[quote ineedaholidaynow]@UrAWizHarry my understanding is that when the scientists come up with the rules/guidance they factor in a certain percentage of non-compliance in their risk assessment.
As can be seen from this thread alone a number of people are breaking the rules.
If they changed the rules so that households could meet indoors as long as they are all vaccinated, there would be many households who would follow that to the letter. And again there would be others who would ignore it, but they possibly thought too many would flout it to mean that it would be too risky. As at the moment, people are probably conscious that if they have a number of people round their house, it will be obvious that they are possibly breaking the rules. Whereas if a reasonable amount of the population can meet up, it is much easier to hide the fact you are breaking the rules.
The reason it will be safer in the next few weeks, is that the scientists again will be looking at the population as a whole, not individual families. So that more people will be vaccinated so hopefully we will be at the percentage vaccinated we need for herd immunity to kick in.
If we could rely on more people being sensible then we probably wouldn't need the rules we have.
Isn't that how Sweden partly managed without an official lockdown because the majority of people recognised what they needed to do to help reduce the spread of the virus, without having to have rules in place. Whereas in this country it seems to be a national pastime to work out how to flout the rules.[/quote]
It would make no difference to the number of people ignoring rules as to whether they ignore them a little bit or not. It makes no difference on an individual level how many people are vaccinated.
If 4 people have had both doses, the risk for them to meet indoors is not impacted by the R number or by if the unvaccinated people down the street are breaking the rules. All such unnecessarily draconian rules do is make innocent, sensible people feel guilty whilst the people who ignore rules will get on with it regardless.