Data, Stats and Daily Numbers started 17th March

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@ancientgran - any rise in cases you can see before at least the 15 March is not the result of spread within schools, as that takes at least a week from when they opened in the 8th. So what you can see from the charts do far is the extra cases identified though increased testing. We'd have seen this increase at any time, if we'd introduced that level of new testing.

@Firefliess absolutely, you will be able to see in time - but all it needed for this in-between time was for the data to be collected and reported in distinct buckets (tests due to symptoms via PCR and symptomless tests in LFD and their confirming PCRs) as that would've kept the existing consistency and provided the evidence for later.

[quote sirfredfredgeorge]@Firefliess absolutely, you will be able to see in time - but all it needed for this in-between time was for the data to be collected and reported in distinct buckets (tests due to symptoms via PCR and symptomless tests in LFD and their confirming PCRs) as that would've kept the existing consistency and provided the evidence for later.[/quote]
But it has been, just not reported at more granular level on the public dashboard.

If cases continue to drop that is great, but logically as we begin to 'open up' they will rise. However, with all the vaccinations, I hope that a rise in cases will not bring with it a rise in hospitalisations, or if there is then the rise will be much much less steep than previously. Because at that point we know we are starting to see the beginning of the end - when case rises do not necessarily bring an overwhelming of the health service, and significant numbers of deaths.

Yes I think that’s key.

The metric to look at is hospitalisation to ensure we’re within capacity.

But it has been, just not reported at more granular level on the public dashboard

So it needs to be shared, it does not need to be kept secret from the virus, that is disgraceful.

@sirfredfredgeorge

But it has been, just not reported at more granular level on the public dashboard

So it needs to be shared, it does not need to be kept secret from the virus, that is disgraceful.

Does the virus read the dashboard? Maybe it sees it's being defeated and fights back!

Interestingly how is that information collected, there is no "I want a test because I'm confirming an LFD" in the "request a covid test" reason? Is it only offered when registering your positive LFD test, in which case that means the "I'll only report the LFD positive if the PCR confirms it" as possible.

Or are people still just ignoring the rules about getting a test?

If you tick no symptoms on the Covid Test request pages, you get asked if you are taking the test to confirm another positive, so I assume those are the ones they are marking as positive PCRs following a positive LFT. The testing first page now explicitly says

"You can also use this service if:

you’ve been asked to get a test by a local council or contact tracers
you’re taking part in a government pilot project
you’ve been asked to get a test to confirm a positive result
you’ve received an unclear result and were told to get a second test
you need to get a test for someone you live with who has symptoms
you’re in the National Tactical Response Group"

The only possible question then is the specifically "been asked to...", which isn't exactly clear if you've not been asked to but chosen yourself to validate the LFD as many on this thread have said they'd do, but I guess that doesn't matter, also not clear who's asked (your employer, test&trace, your annoyed spouse?)

Not too sure about the robustness of that measure, but then we knew already that people weren't being truthful on that form so it probably won't make much odds and likely reasonably reliable distinction to others.

I'm a bit shocked. My neighbour's French mum got vaccinated no problems recently; so then his late 70s aunt, who has no specific health conditions, went to the GP wanting a vaccine and... he advised her not to have it. He didn't advise her not to have a specific vaccine, but that no vaccine was best for her. So now she's not being vaccinated. He's horrified and any discussion is met with "But the GP said". WTAF?!?

[quote Firefliess]@ancientgran - any rise in cases you can see before at least the 15 March is not the result of spread within schools, as that takes at least a week from when they opened in the 8th. So what you can see from the charts do far is the extra cases identified though increased testing. We'd have seen this increase at any time, if we'd introduced that level of new testing. [/quote]
I can see that in one way but if they were all yellow when testing started and for the first few days at school why would it suddenly spread quickly through nursery/keystage 1,2 and 3? I suppose not all were tested on the 4th so some might have already had it.

@MRex

I'm a bit shocked. My neighbour's French mum got vaccinated no problems recently; so then his late 70s aunt, who has no specific health conditions, went to the GP wanting a vaccine and... he advised her not to have it. He didn't advise her not to have a specific vaccine, but that no vaccine was best for her. So now she's not being vaccinated. He's horrified and any discussion is met with "But the GP said". WTAF?!?

Do you mean the elderly ladies live in France or here - presumably the former?

@sirfredfredgeorge

But it has been, just not reported at more granular level on the public dashboard

So it needs to be shared, it does not need to be kept secret from the virus, that is disgraceful.

It is reported on the dashboard - for England as a whole. The dashboard developer has actually said on Twitter that they might publish more granular regional data if there is a demand so perhaps we all need to tweet him to demand it!

@JanFebAnyMonth - they both live in France. I may have mentioned a friend's French MIL who usually lives in France but has been here through lockdown, she's a different person (and has been vaccinated here).

twitter.com/pouriaaa/status/1369984610021613569?s=21
In this Twitter thread - mentions twice that will look at more granular or regional data if there is demand

If someone is following up with Pouriaa, is there any chance of asking a question for me please? (I have no Twitter).
Will we be able to see regional / local authorities and age banded vaccination data soon? It looked to have been included in the site designs, but hasn't been rolled out. Thanks

I’ll tweet him tomorrow - I always feel guilty doing it late at night because more often than not he replies straight away!

@MRex

If someone is following up with Pouriaa, is there any chance of asking a question for me please? (I have no Twitter). Will we be able to see regional / local authorities and age banded vaccination data soon? It looked to have been included in the site designs, but hasn't been rolled out. Thanks

@mrex although it’s not on the dashboard all that data at both local authority and for all 6791 MSOAs is included each week in the NHS weekly vaccinations update.

It is age banded down to 55-59s at the moment for both MSOA and Councils.

The NHS have also helpfully included population data at the same level of detail, both ONS last MYE and more importantly so areas don’t show an age band with over 100% vaccinated the NIMS population figures.

It also has the same data at parliamentary constituency level.

It is reported on the dashboard - for England as a whole

It's not, the LFD and LFD confirmed with PCR is there, but that is slightly different, as LFD (high risk profession) and LFD (random school kid) is different risk profile but they're still lumped together, the "new mass testing of asymptomatic schoolkids" needed to be lumped together in my mind.

Personally I don't think it needs to be more granular just consistent measures, finding local hot spots is a job for track and trace, it's not something we should be deciding upon at the low levels we're currently seeing and it does reveal (it's already revealing a lot of info when your school closes "those bloody Smith's always being reckless and now they've made everyone isolate for 10 days") providing more local data doesn't help us.

@boys3 - thank you. I know it's there, but it isn't in a very usable format for the phone and I like graphs, so I'm hoping for an upload.

Sorry if this has already been mentioned but do we know why the gov.uk site has not been updated today ?

@AnyFucker

Sorry if this has already been mentioned but do we know why the gov.uk site has not been updated today ?

5313 cases, 33 deaths

Site was updated at 4.00 p.m.

Thanks

The Time reporting that all adults will now be asked to test themselves twice a week.
Also that “Nationwide sewage monitoring will then be used to check for areas where Covid-19 clusters are emerging with the aim of using “surge testing” — currently targeted at dangerous variants — to snuff out any outbreaks.”