Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 9th Feb

[NoGoodPunsLeft]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@BigWoollyJumpers
fair enough :)

@wintertravel1980
personally I didn't even know who she was, so no personal dislike from the getgo here.

"The reason why so many of continental European countries switched to the 7 day self-isolation with testing is to increase compliance. Cutting the period from 14 to 10 days was the first step here but I still think we need to look at alternative options."

hmmmm. I am getting flamed, but.... the solution is mandatory isolation with reinforcement. We tried reason and advice and common sense. Didn't work. Chuck 'em in the brig mate! :)

I don't really understand something I hard a scientist say on the radio this morning and have seen elsewhere too:

Does vaccinating more people increase or decrease the chances of more variants appearing?

Afaiu, it can increase these chances as the virus mutates in order to find a new way to infect, but it decreases the chances because less transmission means less chances to mutate.

Are both things true?

Thanks for thread. Anecdotally testing is v good now in my extensive experience and that of my colleagues.
I think reporting is often so negative (from an equally biased perspective) so it’s good to look for the positives imo

I don't have to look for negative news. TTR news on guardian front page :( some were working from abroad - leading to potential data breaches.
The problem is that there is a whole article, and really it says nothing.... what's the point then?

@JanFebAnyMonth

Adam Kucharski linked to a model talking about how to model the competing pressures from immunity and prevalence mobile.twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1358762039569694725

So yes I think both are true

Phrased that badly in haste but hopefully you’ll see what I mean!

@TheSunIsStillShining

I don't have to look for negative news. TTR news on guardian front page :( some were working from abroad - leading to potential data breaches. The problem is that there is a whole article, and really it says nothing.... what's the point then?

The Guardian..... as bad as the Daily Mail, just from the other side of the fence. I avoid both.

@sashagabadon

Thanks for thread. Anecdotally testing is v good now in my extensive experience and that of my colleagues. I think reporting is often so negative (from an equally biased perspective) so it’s good to look for the positives imo

The figures on the speed of testing currently are impressive - 80% (of in-person tests) within 24 hours, 97% next day. People were routinely waiting five days (I know, I was one of them!) not that long ago.

That Guardian article is such a non-story - 'some people might have been working from abroad while working for test and trace, which is a potential data security issue, so they've introduced a system so they definitely can't'. No suggestion that there have been any data breaches.

So much interesting stuff on Twitter. This is about what may explain current global patterns:

mobile.twitter.com/davidwdowdy/status/1358992725677395973

ATieLikeRichardGere

Thanks for the twitter link.

Yes, it is a very interesting thread. "Heterogenous mixing" in combination with acquired immunity could indeed be a major factor in limiting the spread.

Test and trace can only ever be as good as it was designed to be.

Think I have posted before about MIL being discharged from hospital to our house 4 days after a +ve covid test and 2 days after symptoms emerged. We weren't contacted by T&T seemingly because we weren't contacts before her test. So legally we could have carried on going out & about.

Than what would you say is worth reading?
bbc - pushing gov agenda
ft- good
economist - i like it, but diff aspect than daily newspaper.

any suggestions welcome, because I am getting fed up w/guardian a bit.
I go to reuters most of the time.

@ATieLikeRichardGere

Is anyone aware of any analysis around the anticipated dynamics of B117 and B1351 where they are circulating together?

Or any analysis looking at immunity to B1351 acquired from exposure to B117?

Or related issues!

coviddatareview.wordpress.com/2021/02/07/should-the-uk-public-be-alarmed-by-the-news-that-the-oxford-astrazeneca-vaccine-does-not-offer-protection-against-mild-moderate-covid-infections-caused-by-the-b-1-352-south-africa-variant-2/amp/?

via

mobile.twitter.com/TheGazmanRants/status/1359117668033380354

@TheSunIsStillShining I’m definitely not the most well-read, and don’t necessarily agree with the views of all those I read/view but I like to get a variety of news outlets, that way I can try to sift through their bias and try to get to the heart of the story (as I see it). I tend to use BBC and Sky for initial headlines and then follow up through other sources such as reading Economist and listening to their podcasts, watch Al Jazeera English on YouTube to get a Central Asia view, watch DW on YouTube for a German/EU view, NDTV for left-wing India news, Guardian for left-wing U.K. view, and yes Daily Mail for right wing U.K. view, CNBC for simple mainstream business/markets news and very good daily segments with former FDA Commissioner (and Pfizer board member) focusing on covid testing and vaccinations.

@PurpleWh1teGreen

Test and trace can only ever be as good as it was designed to be.

Think I have posted before about MIL being discharged from hospital to our house 4 days after a +ve covid test and 2 days after symptoms emerged. We weren't contacted by T&T seemingly because we weren't contacts before her test. So legally we could have carried on going out & about.

As they say you should isolate if you're in the same household as a positive test, then I think you'd be on dodgy grounds to go out and about. Also anyone who did go out when they had someone living at home positive, is unlikely to obey track and trace either.

As they say you should isolate if you're in the same household as a positive test, then I think you'd be on dodgy grounds to go out and about.

I agree. I would not expect a call in these circumstances. Household isolation is already in the law.

@wintertravel1980

As they say you should isolate if you're in the same household as a positive test, then I think you'd be on dodgy grounds to go out and about.

I agree. I would not expect a call in these circumstances. Household isolation is already in the law.

Again, I think (though I can't find confirmation on this one) that T&T were initially contacting people who lived with a positive case but then dropped that requirement and now expect people to inform their household members themselves (which also seems more sensible to me).

"Well I have to balance your consistent trawl for bad news sun grin."

😂😂😂❤

Going back a while but did we ever see any consensus about what made cases rise so rapidly around the 1 Sept in nearly every Local Authority in England? There was a heat map that showed this on Twitter somewhere, annoyingly I can't find it at the moment. If it was solely 'new variant' it wouldn't have shown everywhere at the same time, surely, and it was too early for Uni/schools etc I think?

This was helpful, thank you. Though I’ve got to say, I’m confused. I’m not clear why B117 remaining dominant over B1351 is helpful in a way. Can B1351 not still generate lots of infections, even if B117 generates more? How does a higher proportion of B117 limit the impact of B1351? Someone on Twitter asked “to what extent can we assume that the two are competing for infectees, given evidence the SA variant reinfects?” and I guess this is my question too.

I thought the general consensus was effects of people returning from foreign holidays?

Thanks @ATieLikeRichardGere , though that's a bit beyond me. Will go with your summary!

Sorry quote fail. That was to @CoffeeandCroissant

@Quarantino from the chart here it looks like cases were steadily rising from the summer. I guess the thing about exponential growth is that it really kicks in suddenly. So maybe it was just a matter of time. But mid August shielding ended, end of August the govt started a back to work push, then start of September schools and uni went back so all together that would have helped push growth beyond test and trace capacity and go exponential.

www.google.co.uk/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/amp/uk-54066831

twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1359082645007835140

This might interest people from Christina Pagel about SA vs Kent variant.