Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 27th Feb

[boys3]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@Truelymadlydeeplysomeonesmum

Our school has nasal only ones. The instructions on the tests are clear. I think different schools have been given different tests.

Oh thanks for that, I didn't know there were different ones. Reassuring that they got it right.

What I think we all really want to know is what is the probability that a lateral flow test would give me a negative result when a PCR test would give me a positive result?

I don't think that is what you want to know, what you want to know is if someone has transmissible covid-19 isn't it?

The main problem with the whole post is that's maths against something where the maths doesn't add up - and because of that you need to stop looking at the maths and question the underlying data - as he notes the rate is below the false positive rate. There's no point doing the maths until that is resolved as it doesn't tell you anything other than "there's something wrong with our assumptions."

[quote BigmouseLittlehouse]@MRex just for you

www.theguardian.com/world/2021/mar/07/covid-data-show-sewage-monitoring-could-be-vital-in-infection-control

Apologies it’s the guardian report not the original ( I don’t think it’s been linked already but sorry if it has been!)[/quote]
Thanks, that's interesting. It would be nice to be able to see the original info too. I do hope they get on with getting the tracking in place, at least in cities and bigger towns it'll be so important to identify upcoming outbreaks.

@ancientgran just to reassure you, I had this same issue earlier this week - I’ve done LFT at walk in centres (always throat & nose), but this week had one (supervised) at a healthcare trust mass vaccination centre - it was only nose, the lady conducting it confirmed that the type they were using were only nasal when I triple checked. Didn’t want to go nose first if it needed to go in my throat too 😂

@sirfredfredgeorge

What I think we all really want to know is what is the probability that a lateral flow test would give me a negative result when a PCR test would give me a positive result?

I don't think that is what you want to know, what you want to know is if someone has transmissible covid-19 isn't it?

The main problem with the whole post is that's maths against something where the maths doesn't add up - and because of that you need to stop looking at the maths and question the underlying data - as he notes the rate is below the false positive rate. There's no point doing the maths until that is resolved as it doesn't tell you anything other than "there's something wrong with our assumptions."

In theory what we want to know is whether either type of test accurately pick up infectious people and not non-infectious ones. But we can't possibly know that unless we do trials when we actively try to expose infectious people to other people to see if they catch it. So the best we can do is to compare tests either to themselves (a test that gives you different results each time you use it is clearly not a good test) or to other established tests that we believe to be good. I think with PCR tests they can effectively choose what level of virus to look for, whereas LFTs miss many of the lower viral load cases who are probably less infectious, but we don't fully know how much this matters

No info on deaths today ?

@AnyFucker

No info on deaths today ?

They were mid update when Windows XP crashed. They have tried switching on and off, but it didn’t work.

That reminds me, i wonder when we'll get any update on that "live trial" that was started recently? Ie where they infected healthy volunteers...

82deaths!

Which is fewer than the NHS England deaths figure released earlier so there obviously been some double counting somewhere before

How many deaths last Sunday please ?

@AnyFucker

144

The UK has reported a further 82 deaths within 28 days of a positive test, bringing the total to 124,501. This compares with 144 last Sunday, and is the first time fatalities have dropped below triple digits since October.
The seven-day rolling average, which evens out reporting irregularities in the daily figures, shows that deaths are down by 34.8% compared with the previous week (22 - 28 February).

Fab, thanks

I love this thread 💋

that's 144 reported, so a like for like comparison.

By date of death last Sunday is 197 at the moment

Primary teacher - our LFT instructions say you can administer either nose and throat or just nose. Our kids have been swabbed using PCR and they were just nose but could’ve done throat. Apparently kids they prefer to just do them nasally? I have no idea why or what the science is!

The white on the map is expanding, the blue in in retreat to green.
Meanwhile over at "Sidbury, Offwell & Beer" they've leapt from a casual 2 cases to 34. Those 32 cases are a mere 1600% increase. Does anyone know what happened?

@Quarantino

That reminds me, i wonder when we'll get any update on that "live trial" that was started recently? Ie where they infected healthy volunteers...

Is it wrong to want them held in a big brother type house with live viewing🤦‍♀️

Sidbury, Offwell & Beer

have you just made that up @mrex?

I'm going to have the open that MSOA file now. Wild guess before I do.

Is it somewhere in Norfolk?

I see its in Devon.

Linked to vandals damaging public toilet in Budleigh Salterton?

or illegal gathering, possibly condoned by local East Devon Council

Plans to look at using council car parks for evening entertainment

I'm pretty sure it's in East Devon, could be somewhere else too, nothing covid related in the local newspapers I checked, and I'm not sure they'd have any secondary schools or prisons or similar?

82 is good isn’t it. It’s been a while since we’ve seen that. I wonder when it was last that low.

@MarshaBradyo

82 is good isn’t it. It’s been a while since we’ve seen that. I wonder when it was last that low.

19th October - 80

back to the MSOAs - 1928 showing as data suppressed now, not far off 30%

I saw that re Sidbury in Devon - RP on Twitter had it at the top of his table of MSOA case number increases. I have no idea what that's about.