Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 28th Jan

[TheSunIsStillShining]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

@boys3

19202 reported cases

1322 deaths

Last Wednesday

25,308 cases
1,725 deaths

As far as England goes spec date wise

Monday 1st.
12264 added as compared with 16857 last week. After two days Monday at 15846 as compared with 20454 this time last week. Last Monday overall came just over 27000.

Sunday 31st
1315 added today as compared with 1760 last week. Sunday three day total now 13242 as compared with 14549 last week.
Sunday just gone maybe topping out at 14500 max

Saturday 30th
524 added today as compared with 736 last week. 4 day total 14718 as compared with 19361 this time last week.

Friday 29th
566 added today as compared with 170 last week. However Friday now totals 19558 significantly less than the 26656 at this time last week.

If I'm not too late, I predict 19201

The fact that the number of tests is creeping up due to the LFTs - will that be blunting the downward trend at all? How could we know?

More LFTs are very likely to lead to a higher proportion of cases, ideally a blip of higher rates for no more than 10 days (infecting household but not others). I guess we could look at the specific highlighted postcodes for the extra SA LFTs to see if they are varying out of proportion from their neighbouring MSOAs, but there were quite a few and I'm not sure how we separate than from the variant increases.

That makes sense, thanks. Would love to attempt the analysis if only there were more hours in the day!

We know Woking has one big focus area, I guess monitoring the positivity and test volumes, comparing last week with this week might give an idea? coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/testing?areaType=ltla&areaName=Woking

@sirfredfredgeorge

If I'm not too late, I predict 19201

Hmmm, bit late...but very very close!

I’m pretty sure that Newscast said that the door to door testing was PCR not LFT?

Yes it's PCR ... which I heard being reported somewhere as "the 100% accurate tests" 😮 🤦🏻‍♀️

The table of cases in each council in England and latest rates per 100K etc are updated on www.covidmessenger.com

Click the county column to sort and see a quick county snapshot.

I've also started a new mail list - I will send 2-3 emails a week with short, easy to digest analysis.

It's free and you can sign up on the homepage if interested!

More LFTs should mean that we're catching more of the asymptotic cases, which we'd previously have missed. As long as it's not masking a fall in lab based tests, I think it's a good thing (and may even mean cases are falling faster than the stats show)

We have seen a bit of a fall in PCR testing lately - I think the most likely explanation for this is that actual rates of Covid are falling so fewer people are going for tests - the rate of PCR testing has fallen less than case rates, I've heard no reports of people being unable to get tests, and we know that tests are coming back more quickly currently. But it is one to watch. There's clearly a risk of vaccinated people thinking their symptoms can't be Covid so not getting tested - DH was speaking to a friend yesterday who had started getting "bad side effects from the vaccine" a week after being vaccinated and didn't seem to have considered she might have Covid.

Chris Whitty's graph on the briefing now seems to indicate to me that 45-50 is not that much different to 50-54? Hope they extend to 40s after the 50s.

Outcome from hospitalisation I mean isn't much different

I'm a bit concerned that people are less likely to bother getting tested in lockdown - no school/employer/conscience re meeting up with others to tell them to.

@JanuaryChill

I'm a bit concerned that people are less likely to bother getting tested in lockdown - no school/employer/conscience re meeting up with others to tell them to.

If that was the case though we'd have seen a sudden drop in PCR tests at the start of lockdown though, rather than a gradual fall.

Ah OK, fair enough @Firefliess !

Whitty doing well at briefing as per usual

ichef.bbci.co.uk/live-experience/cps/624/cpsprodpb/vivo/live/images/2021/2/3/9b7489df-71e2-408b-a4bf-34508d492ff6.jpg

Can you see this? Very interesting graph from this evening's briefing showing how vaccination should affect deaths and numbers in hospital

I wonder why 40-44 year old women are less likely to be hospitalised than 35-39 or 30-34? I do take some comfort from this as I am in that age group!

Thank you for sharing that @Firefliess I found it interesting to see hospitalisation rates are significantly higher in women as compared to men in the under 40s. Impact of being a main carer to children and/or older family members, risk associated with occupation, increased likelihood of seeking medical care?

@slidingdrawers

Thank you for sharing that *@Firefliess* I found it interesting to see hospitalisation rates are significantly higher in women as compared to men in the under 40s. Impact of being a main carer to children and/or older family members, risk associated with occupation, increased likelihood of seeking medical care?

I wonder whether that could be women who are in hospital for maternity related reasons and just happen to have Covid, or catch it in there? Would explain the drop off in the over 40s that @Ceeveebies has just noticed

@ceeveebee

I wonder why 40-44 year old women are less likely to be hospitalised than 35-39 or 30-34? I do take some comfort from this as I am in that age group!

This might be a mad idea - and just because it's always on my mind at the moment! - but could it be because of pregnancy? Not just because of raised risk necessarily, since that seems to be fairly small, but also all maternity admissions are tested and so presumably would count if they tested positive?

Cross-post, sorry, @Firefliess!

If I'm right though, it does highlight the need for better data on people in hospital because of severe Covid, and those who are there anyway.