Data, Stats & Daily Numbers started 28th Jan

[TheSunIsStillShining]

UK govt pressers Slides & data www.gov.uk/government/collections/slides-and-datasets-to-accompany-coronavirus-press-conferences#history
R estimates UK & English regions www.gov.uk/guidance/the-r-number-in-the-uk
Imperial UK weekly LAs, cases / 100k, table, map, hotspots statistics Attendance explore-education-statistics. service.gov.uk/find-statistics/attendance-in-education-and-early-years-settings-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
NHS England Hospital activity www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/
NHs England Daily deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
Cases Tracker England Local Government lginform.local.gov.uk/reports/view/lga-research/covid-19-case-tracker
ONS MSAO Map English deaths www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-daily-deaths/
CovidMessenger live update by council district in England www.covidmessenger.com/
Scot gov Daily data www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/
Scotland TravellingTabby LAs, care homes, hospitals, tests, t&t www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/
PH Wales LAs, tests, ONS deaths Dashboard app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiZGYxNjYzNmUtOTlmZS00ODAxLWE1YTEtMjA0NjZhMzlmN2JmIiwidCI6IjljOWEzMGRlLWQ4ZDctNGFhNC05NjAwLTRiZTc2MjVmZjZjNSIsImMiOjh9
ICNRC Intensive Care National Audit & Research reports www.icnarc.org/Our-Audit/Audits/Cmp/Reports
NHS t&t England & UK testing Weekly stats www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
PHE Surveillance reports & LA Local Watchlist Maps by LSOA www.gov.uk/government/collections/nhs-test-and-trace-statistics-england-weekly-reports
ONS England infection surveillance report each Friday www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveypilot/previousReleases
Datasets for ONS surveillance reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/datasets/coronaviruscovid19infectionsurveydata/2020
ONS Roundup deaths, infections & economic reports www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19roundup/2020-03-26
Zoe Uk data covid.joinzoe.com/data#interactive-map
ECDC rolling 14-day incidence EEA & UK read https_www.ecdc.europa.eu/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ecdc.europa.eu%2Fen%2Fcases-2019-ncov-eueea
Worldometer UK page www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
Our World in Data GB test positivity etc, DIY country graphs ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom?country=~GBR
FT DIY graphs compare deaths, cases, raw / million pop ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=gbr&areas=fra&areas=esp&areas=ita&areas=deu&areas=swe&areasRegional=usny&areasRegional=usnj&byDate=1&cumulative=1&logScale=1&per100K=1&values=deaths
Alama Personal COVID risk assessment alama.org.uk/covid-19-medical-risk-assessment/
Local Mobility Reports for countries www.google.com/covid19/mobility/
UK Highstreet Tracker for cities & large towns Footfall, spend index, workers, visitors, economic recovery www.centreforcities.org/data/high-streets-recovery-tracker/

⏭ Our STUDIES Corner ⏮www.mumsnet.com/Talk/coronavirus/3869571-Studies-corner?msgid=99913434

We welcome factual, data driven and analytical contributions
Please try to keep discussion focused on these

16840 cases and 1449 deaths, so down again

The dashboard has a survey today, I'm sure you all have opinions. Ranking what vaccination data was most wanted was pretty hard.

I added that I'd like to see vaccine type, any upcoming real life vaccine efficacy data...and in the other section, of course wastewater data.

I had issues with the survey. It kept saying that there was a problem with the submission. Eventually I redid all the questions, and it went.

Link to the survey, for ease. I imagine lots of us will want to fill it in!

docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSc4GnaNWayFyBJxnoGHOnL1Igwo6KsOtDBAQYBN6uxWCDvH7Q/viewform

Oh dear, sad news that Captain Sir Tom Moore has died: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-beds-bucks-herts-55881753.
It would have been very hard on his body at his age with pneumonia beforehand, but sad nonetheless.

Early sight of possible problems in County Durham (yes, I'm obsessed)

Day | Last week | This week
Tue | 262 | 219
Wed | 252 | 206
Thurs| 260 | 192
Fri | 207 | 181
Sat | 148 | 144*
Sun | 119 | 126*

*Data incomplete

I think I heard something about issues in the City of Durham MSOA, could be that.

Aren't these good figures for a tuesday

This preprint looks promising and supports the UK decision to have a 12 week interval between doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine:

^New preprint on the efficacy of a single dose of the Oxford/AZ ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 #vaccine. 76% efficacy against symptomatic infection from day 22 to day 90 post vaccination in 17,177 trial participants in UK, Brazil and S Africa:
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf

Vaccine efficacy against symptomatic COVID-19 clearly higher with longer interval between first and second dose.

No-one in a population of 12,408 people vaccinated with a single dose of ChAdOx1 nCo-19 was hospitalised with COVID-19 from 22 days after immunisation.
mobile.twitter.com/ProfKatieEwer/status/1356627765060075521

Aren't these good figures for a tuesday

Tuesday is actually the lowest day in terms of cases. The rest of the week (Wed, Thur and especially Fri) will be more indicative of the real trend.

Zoe numbers have been dropping pretty fast over past few days (3-5% down day on day). It is definitely a big positive.

@swg1

Early sight of possible problems in County Durham (yes, I'm obsessed)

Day | Last week | This week
Tue | 262 | 219
Wed | 252 | 206
Thurs| 260 | 192
Fri | 207 | 181
Sat | 148 | 144*
Sun | 119 | 126*

*Data incomplete

I think I heard something about issues in the City of Durham MSOA, could be that.

There’s a few County Durham MSOAs showing a week on week increase.

I picked up on Durham City in one of the student threads last week, but the rate has halved there at least in the latest figs.

Doubling of rates in Chilton and Ferryhill for example, also up in Bishop Auckland, Horden, Peterlee, Thornley, Seaham. So bit of a geographic spread?

The table of cases in each council in England is updated with today's data release on the www.covidmessenger.com homepage.

Click the county column to sort by county to quickly see the situation across all councils in your county.

Yesterday, I also updated the following today with the latest NHS data:

Cases in Hospital:
www.covidmessenger.com/hospital-cases/

Daily Hospital Admissions: www.covidmessenger.com/hospital-admissions/

Patients in Ventilation Beds:
www.covidmessenger.com/hospital-ventilation/

Thanks @littleowl1

It would be interesting to look at the areas where they're doing mass testing and see if that brings rates down more than other local areas.

@boys3 Brr. Going to cross everything that it turns back around. I don't know what they do to us if our R starts rising in the current lockdown.

@swg1
Something like what they do for foot and mouth I believe 🤣🤣🤣

[quote Witchend]@swg1
Something like what they do for foot and mouth I believe 🤣🤣🤣[/quote]
I was thinking "nuke from space" but it seemed a little dark for this thread!

@swg1 🤣

The latest analysis of the Oxford data (linked to by @Coffee an hour or two ago - many thanks) is really interesting, and pretty positive. Two things stand out to me:

1. They say that "Vaccine efficacy after 2 standard doses rose from 54.9% (32.7%, 69.7%) with an interval

A bit of that previous post vanished itself. It should have said:

1. They say that "Vaccine efficacy after 2 standard doses rose from 54.9% (32.7%, 69.7%) with an interval

sounds like the UK dosing strategy might actually work better (even if more by luck then judgement!)
Let's be fair here, MHRA and JCVI referenced partial results in coming to that judgement.
Just grabbing the first link that comes to hand: "Both Covid vaccines likely to be 'more effective' at 12-week intervals, say Government experts - Pulse Today" www.pulsetoday.co.uk/news/clinical-areas/immunology-and-vaccines/both-covid-vaccines-likely-to-be-more-effective-at-12-week-intervals-say-government-experts/.
They are balancing a range of risks and uncertainties, but deserve our confidence that they do genuinely assess all information.

This is weird. MN is chopping off bits of my posts. Take 3 for missing bit:

1. They say that "Vaccine efficacy after 2 standard doses rose from 54.9% (32.7%, 69.7%) with an interval of under 6 weeks, to 82.4% (62.7%, 91.7%) when spaced more than 12 weeks apart"

Yay! Finally it posted. It would appear MN does not like me posting a "less than" sign like this

@MRex

sounds like the UK dosing strategy might actually work better (even if more by luck then judgement!) Let's be fair here, MHRA and JCVI referenced partial results in coming to that judgement. Just grabbing the first link that comes to hand: "Both Covid vaccines likely to be 'more effective' at 12-week intervals, say Government experts - Pulse Today" www.pulsetoday.co.uk/news/clinical-areas/immunology-and-vaccines/both-covid-vaccines-likely-to-be-more-effective-at-12-week-intervals-say-government-experts/. They are balancing a range of risks and uncertainties, but deserve our confidence that they do genuinely assess all information.

Yes there was some tentative evidence that a longer interval between doses might work at least as well, but the numbers were too small (particularly of those who received the bigger gaps between doses) to be at all sure of this. I think it's quite clear that the decision to use a longer interval was made because of the (entirely understandable) need to get a vaccine out to as many people as possible as fast as possible. I think this was completely the right decision, but I'm sure if we'd had an unlimited supply of vaccine we'd have stuck with the 3 week interval.

Did any of the studies look at how many had long-covid after mild cases?
To me that is actually a bigger "threat" than dying from it.

I'd also love to see some meta analysis - if anyone has seen any, I couldn't find- on chronic conditions and vaccines and covid and/or long-covid.

on another note
does an average person know how efficient is a flue vaccine? Or a chickenpox/MMR/TB?...

I think one problem is that people have no clue about context. And these would help put it into perspective.

I've not seen anything on that @TheSun. The chances of getting Long Covid are very linked to getting Covid more severely, so you'd imagine the rates would be much lower among vaccinated people. But people certainly do get Long Covid who were not ill enough to be hospitalised, so we can't assume from the evidence presented that vaccination completely protects against long Covid. We might need to wait longer for clearer data in that.