I know some (all?) the vaccines efficacy reduces with age.

But what's the link that would have them all catching it? You'd think you'd need quite a lot of people with the virus to spread it to lots of people in the more elderly groups given their high vaccination status - even if it was only 50% perfective?

Has Boris’s antiviral proposal come from any science that anyone has seen or is it just a wild hope?! The rational part of me thinks surely he wouldn’t say it, if they weren’t getting somewhere? But then it’s Boris isn’t it 😀

Article here saying figures show only 32 people have been hospitalised with Covid 3+ weeks after having vaccination

www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2021/04/20/exclusive-just-32-people-hospital-covid-vaccination/?WT.mc_id=tmgliveapp_androidshare_AxBk4rLpZ5tx

That seems a very low figure to me. Around 17,000 admitted in total since the start of March - a time when most over 70s and ECV would have had 3+ weeks since their first. jab. Also says fuller data on this expected out this week and on the impact of second doses in due course.

Re outbreaks among over 80s in some areas - my guess would be people picking it up at vaccination centres, or doing more socialising once they feel confident having had a second jab, or possibly further care home outbreaks. But if they're not ending up in hospital then it's not much to worry about.

sirfredfredgeorge
The other slightly strange thing I've noticed, is that lots of the recent cases in south west london boroughs and neighbouring places like elmbridge seem to be in the over 80's, without any corresponding previous rise outside - is there anything reported on that, can't be a single care home outbreak if it's across multiple boroughs can it?
Vaccine break throughs? I know some (all?) the vaccines efficacy reduces with age.

Not all over 80's have had the vaccine, some are refusing to have it.

@twolittleboysonetiredmum

Has Boris’s antiviral proposal come from any science that anyone has seen or is it just a wild hope?! The rational part of me thinks surely he wouldn’t say it, if they weren’t getting somewhere? But then it’s Boris isn’t it 😀

I had to say the same thought had crossed my mind. And if that worked, why haven't we already been using it? If it's in development, ready to be out in the autumn, surely the company involved would have done at least one press release.

But maybe I'm being too cynical.

Care homes. If they aren't very unwell then it doesn't matter.

There were countless posters assuring everyone last year that there would be no vaccines for years, if at all. The EU planned on later dates and got caught out by vaccines being ready earlier; so what have we learned? I hope we learned that investment and ambitious targets can pay off. Vaccination started in December from a hopeful planning date of October. October this year sounds a bit optimistic, but there are plenty of options so December sounds very likely. I'll guess November and it'll include sending an inhaler if symptoms deteriorate.

Having looked into it further I'm not sure the Telegraph's figures I posted are all that accurate. There's scepticism on Twitter about them. This seems to be where they're from. www.gov.uk/government/publications/isaric4c-hospitalised-vaccinated-patients-during-the-second-wave-11-march-2021

It only goes up to 5 March, so covering a period when not so many people were 3+ weeks post vaccination. The numbers hospitalised 3+ weeks post vaccination also seems to be around 90, not 34. The only way I can see they could have got 34 was the number who developed symptoms 3+ weeks after vaccination (which isn't what they say they've done in the article) Some updated data from the government would definitely be useful!

The surveillance report should be updated tomorrow; last week it noted 32 care home incidents and 190 from the past 4 weeks, see page 27:www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports.
That's lovely low numbers compared with what we've seen, but still enough to get plenty of over 80s cases.

Prisons dropped to near zero, so we can guess when they were done by tracking back week by week!

@Firefliess - this is the report given to SAGE and NERVTAG: www.gov.uk/government/publications/isaric4c-hospitalised-vaccinated-patients-during-the-second-wave-11-march-2021

Sorry, I meant to say, that is the only report I could find too. It does say they recommend redoing our monthly.

I don't understand the obsession in almost every study with stating effectiveness after 14 days when we've known since the trials that effectiveness peaks at 22 days. Why don't they just use 22 days, any ideas?

I don't mean peaks, I mean continues increasing...