Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 6th April 2021

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
Data Dashboard coronavirus.data.gov.uk/
Covid 19 Genomics www.cogconsortium.uk/tools-analysis/public-data-analysis-2/
NHS Vaccination data www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-vaccinations/
Global vaccination data ourworldindata.org/covid-vaccinations
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#map
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council area in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, cases, tests, deaths Dashboard public.tableau.com/profile/public.health.wales.health.protection#!/vizhome/RapidCOVID-19virology-Public/Headlinesummary
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA (from last summer) www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe UK data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC (European Centre for Disease Control) rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/cases-2019-ncov-eueea

Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=eur&areas=usa&areas=bra&areas=gbr&areas=cze&areas=hun&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&areasRegional=usaz&areasRegional=usca&areasRegional=usnd&areasRegional=ussd&cumulative=0&logScale=0&per100K=1&startDate=2020-09-01&values=deaths

PHE local health data fingertips.phe.org.uk/profile/health-profiles
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮ www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@MRex - I also saw the sewage testing

The surge testing in Wandsworth is currently a bit shambolic it has to be said. People trying to book and no appointments left ( even for the end of the following week). Now changed to can pick up tests and drop back but massive queues. Not sure how much notice they had but looks like underestimated demand. And this is before any letters/leaflets dropped

I also thought it’s a good example of just how the virus can spread ( and across boroughs on particular)

It's a hell of a lot of people to surge test. Quick google for numbers:
327k population, 64k under 17 so er... 295k in Wandsworth.
Lambeth is 322k, say another 10% under 11 is 290k.

Blimey. 585k people.
Easier to have dropped and collected postal tests I'd have thought.

Yes that’s what I thought too.

I don’t know if they were unprepared or had short notice. Their twitter feed gives a flavour though!

Depending on take up it’s also going to be interesting to see impact on numbers in the boroughs.

What is a shame is that I think some people will have tried to book and given up. A lot of people had to give up as queen mrs were so long and they were on lunch breaks.

MRex I'm surprised you think the US will carry on...I thought they'd sue the pants of everyone (and their grannies) involved.

Good news about the 💩 though.

Does anyone know why the daily update is late updating?

Is there an announcement or just technical issues (it was a bit ropey yesterday).

@Melroses

Does anyone know why the daily update is late updating?

Is there an announcement or just technical issues (it was a bit ropey yesterday).

The announcement on the website is blaming the Welsh

@wintertravel1980 Could the extra vaccine supply be to do with releasing some of the doses that have been stockpiled? Eg becoming more confident in future supply pipelines so no longer holding so much back for second doses? Or having until today been holding back what was needed for all the over 50s who've not yet had a jab, but now that they've confirmed they've all been offered they can push on offering to other groups knowing it's not likely that all those offered but declined will suddenly change their minds?

Could the extra vaccine supply be to do with releasing some of the doses that have been stockpiled?

Not really, extra doses are stockpiled at the national level so they would not impact the new weekly numbers. For instance, Scotland is stockpiling 432k vaccines as second doses. The 4mm received this week (including 300k for Scotland) are extra - these are physical deliveries, not vaccines moved from "stock" into "use".

Re additional vaccines, wasn't there a batch of AZ a few weeks ago that needed re-testing, from memory 1.7m doses?

Re additional vaccines, wasn't there a batch of AZ a few weeks ago that needed re-testing, from memory 1.7m doses?

Yes, you are right - it could be that batch or it could be India. Thanks for the reminder about the 1.7mm.

I think it’s unlikely that it’s a new shipment from India - they still have a ban on exports of vaccines as far as I know (FT are reporting that they may restart exports in June) and based on their own rising caseload have fast tracked approvals for all existing vaccines that have been approved by “equivalent” agencies. There are also critical state elections ongoing, so that may have a factor on how the Govt. handles export restrictions given their domestic caseload.

www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2021/4/13/amid-covid-surge-india-fast-tracks-approval-for-foreign-vaccines

Interesting to see surge testing close by

And SA variant in waste water in Southwark but not definite on source

R4 didn’t sound to positive this afternoon about SA variant, although I’d say we need information about those recently infected after vaccine to see if they are still mild cases.

The stats are finally up. Death rate up 23%.

Will the Easter lag still be having an impact?

@CoffeandPancakes

The stats are finally up. Death rate up 23%.

Will the Easter lag still be having an impact?

you'd hope so because many deaths from the easter weekend would not have been registered until wedneday-friday of last week.

I’m not sure where the 23% increase in deaths is coming from? The dashboard shows the deaths reported in the last 7 days va the deaths reported in the previous 7 days which are up 13.7%

However if you look at it by date of death, for the most recent complete 7 days to 8 April for England there were 133 deaths, compared to 210 deaths for the previous week to 1 April. So a reduction of 37%

DING DING DING

Waiting for NI data for 12th, but looks like U.K. hit sub 2.5k! (2488 taking NI 11th).

Called this sooooooooooo long ago.

@Doomsdayiscoming NI’s dashboard is showing 77 in hospital (down 7 from yesterday’s numbers)

[quote lurker101]@Doomsdayiscoming NI’s dashboard is showing 77 in hospital (down 7 from yesterday’s numbers)[/quote]
Amazing. Then make it 2481!

Albeit the drop in Wales could be artificial. 25% in one day seems pretty crazy.

@boys3

Another odd day.

3222 cases added in England

But

Last three most recent spec dates total 2067, then a further 73 for other dates in April.

We the have the following additions

March +281

Feb +313

Jan +257

Then December 39 added, November 25 removed,
October 114 added
September 67 added
August back to start 36 added

No notes that I can see to explain this addition of cases back in.

A bit delayed but it looks like there has been a note added to explain the shenanigans earlier in the week - error made on Sunday, corrected on Monday

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/whats-new
11 April
Error in case reporting in England
Due to a processing error, 550 historical cases were removed from the England and UK figures. Affected cases were restored in the next release.

The big question is when will we reach sub 770 in hospital. The lowest available number was on 11th Sept.

Before or after May 17th?

Before would need about 5x weeks of 25% drops. Probably unlikely but perhaps possible with the warmer weather coming towards the end of the month, you might see a solid reduction in admissions. Then it’s just to be seen if the (likely) increase in cases translates to big increases in admissions or not.

It also begs the question of if there are that few people in hospital by then, and the trend is still downward, why on earth we’d need to wait another 5 weeks for the final lifting in June.

@ceeveebee

I’m not sure where the 23% increase in deaths is coming from? The dashboard shows the deaths reported in the last 7 days va the deaths reported in the previous 7 days which are up 13.7%

However if you look at it by date of death, for the most recent complete 7 days to 8 April for England there were 133 deaths, compared to 210 deaths for the previous week to 1 April. So a reduction of 37%

If you click on the number, it says it's done by date death was reported 7th-13th rather than date of death.

You're right that at the moment this means the true picture of deaths currently looks much more positive than it has been and than this figure appears, though of course with more deaths to be reported there might be blips along the way.

I was questioning the 23% increase that @CoffeandPancakes had posted - I can’t see that figure anywhere on the dashboard. It’s either a 13.7% increase by date reported (which is not a meaningful measure anyway, especially around bank holidays) or 37% reduction by date of death.

Oh, sorry. Yes, I just assumed that was a typo for 13%.