Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 28th Jan

[TheSunIsStillShining]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

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23,275
1200

And another 487,756 first dose vacs

Patients in hospital 34783 at 28th jan, vs 37992 a week earlier

Patients on mechanical ventilators 3832 , so down only slightly, but a continuing downward trend nevertheless

The table detailing latest daily cases and rate per 100k in each council in England is updated with today's data release on the www.covidmessenger.com homepage.

305 councils with falling cases week over week and just 10 councils with rising cases.

In England the seven day average of cases to 25 spec date 26537 so almost exactly halved at compared with the position on 8th jan when the 7 day figure was 53207.

We last saw a figure around the 26000 mark in England for the 7 day average on 18 Dec.

And looks like half the ten rising fairly marginal:

Boston up 5 cases

Calderdale up 4 cases

East Riding up 12 cases

North Tyneside up 31

Fylde up 22

Increase in Bassetlaw largely driven by the prison outbreak - would be interesting to see their rate if that was stripped out

Thank you littleowl1** I'm relieved to see our local area has had just 50 cases in the last 2 days so things are definitely improving.

Does anyone know if there is any comparison of the rate per square mile?

Our rate is now around 1 per square mile and looking at areas I know a bit about, I can see that, unsurprisingly, the rates look to have dropped faster in rural areas.
Is there anywhere objective to check?

@boys3

And looks like half the ten rising fairly marginal:

Boston up 5 cases

Calderdale up 4 cases

East Riding up 12 cases

North Tyneside up 31

Fylde up 22

Increase in Bassetlaw largely driven by the prison outbreak - would be interesting to see their rate if that was stripped out

The only thing with saying they're marginal is looking at the bigger pattern. Fylde is one of the areas I'm following and whereas it hasn't been rising much each day, it is consistently rising, which I would regard as more worrying than a known reason for a spike.

When the WHO and GAVI talk about vaccinating all vulnerable and healthcare staff, putting aside practicalities / desire / vaccine supply / time etc...
How many people do they mean, and how do they consistently define both vulnerable (over 65? specific CEV?) and healthcare worker (include dentists etc?)? GAVI suggests 2bn doses is this year's target, but that's 25% of the whole world so that allocation must be wider than the UK February definition.
I can't seem to find any estimates of what anybody means and would be really interested to see some. Has anyone else come across figures?

Please, thank you, etc

@Witchend, a very good point and emphasising the inherent flaw of drawing conclusions from two data points.

Looking into that broader detail I looked at Boston which then took me to East Lindsey. The latter is showing a falling rate on the two data point comparison but in reality and with test results coming through quicker seemingly, using a three day lag it’s rate looks to be on an upward rather than downward trajectory. Same for one of the other Lincolnshire authorities.

In terms of confirmed cases I think the overall England picture is a good downward trajectory. But it is not even, many council areas falling faster - mainly those which had quite a long way to fall from the outset! - and some, mainly starting from a relatively much less high rate, seem to have not quite decided which way they really want to go.

The final point suggests the virus gives some sort of choice in the matter, which of course it doesn’t. There does seem to be quite a struggle in getting down below 100 per 100,000 to start with, still only 3 or 4 below that level I think.

MRex this times article suggests 25million in the top priority groups, meaning we are close to half way with first vaccines.

www.thetimes.co.uk/article/a4775b44-421f-11eb-8ca0-dadf8e3c5186?shareToken=c599e1d91e6e0c2e7c3d0e6be04323da

[quote PurpleWh1teGreen]MRex this times article suggests 25million in the top priority groups, meaning we are close to half way with first vaccines.

www.thetimes.co.uk/article/a4775b44-421f-11eb-8ca0-dadf8e3c5186?shareToken=c599e1d91e6e0c2e7c3d0e6be04323da[/quote]
Just did the check on your link, DH is 74 and it says he might get his vaccination in February.

Considering the govt target is all over 70s done by 15th February does this mean they are behind the target? I haven't heard anything lately about where they are with numbers in specific groups.

For my colleagues at the care home, and the residents, it is saying they will be done in January so presumably they have forgotten to tell us they are coming tomorrow.

@MRex

When the WHO and GAVI talk about vaccinating all vulnerable and healthcare staff, putting aside practicalities / desire / vaccine supply / time etc... How many people do they mean, and how do they consistently define both vulnerable (over 65? specific CEV?) and healthcare worker (include dentists etc?)? GAVI suggests 2bn doses is this year's target, but that's 25% of the whole world so that allocation must be wider than the UK February definition. I can't seem to find any estimates of what anybody means and would be really interested to see some. Has anyone else come across figures?

I don't think there are agreed-upon worldwide definitions of vulnerable groups, nor healthcare staff - not that I've ever come across. And as we're will aware, vulnerability is a continuum not two distinct groups of high risk and everyone else. But in simple maths, the UK's groups 1-4 are about 14.5m, so that's 22% of our population. If you drew the line at 65 (rather than 70) you'd have more than a quarter covered - we have an older population than the world as a whole obviously, so this same definition applied worldwide would be somewhat under a quarter I would have thought. The CEV definition is quite a tight one though - the adults with health conditions group (group 6 I think) is much bigger - about 8m people. So overall the 2bn figure sounds in the right ballpark to me. I don't think the WHO sees any need to try to define it more precisely as they're well aware that countries will reserve the right to set their own criteria. Personally I doubt any country will voluntarily stop vaccinating with only its most vulnerable done and give its vaccines up to other countries, because the only way to truly protect everyone is to have sufficient numbers vaccinated that you drive infections down via herd immunity. I don't think we can just let it rip though the young and middle aged.

@ancientgran - If your DH is registered with a GP in England, he can use this link to book a vaccine -

www.nhs.uk/book-a-coronavirus-vaccination/do-you-have-an-nhs-number

Does anyone know where I can get hospital admissions by age please?

[quote PatriciaHolm]@ancientgran - If your DH is registered with a GP in England, he can use this link to book a vaccine -

www.nhs.uk/book-a-coronavirus-vaccination/do-you-have-an-nhs-number[/quote]
I thought that link was for people who had received a letter?

No you can use it provided you have been entered into the system. It's because letters may be delayed

Our over 70s relatives are all done, but they were pretty on the ball and local vaccination centre still busy.

Thanks @Firefliess. I agree with your stats, but it's nice to see them independently worked to the same. As the intent is for all 2bn to be done this year from specified factories, short of robbing Covax supplies (unclear if anyone is actually attempting this through their contracts) aren't WHO "vaccine nationalism" statements premature? Stating Covax is still short $2bn would surely be more constructive. I admit I only had a quick read of the Gavi plans, so maybe I'm missing something.

@ancientgran No - if you are eligible, you can book, rather than waiting for the letter, as the post is not reliable and can be delayed at the moment. It will only let you book if you are already in the system as eligible.

@Allmyarseandpeggymartin

Does anyone know where I can get hospital admissions by age please?

coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare?areaType=nation&areaName=England gives total number by age.

www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2021/01/Covid-Publication-Supplementary-Data-21012021-1.xlsx

gives admissions and diagnoses by age since 12 Oct, although it uses a wide adult bucket of 18-54.

@PatriciaHolm

@PatriciaHolm Pressed post too soon!

Thank you

DM is 74 and no letter. She won't book as the system says not to , even though I've tried to persuade her. V frustrating as I had been optimistic about the vaccine schedule being ahead but it feels like they'll only just meet the deadline, if they do.

@tootyfruitypickle

DM is 74 and no letter. She won't book as the system says not to , even though I've tried to persuade her. V frustrating as I had been optimistic about the vaccine schedule being ahead but it feels like they'll only just meet the deadline, if they do.

I've had the same reaction from DH who is 74 next month so maybe it is a 74 thing. He is adamant that you wait for your letter/text/email or whatever. If it is OK for over 70s to book this way I wish they would make that public.

ancientgran

He is wrong, tell him he's holding up the queue