Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 9th Feb

[NoGoodPunsLeft]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

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TheSunIsStillShining
Kingston has only vaccinated 20% according to the latest published info, so this doesn't quite add up. Depending on his birthday, 49 year olds count as 50, otherwise I'd think he has been flagged due to something medical. He perhaps didn't want to say, but to give you hope that the vaccine programme is moving along quite swiftly. I don't know why you think it'll be so long until you're vaccinated, are you still in your 20s?

@Hardbackwriter that made me feel glum too, as overall the picture seems good. And that’s confirmed in the Ons too. looking at littleowls table there’s been a 20% jump up in some areas in the 7day period .. but from lower numbers .

East Herts (which is where I live) has gone up slightly according to the dashboard map. If you zoom into MSOA level, there's quite a few areas that have some increases, despite being green/blue, including Much Hadham, which was mentioned by someone yesterday, which is purple. A bit worrying 😟

Nevermind, looks like when I was looking it hasn't been updated yet. Looking much better now.

There was a man on the radio this morning who was invited for vaccine young no conditions so contacted his GP to check. It transpired he was flagged as being morbidly obese....... because his height on computer was logged at 62cms not 162cms

Sorry should read 82cms and 182cms as he said he was 5’9”

@MidtoLon

There was a man on the radio this morning who was invited for vaccine young no conditions so contacted his GP to check. It transpired he was flagged as being morbidly obese....... because his height on computer was logged at 62cms not 162cms

As opposed to dd2 who according to her consultant letter was 192cm aged about 5yo. She was 129cm.

129 is still very tall at 5. Though not quite as much ad 192.

@HSHorror

129 is still very tall at 5. Though not quite as much ad 192.

She was (and still is) tall. It wasn't the only mistake that I understood on that letter. I commented to the consultant that I hoped the medical bits I didn't understand were more accurate.

Potential good news for long Covid suffers, from a NY times journalist - the vaccine may decrease symptoms significantly:

mobile.twitter.com/apoorva_nyc/status/1364614022268674050?s=21

[quote JanFebAnyMonth]Potential good news for long Covid suffers, from a NY times journalist - the vaccine may decrease symptoms significantly:

mobile.twitter.com/apoorva_nyc/status/1364614022268674050?s=21[/quote]
Sorry about which paper but it saying about long covid and the vaccine too

www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9303149/Coronavirus-vaccines-help-long-Covid-patients-beat-crippling-fatigue.html

I think the morbidly obese man was 6 ft 2" but had gone down on the GP record as 6.2 cm so had a BMI of many thousands .

He was an ethically minded journalist who queried the reason why he had been called for his vaccine, as he didn't want to queue jump, and then wrote very wittily about the implications of being a human pancake. lol

[quote JanFebAnyMonth]Potential good news for long Covid suffers, from a NY times journalist - the vaccine may decrease symptoms significantly:

mobile.twitter.com/apoorva_nyc/status/1364614022268674050?s=21[/quote]
That's interesting, though mixed info so far. An overactive immune response finding something to attack, the short-term impact makes sense. Long-term I'm not sure why the system would calm down, perhaps realising it won that time. If it's related to the immune response then even if the impact is short-term, that might suggest treatment options.

@MargaretThursday

I don't think it's flattening yet. Slowing down definitely, but this week, other than Monday has been under 10k, last week all except Monday and Friday were over 10k. Scotland does look like it is flattening, but the other nations I'd say are still falling.

Agree overall but we have most areas falling and some areas rising. Here in GM cases are very flat.

With regards to jumps in MSOAs numbers once you get to fairly low number of cases it doesn’t take much at all to have quite a significant spike. And we still don’t generally get gold where there are “outbreaks” in certain areas. Eg the msoa next to us has had a significant jump in the last fortnight. I heard locally that unfortunately there has been a significant outbreak among pupils and staff at the school there. Which is bad but everyone has been isolating for nearly a fortnight now and the numbers are definitely coming down again. I can imagine similar happening in many workplaces, prisons etc which although worrying doesn’t necessarily mean it’s “circulating in the community”.

I've just realised that my area - my council, not just the MSOA (which goes up and down constantly because it fluctuates between tiny numbers of cases) has gone up, significantly - it seems to be down to two MSOAs so perhaps there have been specific outbreaks there but it's a worry. We were hit hard by the Kent variant before and around Christmas but consistently falling for a while now so I wasn't expecting it. Anecdotally I felt that signs looked good around me - e.g. I was able to have the new arrival in the midwife led unit at the hospital which had reopened that day after being shut to use as a covid ward for months, which even in the middle of labour I registered as encouraging! (DH, by contrast, and showing the difference in our personalities, said 'gosh, I hope they've given it a really good deep clean...'!). But I'm now feeling nervous again.

On the vaccine/long covid front I have to say that my first thought was placebo effect (and the doctor in the mail seems to be euphemistically saying so too with 'psychological boost') - hopefully there is more to it, which could open up a lot of options for investigating treatments, but if it's placebo then it's always tricky because that can have real, physical effect on the body - it certainly doesn't mean it's all made up etc - but once you investigate you risk wrecking it...

I think the morbidly obese man was 6 ft 2" but had gone down on the GP record as 6.2 cm

I teach lots of people who can’t differentiate between the metric and Imperial systems, or remember metric units and conversions, and some who don’t properly understand the decimal point. The mistake above doesn’t surprise me at all.
Many people think that a mile is a metric unit because it sounds like one (and yes, I know the history behind the name).

Damn only just spotted this on Twitter - the guy who runs the dashboard is speaking at 1030am - free to register but probably too late now!
www.radstats.org.uk/conference/online2021/

I haven’t been on this thread for a while so I’m just going to jump in rather than reference back

I was wondering does anyone have insight into how many are likely to give consent to LF tests in secondary?

It’s clear from school email no consent and it doesn’t happen. I’m wondering how this is going to work in reality with some doing it or not.

@MarshaBradyo - Nobody can know until the forms come back. I'm surprised they don't seem to be saying kids who had positive PCR tests in the last 3 months shouldn't test. The advice for teachers changed: schoolsweek.co.uk/covid-testing-in-schools-dfe-aligns-advice-with-nhs-following-confusion/. The initial percentage will matter, kids tend to follow the herd quite well. Sadly it probably won't be even distribution; some schools/ areas will have just kids doing it so others feel left out and join in, other schools/ areas will get low take-up and then get worse. Perhaps there will be a mixed pattern of some schools barely using them while others drift along merrily with it just part of the school day. I'd guess it'll start at 75% or higher, most people feel some responsibility to others and the percentage of kids with additional needs who can't do it will be quite low.

MRex thanks yes I agree with your post. It will differ and group behaviour will come into it. It’d be interesting to compare impact but hard to do, we might not have data collated in meaningful way.

Have read on MN of one school where only a third of students have consent to testing given.

School who have decided to just get students in for testing then send them home May have problems because many students can't travel to school just for an hour, especially in rural areas.

I haven't consented because of logistics. I simply cannot get DS three times to school an back next week and the week after. Unless issues like that can be resolved quite a few who in principle consent won't participate. Apparently, I cannot be given the home tests without having done the in school ones.

It’s only the first test we have to go in for. I think it’s a long email, will check.

But they give an appointment for the Monday and yr11 in on Tuesday.

In my case all the test are done before lessons in school begin.